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ПолитологОрлов

@politolog_Orlov

On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry

23,902subscribers

-2 since we began measuring on 5 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001266254172
TypeChannel
Username@politolog_Orlov
DescriptionПолитическая аналитика, региональные исследования, рейтинги, авторские комментарии. ⭕️ Сайт АПЭК: apecom.ru 📰 Портал «Региональные комментарии»: regcomment.ru РКН: https://knd.gov.ru/license?id=673b327b1039886b1df5d052&registryType=bloggersPermission
Created5 February 2018measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live16 August 2026
Measurements held11
Confirmed unchanged2 times, most recently 16 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/politolog_Orlov

Topic

Politics & activism — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 62% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear word for word on 1 other registered channel. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@politolog_Orlov/26625 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC@GenicheskSmenaLic/13197 Aug 2026, 10:01 UTC1.0072 seconds
@politolog_Orlov/26626 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC@GenicheskSmenaLic/13207 Aug 2026, 10:01 UTC1.0072 seconds
@politolog_Orlov/26624 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC@GenicheskSmenaLic/13187 Aug 2026, 10:01 UTC1.0072 seconds
@politolog_Orlov/26623 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC@GenicheskSmenaLic/13177 Aug 2026, 10:01 UTC0.9972 seconds
@politolog_Orlov/26636 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 16:04 UTC@GenicheskSmenaLic/13277 Aug 2026, 16:04 UTC0.97under a minute
@politolog_Orlov/26618 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 05:59 UTC@GenicheskSmenaLic/13137 Aug 2026, 06:03 UTC0.944 minutes
Every channel this entry shares post bodies with
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@GenicheskSmenaLic11 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9772 secondsthis entry (110)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 0 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 47 comparable posts for this entry, running 5 August 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Across the whole group of 2, the earliest publisher we hold is @politolog_Orlov — which is this entry. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Recorded under the key clone_source, last confirmed 7 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Also posting the same content

This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 1 other registered channel, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

Growth

23,89323,90423,898.55 August 2026 — 23,904 subscribers6 August 2026 — 23,904 subscribers6 August 2026 — 23,903 subscribers7 August 2026 — 23,900 subscribers8 August 2026 — 23,899 subscribers9 August 2026 — 23,898 subscribers10 August 2026 — 23,893 subscribers11 August 2026 — 23,896 subscribers12 August 2026 — 23,895 subscribers13 August 2026 — 23,897 subscribers14 August 2026 — 23,902 subscribers23,9025 August 202614 August 2026
11 measurements spanning 9 days, net -2. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 23,891–23,906 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
14 Aug 2026, 19:1623,902+5
13 Aug 2026, 08:2523,897+2
12 Aug 2026, 08:3523,895-1
11 Aug 2026, 05:0623,896+3
10 Aug 2026, 04:2223,893-5
9 Aug 2026, 03:1123,898-1
8 Aug 2026, 06:2523,899-1
7 Aug 2026, 08:1423,900-3
6 Aug 2026, 05:2023,903-1
6 Aug 2026, 02:0323,904no change
5 Aug 2026, 22:0623,904first reading

Engagement

128 posts held, back to 5 August 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 24 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
8.70%
avg views ÷ 23,902 subscribers
Avg views / post
2,080
128 posts measured
Reaction rate
this channel exposes no reaction counts
Posts in window
128
of 128 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 16 August 2026
Posts held128 (5 August 202616 August 2026)
Views total266,322
Reactions total
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken16 Aug 2026, 17:53 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
4,260
Videos
20
Links
19,000

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 16 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Recent posts

16 Aug 2026, 08:01 UTC205 viewsread 16 August 2026

Казус Матвеева: риски эскалации резко возрастут, если федеральный центр и руководство КПРФ не достигнут компромисса по конфигурации кампании в Самарской области 🔺Аналитика АПЭК ◾️Часть 2 В этой логике Живайкин получает «освобождённый» округ, но приобретает репутационный долг: его возможная победа будет восприниматься не как результат самостоятельной кампании, а как следствие устранения наиболее опасного соперника

16 Aug 2026, 08:01 UTC≈28,300 viewsread 16 August 2026

Казус Матвеева: риски эскалации резко возрастут, если федеральный центр и руководство КПРФ не достигнут компромисса по конфигурации кампании в Самарской области 🔺Аналитика АПЭК ◾️Часть 1 Скандал вокруг известного самарского деятеля КПРФ Михаила Матвеева инсайдеры характеризуют как региональную игру. По версии самарских собеседников, политик с самого начала не устраивал часть крупного местного бизнеса, заинтересо

15 Aug 2026, 08:03 UTC≈102,000 viewsread 16 August 2026
Photo

📊Рейтинг информационных кампаний в региональных и федеральных Telegram-каналах за период 8 - 14 августа 2026 года 📈Топ-10 информационных кампаний (наличие/отсутствие привязки к конкретному событию): 1️⃣Усиление публичных позиций главы Бурятии Алексея Цыденова ➡️Рабочий визит Владимира Путина в республику. 2️⃣Репутационное ослабление губернатора Свердловской области Дениса Паслера ➡️Перебои с холодной водой в Екат

