크립토와 주식 시장을 포함한 자산 시장들의 주관적인 분석, 경제 시황 정보를 공유합니다.
(당신의 생각이 옳습니다)
문의 : @god_ty
[프리미엄 콘텐츠]
https://contents.premium.naver.com/sunmoon/crypto
[유튜브]
https://youtube.com/@BTCETH
Created
27 February 2021 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
11 measurements spanning 11 days, net -63. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 30,008–30,093 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
17 Aug 2026, 11:25
30,020
-9
15 Aug 2026, 20:24
30,029
+11
14 Aug 2026, 11:28
30,018
-16
13 Aug 2026, 02:54
30,034
-13
12 Aug 2026, 02:12
30,047
-3
11 Aug 2026, 02:47
30,050
-8
10 Aug 2026, 03:57
30,058
-5
9 Aug 2026, 05:01
30,063
-5
8 Aug 2026, 01:44
30,068
-9
6 Aug 2026, 23:38
30,077
-6
6 Aug 2026, 02:04
30,083
first reading
Engagement
71 posts held, back to 3 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 25 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
12.6%
avg views ÷ 30,020 subscribers
Avg views / post
3,790
71 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.461%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
71
of 71 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 17 August 2026
Posts held
71 (3 August 2026 – 17 August 2026)
Views total
268,784
Reactions total
1,238
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
17 Aug 2026, 13:14 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈16,100
Videos
≈86
Links
≈6,440
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 17 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Reaction mix
1,012 reactions across 56 posts, in 6 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 35.3% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
👍
357
35.3%
❤
303
29.9%
👀
237
23.4%
🐳
54
5.34%
🔥
46
4.55%
👏
15
1.48%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 71 of the 71 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1,238reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 71 most recent posts we hold, published 3 August 2026 to 17 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Telegram Stars
Stars received
6
across the posts below
Posts paid on
1
of 71 we hold a reading for · 1%
Most on one post
6
single highest reading
A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @seaotterbtc. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.
Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.
This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.
Counted over the 71 most recent posts we hold for this entry, published 3 August 2026 to 17 August 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.
Avantis V2, 비공개 베타 오픈 초대 코드 10명
- Base 생태계 가장 큰 Perp DEX인 Avantis가 V2 비공개 베타 오픈
- 몇 주 내 미결제약정 $500M+ / 500개 이상의 RWA 자산 지원 목표
- 성장 기간 동안 RWA 수수료 0
- Upside Perps(크립토) : 수익을 실현할 때만 수수료 지불, 손실 실현실 수수료 무료
➡원문 읽기
➡Avantis 가입
V2 비공개 베타 오픈하면서 신규 유저 가입이 가능한데 인당 10명 초대 제한이네요
펍덱작 관심있는 분들은 가입해두시길!
#KOL
📆이번 주 중요 경제 일정 체크(한국 시간 기준)
[8/117 월요일]
* 한국 광복절 대체 공휴일 휴장
08:50 일본 GDP(예비)
11:00 중국 산업생산, 실직률, NBS 기자회견, 소매판매
[8/18 화요일]
21:30 미국 수출입 물가 지수
22:15 미국 산업/제조업 생산
23:45 미국 애틀랜타 연준 GDPNow(예비)
[8/19 수요일]
15:00 영국 CPI, PPI
16:10 유럽 중앙은행 총재 연설
17:00 유럽 경상수지
18:00 유럽 CPI
[8/20 목요일]
03:00 미국 FOMC 회의록 공개
08:50 일본 무역수지
10:00 중국 인민은행 대출우대금리
20:30 유럽 중앙은행 통화정책 보고서
21:30 미국 실업수당청구건수
[8/21 금요일]
05:30 미국 연준 지급준비급 잔액, 대차대조표
08:3…
역대 최저 수준의 비트코인 변동성
위험 자산에게 변동성이란 투자자들의 관심을 끌어모을 수 있는 가장 강력한 무기인데
현재 비트코인의 변동성 수준은 역대 최저 수준에 근접
(이러니 다들 주식하러 떠나지...)
