پیش بینی بدون خطا،وجودندارد
مسئولیت تصمیم خرید یافروش باخود افراد است
هماهنگي مشاوره
09133135250
adibmh.ir
@MhosinAdib
اینستاگرام
instagram.com/adibmh.ir
دسترسی سریع
https://zil.ink/riskac
@riskacir
02188676676
ارتباط با ما
@mediaschool
Created
18 April 2016 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (TGDataset)
Education — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 62% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.
Observations
These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.
Content that also appears on other registered channels
Posts published here appear in near-verbatim form on 1 other registered channel. This entry also forms a group of 2 channels linked by matching posts. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.
No sample pairs were kept for this entry. The counts below were measured, but without the pairs there is nothing here for you to open and check, so treat the relationship as recorded rather than demonstrated.
Channels this entry shares post bodies with, where at least one matching post pair has no forward credit between the two channels, or to a common source, recorded in our data
Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.
What this cannot establish
MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.
Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 0 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.
“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 58 comparable posts for this entry, running 11 July 2026 to 11 November 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.
The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.
Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).
Of the group of 2 channels, the one whose matching posts we hold earliest is @riskacir. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.
Recorded under the key clone_mutual, last confirmed 12 November 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.
Channels linked by matching posts
This channel is in a group of 2 registered channels linked by matching posts. Links are found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register.
Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown in this list. “First” could only mean first in our own crawl, which depends on how deep we happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. Our one hand-check read 45 of the highest-confidence flagged pairs against the live Telegram pages. In 18 of them the live page showed a “Forwarded from” credit that our database had no record of, so reading that pair as an unattributed copy was wrong; the check did not measure who published first. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Near-verbatim matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.
62 measurements spanning 96 days, net -598. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 68,866–69,795 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 62
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
10 Nov 2026, 09:20
69,090
-26
7 Nov 2026, 14:51
69,116
-8
6 Nov 2026, 11:56
69,124
+1
5 Nov 2026, 12:17
69,123
-2
4 Nov 2026, 10:19
69,125
-4
3 Nov 2026, 13:34
69,129
-3
2 Nov 2026, 09:58
69,132
+12
1 Nov 2026, 08:00
69,120
+15
31 Oct 2026, 08:00
69,105
+8
30 Oct 2026, 11:06
69,097
+38
29 Oct 2026, 07:29
69,059
+4
28 Oct 2026, 08:56
69,055
-6
27 Oct 2026, 11:28
69,061
+21
26 Oct 2026, 10:27
69,040
+16
25 Oct 2026, 07:00
69,024
-7
24 Oct 2026, 05:00
69,031
+11
23 Oct 2026, 04:06
69,020
-1
19 Oct 2026, 19:27
69,021
-5
18 Oct 2026, 16:46
69,026
+38
17 Oct 2026, 14:30
68,988
first reading
Engagement
63 posts held, back to 11 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 196 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
40.3%
avg views ÷ 69,090 subscribers
Avg views / post
27,800
26 posts measured
Reaction rate
—
this channel exposes no reaction counts
Posts in window
26
of 63 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 11 November 2026
Posts held
63 (11 July 2026 – 11 November 2026)
Views total
724,000
Reactions total
—
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
11 Nov 2026, 20:51 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
76
Videos
437
Links
676
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 11 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.
Video runtime
2h 51m
Average length
12m 16s
Measured directly from 14 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Recent posts
Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 16 of 26 posts held from the last 30 days (61.5%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).
واهی بودن خوش بینی در مورد حل بحران ایران وآمریکا
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
اولین خطای راهبردی در پیش بینی آنچه در خلیج فارس و دریای سرخ اتفاق می افتد تبعات تورمی آن هست ؛
تفسیر غلطی هست که گویا آمریکا از تبعات تورمی بحران خلیج فارس ناراضی است و درصدد مهار تبعات تورمی بحران هست
آمریکا با استقراض اداره میشود و دو راه برای استقراض آمریکا هست :
بدهی را نباید پرداخت؛ بدهی را با تورم باید کم ارزش کرد ، سالی ٧ درصد با آمار بانک جه…
فهرست اتفاقات ده روز آینده :
نطاره گر : محمد حسین ادیب
طی ده روز آینده در ٩٠ درصد موارد ؛ ٩٠ درصد خرید کشور را کسانی انجام می دهند که در ده روز گذشته پول به حساب شان واریز شده
و
بقیه سیاه لشکرند
همه بیزینس آنها جز سیاه لشکر اقتصاد هست
ثروت شان اگر از محل آن ؛ پول به حساب آن واریز نشده و به میزانی که واریز نشده سیاه لشکر هست ؛ ثروت سیاه لشکری
نکته کنکوری :
٩٠ درصد فعالین اقتصادی معادل فروش ده روز گذشته خود ؛ خرید می…
راهنمایی برای مشاوره
برای مشاوره به تلفن ٠٩١٣٣١٣۵٢۵٠ وات ساپ یا اس ام اس کنید و فقط بنویسید جهت مشاوره ، شرایط ارسال میشود ، مشاوره تنها برای دارایی بالای ۵٠ میلیارد تومان ، مشاوره حضوری در تهران هست ، مشاوره برای ایرانیان مقیم خارج با وات ساپ و شهرستان ها با تلفن ممکن هست
پیش بینی رفتار ترامپ پس از انتخابات
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
اولین انتخاب ترامپ پس از شکست انتخاباتی ، انتخاب رئیس دفتر جدید بود
ترامپ اگر میخواست با دموکراتها همکاری کند رئیس دفتر جدید، آخرین کسی بود که باید استخدام می کرد !