14 Aug 2026, 18:02 UTC≈1,590 viewsread 16 August 2026

Игнатовский: высокая явка может изменить Заксобрание: на кого работает мобилизация в Петербурге Избирательная кампания в Петербурге проходит на фоне ослабления традиционных оппозиционных партий, роста числа юридических споров вокруг регистрации кандидатов, социальных сетей и авторских прав. Одной из главных интриг остаётся перераспределение голосов сторонников «Яблока», а ожидаемая высокая явка может заметно повлият

14 Aug 2026, 17:03 UTC116 viewsread 16 August 2026
Photo

Регионы и региональная политика за 14 августа: события, тренды, элиты Федеральная и региональная повестка дня объединяет бюджетные ограничения, развитие Арктики, избирательные кампании и проблемы транспортного управления. На первый план выходят дефициты региональных бюджетов, судебные решения по кандидатам, состояние природной инфраструктуры и попытка вывести общественный транспорт из серой зоны. Региональные бюдже

14 Aug 2026, 16:04 UTC105 viewsread 16 August 2026

Кошкин: мобильные огневые группы на Кубани – как Кондратьев предлагает защищать ТЭК от БПЛА Губернатор Краснодарского края Вениамин Кондратьев поручил усилить защиту предприятий ТЭК и критической инфраструктуры. Ключевым инструментом станут мобильные огневые группы (МОГ) из подготовленных резервистов, которые сохранят основную работу и будут получать выплаты. Кошкин Андрей, доктор политических наук, заведующий кафе

14 Aug 2026, 15:01 UTC114 viewsread 16 August 2026

Лавров: Челябинская область: кто возьмёт думские мандаты и как Текслер ведёт кампанию ◾️Часть 2 Расклад сил в регионе в целом понятен. «Единая Россия», которую в области возглавляет Алексей Текслер, остаётся наиболее ресурсной и организационно подготовленной политической силой. Партия провела праймериз, обучила муниципальных депутатов работе со сбором наказов для народной программы, сформировала обновлённую линейку

14 Aug 2026, 15:01 UTC116 viewsread 16 August 2026

Лавров: Челябинская область: кто возьмёт думские мандаты и как Текслер ведёт кампанию ◾️Часть 1 Избирательная кампания в Госдуму‑2026 в Челябинской области прошла экватор: регистрация кандидатов в основном завершена, хотя избиркомы ещё проверяют подписи самовыдвиженцев. Главные ставки сделаны, и теперь кампания входит в наиболее практичную фазу — листовки, газеты, наружная реклама, работа в соцсетях и, что становит

14 Aug 2026, 14:01 UTC≈3,480 viewsread 16 August 2026

Луцет: цены, регуляторика, логистика и налоги: что влияет на сокращение АЗС и к чему приведет В России сократилось количество АЗС и продавать топливо становится невыгодно. По данным сервиса «Контур. Фокус», с начала года число компаний на рынке снизилось примерно на 2% – до 9 тыс., а заправок – на 1%, до 28 тыс. При этом бензин АИ-92 взлетел на 18%, до 73 рублей за литр. Луцет Борис, независимый эксперт, автор и ве

14 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC126 viewsread 16 August 2026

Константинов: нейроагитация по-русски: критическое восприятие не успевает за трендами ИИ становится новой составляющей избирательных кампаний. Меняются способы производства политического контента, при этом создаются определённые риски для доверия к электоральному процессу. Партии используют нейросети при создании иллюстраций, роликов, видеоподкастов. Константинов Богдан, эксперт ЭИСИ: ➖ Все парламентские партии по

14 Aug 2026, 12:01 UTC98 viewsread 16 August 2026

Итуруп после «Варяга»: Путин соединил курильскую повестку с безопасностью в Тихом океане 📍Итуруп в федеральном фокусе На Итурупе Путин вместе с губернатором Валерием Лимаренко посетил рыбоперерабатывающий комплекс «Ясный», Курильскую центральную районную больницу и школу имени Героя России Эдуарда Норполова. В больнице медики сообщили о потребности в новой машине скорой помощи, и президент пообещал решить этот вопр

14 Aug 2026, 11:03 UTC300 viewsread 16 August 2026

Беляков: Дальний Восток под защитой: как визит президента на Курилы усилил статус региона Сегодня в Тихоокеанском регионе начинают формироваться недружественные России альянсы: США пытаются создать подобие Тихоокеанского НАТО для противодействия Китаю и России. И достаточно серьёзную роль в этом играет Япония. Курс на милитаризацию Японии, который сегодня избран руководством этой страны, также не может не вызывать о

Showing the 12 most recent of 128 posts we hold for @politolog_Orlov. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Posts edited after publishing

@politolog_Orlov edited 2 posts after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.

An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.