하지만 과거 변동성이 낮아질수록 급격한 변동이 찾아오기 전 '폭풍의 눈'과 같은 상태였던 것을 알 수 있음
변동성 수치가 현재 수준에 근접했던 시기를 보면 2번은 시즌 바닥, 1번은 시즌 고점
현재는 단기 트레이딩이 아닌 큰 물결을 준비할 때
#비트코인 #차트
장점만 합친 분석 툴을 만들어봄
수년간 아캄, 난센, 센티멘트 등 여러가지 온체인 툴들을 직접 사용하면서 느낀점은 각자 장점이 있지만 단점도 명확했음
나는 개인적으로 특정 지갑의 입금, 출금 시기를 매수, 매도라 가정해서
해당 지갑의 움직임이 참고할만한가?를 시각적으로 표현해주는 기능을 잘 활용하는데
아캄, 난센, 센티멘트 등 유명한 툴들은 다들 중요한게 하나씩 빠져있었음
- 단일 체인만 지원하거나
- 자산 가격과 잔고를 겹쳐서 볼 수 없거나
- 멀티 체인이 지원되도 같은 자산을 각각 따로 봐야되거나
그래서 위 단점들을 다 보완해서 바이브코딩으로 나만의 툴을 만들어봤는데 생각보다 금방 만들어짐
(6시간...? 밤샜음)
주요 기능은
- 지갑 잔고와 가격 차트 시각화
- 동일 자산의 멀티 체인 물량을 전부 합해서 보여줌
ex) 3ETH…
다음 주 수요일 백악관 비공개 회의에 트럼프 참석 예정
백악관이 암호화폐 및 예측 시장 주요 인사들을 초청해 회의를 가진다 했었는데 트럼프 참석 예정이라고 하네요
주요 참석 인사들과 프로젝트는
- SEC, CFTC의 의장들과
- 코인베이스, 리플, a16z, 체인링크, 칼시, 패러다임 등
+ 비공개로 진행되는 위 행사와 다르게 바로 다음 날 CFTC 주관의 혁신 자문위원회의 첫번째 공개 회의 또한 예정
(트럼프 미참석)
핵심 안건 3가지는
- 암호화폐 규제의 진화 : 불확실성에서 명확성으로
- AI : 지능형 시장을 준비하며
- 예측시장 : 혁신, 관할권, 이벤트 계약의 미래
주요 참석자들로는 암호화폐 업계 프로젝트, 기관 다수와 VC들. 그리고 CME, 나스닥, ICE, DTCC 등 전통 금융권 인사들
왜 전통 금융권, 크립토 업계,…
진짜 중요할거라 생각했던 일정이 왜 연기되었을지 생각해 봤는데..
위 소식이 나온 이후 바로 취소 발표됨
다음 주 백악관음 암호화폐 및 예측 시장, 전통 금융권 주요 인사들을 초청해 회의를 가질 예정
친크립토파인 SEC의 새로운 규칙 제정 시작은 사실상 회의만 시작되면 빠르게 통과될거라 보는 분위기였는데..
SEC한테 압력을 넣을만한 윗분들이 얼마나 있을까.. 라는 내용의 소설책 추천 받습니다
아무튼 당분간 또 쉽지 않겠네요...
#알트코인
크립토 시장에 중요한 분기점이 될거라 생각했던 SEC 공개회의가 하루 전 갑자기 연기
지난번 말씀드렸던 SEC의 공개회의가 원래 오늘 열릴 계획이었는데
(클래리티 액트 통과 지연으로 현재 친 크립토 진영인 SEC의 크립토 친화적 규칙 초안에 대한 제정 절차 결정)
갑자기 예상치 못한 문제로 연기되었다고 하네요..
날짜는 제시되지 않았고 회의 일정은 추후 별도 발표한다고 합니다
#알트코인
스페이스X 역대급 만근추 매물대 생성
누가 걸어놓은지는 아직 못찾았는데..
하리 선물에서 고래 매물대 체결 이후 잘 오르던 스페이스X 페어에 약 2900억 원 규모의 숏 매물대가 생성되었습니다
(지금까지 오더북에서 찾아볼 수 없던 규모)
그냥 치울지 유지할지는 모르겠는데 홀더분들은 조심하시길
#주식 #차트
👍6❤3👀2🐳1
Showing the 12 most recent of 71 posts we hold for @seaotterbtc. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 3,333 of 1,481,502entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 17 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 17 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“해달의 투자 정보 공유 🦅” (@seaotterbtc), 30,020 subscribers as measured 17 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/seaotterbtc.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.