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Channel

Truevalue

@truevalue

On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Stars · Posts · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry

14,056subscribers

+70 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001074798115
TypeChannel
Username@truevalue
DescriptionВиктор Тунёв. Избранное о макроэкономике и MMT, финансовом и фондовом рынке. Обратная связь t.me/truevaluator Включен в перечень РКН https://www.gosuslugi.ru/snet/673c3f0b1039886b1dfa0500
Created13 September 2016 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live10 November 2026
Measurements held57
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 10 November 2026
On Telegramt.me/truevalue

Topic

Education — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 66% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.

Growth

13,93414,05813,9966 August 2026 — 13,986 subscribers6 August 2026 — 13,986 subscribers6 August 2026 — 13,987 subscribers7 August 2026 — 13,986 subscribers11 August 2026 — 13,989 subscribers12 August 2026 — 13,979 subscribers14 August 2026 — 13,978 subscribers15 August 2026 — 13,980 subscribers17 August 2026 — 13,984 subscribers18 August 2026 — 13,990 subscribers19 August 2026 — 13,986 subscribers22 August 2026 — 13,983 subscribers24 August 2026 — 13,978 subscribers25 August 2026 — 13,973 subscribers26 August 2026 — 13,977 subscribers27 August 2026 — 13,979 subscribers28 August 2026 — 13,976 subscribers30 August 2026 — 13,978 subscribers31 August 2026 — 13,976 subscribers1 September 2026 — 13,968 subscribers2 September 2026 — 13,969 subscribers4 September 2026 — 13,965 subscribers6 September 2026 — 13,949 subscribers9 September 2026 — 13,940 subscribers12 September 2026 — 13,935 subscribers13 September 2026 — 13,934 subscribers15 September 2026 — 13,941 subscribers17 September 2026 — 13,959 subscribers27 September 2026 — 14,021 subscribers4 October 2026 — 14,024 subscribers9 October 2026 — 14,045 subscribers13 October 2026 — 14,040 subscribers14 October 2026 — 14,031 subscribers15 October 2026 — 14,034 subscribers16 October 2026 — 14,033 subscribers17 October 2026 — 14,030 subscribers18 October 2026 — 14,035 subscribers19 October 2026 — 14,025 subscribers20 October 2026 — 14,028 subscribers21 October 2026 — 14,037 subscribers22 October 2026 — 14,033 subscribers23 October 2026 — 14,038 subscribers25 October 2026 — 14,032 subscribers26 October 2026 — 14,030 subscribers27 October 2026 — 14,038 subscribers28 October 2026 — 14,042 subscribers29 October 2026 — 14,043 subscribers30 October 2026 — 14,042 subscribers31 October 2026 — 14,049 subscribers1 November 2026 — 14,050 subscribers2 November 2026 — 14,051 subscribers3 November 2026 — 14,055 subscribers4 November 2026 — 14,056 subscribers5 November 2026 — 14,054 subscribers6 November 2026 — 14,058 subscribers9 November 2026 — 14,057 subscribers10 November 2026 — 14,056 subscribers14,0566 August 202610 November 2026
57 measurements spanning 97 days, net +70. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 13,915–14,077 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 57
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
10 Nov 2026, 18:4714,056-1
9 Nov 2026, 03:0714,057-1
6 Nov 2026, 18:4914,058+4
5 Nov 2026, 21:4114,054-2
4 Nov 2026, 18:0814,056+1
3 Nov 2026, 15:3914,055+4
2 Nov 2026, 13:3714,051+1
1 Nov 2026, 15:5414,050+1
31 Oct 2026, 18:0814,049+7
30 Oct 2026, 14:3114,042-1
29 Oct 2026, 15:0414,043+1
28 Oct 2026, 14:4614,042+4
27 Oct 2026, 14:2714,038+8
26 Oct 2026, 14:0414,030-2
25 Oct 2026, 16:5514,032-6
23 Oct 2026, 21:3514,038+5
22 Oct 2026, 23:3714,033-4
21 Oct 2026, 23:4114,037+9
20 Oct 2026, 20:5914,028+3
19 Oct 2026, 20:1014,025first reading

Engagement

22 posts held, back to 15 June 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 67 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
29.9%
avg views ÷ 14,056 subscribers
Avg views / post
4,200
3 posts measured
Reaction rate
1.18%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
3
of 22 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 22 October 2026
Posts held22 (15 June 2026 – 22 October 2026)
Views total12,600
Reactions total149
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken11 Nov 2026, 07:29 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
735
Videos
19
Links
826

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 11 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.