First edit seen
12 August 2026
Most recent edit
16 August 2026

Citation-graph rank

Citation-graph rank — 1,753 of 1,481,277entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.

Forward network

Republished by

Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.

ПолитОбыватель | Чумаков
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7 posts
Тайны Ленинградского двора ZVO
@Leningrad_guide · 10,223
5 posts
Политген
@politgen · 10,099
5 posts
Нативный нарратив
@ntnrv · 365
4 posts
ПОЛИТ.РУС-ЮГ
@politrus1 · 1,000
4 posts
АП
@Popovprav · 46
4 posts
Храмцов и пустота
@khramtcov · 73
3 posts
Михаил Нейжмаков
@m_neizhmakov · 178
3 posts
СЛАТИНОВ
@slatinov · 1,102
3 posts
The Гращенков
@thegraschenkov · 166,071
3 posts
Алтайский шаман
@altaishaman · 399
2 posts
Алтайский тандем
@altaytandem · 519
2 posts
Башкирский гамбит
@bashgambit · 1,160
2 posts
Панорама Башкортостана
@bashpanorama · 185
2 posts
ЛОБОЙКО
@loboykoru · 464
2 posts
Марина Юрьевна Z
@MarinaYrevna · 848
2 posts
Мастер пера
@master_pera · 57,898
2 posts
НЕАБДУЛЛИН
@neabdullin · 21
2 posts
Уфимский визионер
@nonhistory · 919
2 posts
Только политика.Тыва
@politikatyva · 862
2 posts
Политджойстик / Politjoystic ™
@politjoystic · 250,544
2 posts
Экспертный клуб - Север
@pomorexpert · 199
2 posts
Нефть Мёд МуртаZа
@rb_murtaza · 1,510
2 posts
Ж - значит Жестовская
@sadomirussia · 362
2 posts
Землянка
@zemlyanushka · 22,190
2 posts
Аксютенко Life
@aksutenko · 7,233
1 post
Димон
@askissinsaider · 3
1 post
Беленкова PRо ценности
@Belenkova_image · 324
1 post
Центр «Берлек-Единство»
@berlek_edinstvo · 71
1 post
ВО!-канал
@bo_kanal · 6,125
1 post
Большая Россия
@bolshevikirossii · 11
1 post
ДМИТРИЙ БОНДАРЬ
@bondardmitrii · 11,926
1 post
Луцет
@borislutset · 3,926
1 post
Миролюбов
@denismirolyubov · 2,143
1 post
ПРИРОДА РОДИНА НАРОД
@ecogazeta · 155
1 post
Акценты
@emphasises · 26,150
1 post
Андрей Гусий
@GusyAndrew · 5,808
1 post
INSIDE24
@inside24 · 87
1 post
Иркутск политический
@Irkpolicy · 11,908
1 post
КалмРОП
@kalmROP · 45
1 post
Кремлевский шептун 🚀
@kremlin_sekret · 377,287
1 post
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@kuraifutlar · 30,790
1 post
КЗТП
@kztpo · 483
1 post
ЛенТVZ4
@lentv24 · 7,598
1 post
Политика Онлайн
@policyonline · 3,086
1 post
ПолитЦентр
@politcentr · 682
1 post
Путин 2024 ®️
@proPutin2024 · 83
1 post
Пул N47
@pul47 · 1,855
1 post
Чисто и точка
@rbtko · 47
1 post
НЕЗЫГАРЬ
@russicaru · 423,647
1 post
кРЯполитика.ЦФО-провинция
@rznpolitics · 1,073
1 post
Сибирский цирюльник
@sibcyrulik · 3,112
1 post
Шкодная тамбовчанка
@tambovchanka_ya · 767
1 post
Вадим Трескин
@treskin · 252
1 post
Трошкин. Политика. Россия. Сибирь.
@troshkinSFD · 93
1 post
Урал-Волга-Информ
@UV_Inform · 56
1 post
Друид
@wisedruidd · 59,491
1 post
Зам Дрозденко
@zamdrozdenko · 87
1 post
Зона особого внимания
@zonaosoboho · 158,847
1 post

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 133 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it. The 24 listed below are the most frequent namers; the rest are counted above but not each listed.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels

The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.

СТРАНОВЕД
@stranoved · 116,739
Telegram ranks this channel #24 of 100 here — alongside 99 others — read 14 August 2026
Выборный
@vibornyk · 95,068
Telegram ranks this channel #26 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 16 August 2026
ПолитСатирКа
@satirkka · 258,420
Telegram ranks this channel #33 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 13 August 2026
ПОЛИТИКА В КРУГУ
@politicsinthecircle · 113,874
Telegram ranks this channel #55 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 14 August 2026
Давыдов.Индекс
@davydovin · 1,914,265
Telegram ranks this channel #55 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 8 August 2026

This channel appears in 5 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 14 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“ПолитологОрлов” (@politolog_Orlov), 23,902 subscribers as measured 14 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/politolog_Orlov.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.