لدا ترامپ به سمت تقابل شدید با دمکرات ها پیش میرود
فضای داخلی آمریکا مثل ایران دوقطبی میشود؛
فضای داخلی ایران ، آمریکا و اروپا به شدت دوقطبی هست و دو قطبی تر میشود؛
فقط شرق آسیا اینطور نیست
اینکه نخس…
ترامپ به چه کسی باخت ؟
کارشناس ریسک :محمد حسین ادیب
با لحاظ تورم ، یا تورم زدایی شده دستمزد در جهان ، آمریکا و ایران ، رو به کاهش هست
ترامپ به کاهش دستمزد در آمریکا باخت
برنده انتخابات آمریکا ، دمکرات ها نبودند ؛ دمکرات ها هم راهی برای مشکل کاهش دستمزد ندارند
ترامپ به ایران هم نباخت ، در ایران هم مشکل اصلی کاهش حقوق است
مشکل در ایران و آمریکا یکی هست
اما فقط ترامپ نباخت ، راست رادیکال باخت ، ترامپیست ها در مجارستان ،…
اشتباه همه تحلیل گران در مورد بحران غرب آسیا
مفسر :محمد حسین ادیب
یک .
اکنون ساخت سیاسی ایران و آمریکا دو قطبی شده و در بن بست هست ، اکنون اقتصاد ایران و آمریکا در بن بست است و هدف همین هست
دو.
هدف دوقطبی سازی داخلی به سبب کاهش واقعی دستمزد ( به سبب تورم )، دوقطبی سازی واقعی هر منطقه مثل آنچه در غرب آسیا اتفاق افتاده ، و در گام سوم ایجاد بن بست هم در داخل و هم در منطقه و رها کردن آن به حال خود
سه .
بحران های غرب آسی…
خروجی عملکرد ترامپ ( دانسته یا ندانسته )
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
جایگاه اجتماعی : بنده خدا
عملکردترامپ ده خروحی دارد :
یک . بی آبرو کردن تمدن غرب
دو. بی آبرو کردن آمریکا
سه . رها کردن متحدین سنتی آمریکا
چهار. بی آبرو کردن همه ایدئولوژی ها
پنج .دوقطبی سازی شدید جامعه آمریکا
شش . دوقطبی سازی فضاهای منطقه ای مثل آنچه در خلیج فارس انجام میشود
هفت . بی اعتبار کردن همه منابع قدرت ، اعتبار و نفوذ در آمریکا
نکته کنکوری :
اگر بی اعت…
تهاجم ژئوپلیتیک به ایران و ١۵ دارایی ژئوپلیتیک ایران
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
پانزده دارایی ژئوپلیتیک ایران :
١.رها کردن اوکراین بوسیله آمریکا ،
٢.رها کردن عربستان بوسیله آمریکا ؛
٣.رها کردن کره جنوبی ظرف دو سال آینده بوسیله آمریکا ،
۴.نزدیکی هند به ارمنستان ،
۵.جمله کیسینجر وزیر خارجه سابق آمریکا که اعراب بدون مصر نمی توانند بجنگند،
۶.جمله کیسینجر که اعراب بدون سوریه نمی توانند صلح کنند ،
٧.سقوط قدرت سیاسی و اقتصادی اروپا …
راه حل مردم و فعال اقتصادی الان
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
خانواده ها برای موازنه دخل و خرج ، مصرف کالاهای وارداتی را به یک پنجم سابق کاهش دادند
فعال اقتصادی برای موازنه دخل و خرج :
نقدی می خرد
نقدی می فروشد
به اندازه ای که می فروشد؛ فوری می خرد
تعهد جدیدی که بار مالی داره قبول نمی کند
موجودی انبار معادل تا دوهفته فروش
غیر از اجاره ، بقیه تعهدات مالی را با مذاکره خواستار تاخیر در اجرا میشه و ٩٠ درصد فعلا نمی دهند
بدون سود کار…
قدم بعدی ترامپ در جهان کدامست ؟
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
راهبرد آمریکا رها کردن متحدین سنتی آمریکاست ، اما آمریکا هر کشوری را که رها کند در گام بعد اقتصاد آن سقوط می کند
مثال :
آمریکا :
عربستان ، اتحادیه اروپا و کانادا را رها کرد منتظر باشید که اقتصاد آنها سقوط کند
هشدار ریسکی به ایرانیان مقیم کانادا و اروپا :
ثروت تان نصف میشود، خود دانید
@adibmh
چهاربازنده آنچه دارد اتفاق می افتد :
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
بازنده اول .
قدرت سیاسی و اقتصادی اروپا سقوط می کند
بازنده دوم .
رفاه کشورهای نفتی به یک چهارم قبل از جنگ خلیج فارس سقوط می کند
بازنده سوم .
قیمت گاز برای مصارف صنعتی و خانگی در آمریکا یک دهم دنیاست و آمریکا ٨٠٠ میلیارد دلار سوبسید گاز در سال پرداخت می کند این سوبسید قطع میشود و مزیت صنایع شیمیایی آمریکا می رود در هوا
بازنده چهارم .
مصرف بنزین ، گازوئیل ، برق خان…
نقد ترامپ ؛ نقد شما و نقد من
✍️محمد حسین ادیب
جهان و ایران به سمت توزیع بیشتر قدرت ، توزیع بیشتر اعتبار ، توزیع بیشتر نفوذ و توزیع بیشتر وجهه پیش می رود
و
این شامل شما هم میشود که این حرف را میشنوید
و
شامل امریکا و ترامپ هم میشود
ترامپ مظهر چیزیست که می خواد بگه این طور نیست
و
جهان داره می گه این طور هست
ترامپ و شمایی
که دارید این حرف را می خوانید هر دو مخاطب این گفتگویید و شامل هر دو میشود
نتیجه:
شما و ترامپ دارید ض…
Showing the 12 most recent of 63 posts we hold for @adibmh. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@adibmh edited 5 posts after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
First edit seen
27 August 2026
Most recent edit
8 November 2026
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 10 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Channels Telegram recommends alongside this one
Telegram’s own answer, not this register’s. When this register asks Telegram’s API what is similar to this channel, this is the list it returns, in the exact order Telegram returns it — never re-sorted by subscribers or by anything else this register measures. The relationship, and the order, are Telegram’s; we record them and date them, and make no claim of our own about which of these channels actually resemble this one.
Read from Telegram’s recommendation API, most recently 20 August 2026. Telegram holds a list like this for a small and growing share of the register — how this is measured, and why most channel pages show nothing here.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
هاتف سیدپور @hatef_invest · 156,707 Telegram ranks this channel #1 of 85 here — alongside 84 others — read 6 September 2026
میلیاردر @milyarder · 50,002 Telegram ranks this channel #10 of 72 here — alongside 71 others — read 25 August 2026
کانال نرخ آنلاین @nerkhonlinechannel · 47,396 Telegram ranks this channel #11 of 51 here — alongside 50 others — read 26 August 2026
اقتصاد به زبان ساده @eghtesaderooz · 58,394 Telegram ranks this channel #12 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 22 August 2026
Richman : یاسین هدایتی فر @pedarepuldar · 31,669 Telegram ranks this channel #15 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 6 September 2026
قیمت ارز، طلا و سکه @arz_tala_online · 72,056 Telegram ranks this channel #24 of 33 here — alongside 32 others — read 3 September 2026
سازمان مهاجرتی R & K @RandKimmigrationgroup · 19,873 Telegram ranks this channel #30 of 67 here — alongside 66 others — read 30 September 2026
مطالعات اقتصادى بامداد @bamdad_institute · 23,603 Telegram ranks this channel #48 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 18 September 2026
شبکه توسعه @I_D_Network · 38,563 Telegram ranks this channel #51 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 31 August 2026
ایکونیتور - خبرخوانرسمی اقتصادی @econator · 549,482 Telegram ranks this channel #55 of 87 here — alongside 86 others — read 11 September 2026
اکوتوپیا @pouriabakhtiari · 23,433 Telegram ranks this channel #57 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 17 September 2026
بانک اول @bank1 · 47,232 Telegram ranks this channel #57 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 26 August 2026
Renani Mohsen / محسن رنانی @Renani_Mohsen · 67,580 Telegram ranks this channel #58 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 20 August 2026
هزار داستان با مسعود بهنود @hezardastanbehnood · 44,139 Telegram ranks this channel #62 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 28 August 2026
مدیریت رفتار سازمانی @organizationalbehavior · 31,746 Telegram ranks this channel #71 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 5 September 2026
پیج خلاقیت™ @page_khalaghiat · 42,475 Telegram ranks this channel #74 of 78 here — alongside 77 others — read 29 August 2026
جمع مدیران نامدار ایران @excellentmanagers · 27,208 Telegram ranks this channel #82 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 11 September 2026
ترفند مدیریت @tarfandemodiriat · 103,605 Telegram ranks this channel #93 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 15 August 2026
This channel appears in 18 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Domains linked from posts
4 domains this channel’s own posts have linked to, measured by scanning the post bodies themselves — not the channel’s description, which is the separate Declared links section below when this entry has one. Appearing here is not a claim about who runs the linked site or why the channel linked to it; an advertisement, a news citation and a malicious link all leave the same kind of row.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 10 November 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“محمد حسین ادیب” (@adibmh), 69,090 subscribers as measured 10 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/adibmh.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.