Video runtime
1m 15s
Average length
38s

Measured directly from 2 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Reaction mix

1,483 reactions across 22 posts, in 2 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 95.3% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
👍1,41395.3%
👎704.72%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 22 of the 22 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1,483 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 22 most recent posts we hold, published 15 June 2026 to 22 October 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Telegram Stars

Stars received
16
across the posts below
Posts paid on
8
of 22 we hold a reading for · 36%
Most on one post
4
single highest reading

A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @truevalue. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.

Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.

This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.

Counted over the 22 most recent posts we hold for this entry, published 15 June 2026 to 22 October 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.

Recent posts

Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 2 of 3 posts held from the last 30 days (66.7%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).

22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC≈3,670 views55 reactionsread 11 November 2026

"Почему в РФ всегда высокая инфляция?" - задали такой вопрос - отвечаю: Инфляция в России выше цели 4% была не всегда - с 2021 и до 2016 г. В 2017-2020 гг. индекс был ровно на цели 4% в среднем - тогда у нас была и бюджетная консолидация (минимальный рост расходов), и низкий рост частного кредита, и стабильный курс рубля. До 2016 и с 2021 основная причина повышенной инфляции - рост совокупных расходов в экономике з…

👍51👎4

19 Oct 2026, 11:31 UTC≈4,250 views43 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Photo

ГОСДОЛГ: КАК ВЕРНУТЬ ИНВЕСТОРОВ [2] Что пользуется спросом на рынке облигаций можно отслеживать по притокам в ПИФы. До июня 2026 приток средств в ПИФы ~100 млрд руб. в месяц распределялся между фондами облигаций с фиксированным купоном (40%, в основном ОФЗ-ПД) и фондами денежного рынка (60%, включая квази-денежные фонды флоатеров). Cейчас общий приток уменьшился в 2 раза, при этом более 100 млрд в месяц приходит в ф…

👍43

17 Oct 2026, 08:08 UTC≈4,680 views51 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Photo

ГОСДОЛГ: КАК ВЕРНУТЬ ИНВЕСТОРОВ. Доходность длинных ОФЗ-ПД близка к 17%, а премия за срочность* 3 п.п. повторила максимумы 2023 г. Но тогда ключевая ставка была близка к нейтральной 7,5%, а сейчас – существенно выше. *Считаем по разнице доходности длинных (7 лет дюрации) и коротких ОФЗ (1 год). Наибольшая дюрация 6,7 лет у ОФЗ 26238 с погашением через 15 лет в 2041 г. Минфин с трудом размещает длинные и среднесрочн…

👍47👎4

12 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC≈4,670 views54 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Photo

КАК ОЦЕНИВАТЬ БЮДЖЕТНЫЙ СТИМУЛ Проинфляционность бюджета в прошлом доказывать не нужно. Минфин сам все посчитал и сделал дезинфляционный прогноз на будущее. ИМПУЛЬС = ФИНАНСОВЫЙ ДЕФИЦИТ В проекте федерального бюджета 2027 влияние на экономику и инфляцию оценивается через бюджетный импульс. Под ним понимается сумма разных финансовых балансов государства за вычетом расходов на обслуживание долга: структурный первичн…

👍54

2 Oct 2026, 08:48 UTC≈9,240 views86 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Photo

Финансы застройщиков - лучший пример неэффективности длительно жесткой ДКП, при которой высокая ключевая ставка (КС): • сначала разгоняет цены через спрос на льготную ипотеку, затем - через процентные издержки; • ограничивает инвестиции и предложение жилья в будущем; • создает риски макростабильности в целой отрасли, перераспределяя финансовые активы без создания какой-либо true value. Отчетность публичных застройщи…

👍74👎12

28 Sept 2026, 12:55 UTC≈13,100 views65 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Photo

НОВЫЙ ПРОГНОЗ ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВА: БЮДЖЕТ, КУРС И НАЛОГИ. Ускорение роста ВВП с 0,6% в 2026 до 2,4% к 2029 при сокращении дефицита бюджета и чистого экспорта возможно за счет ускорения частного кредита и долга. В сумме кредитное предложение (КП) ~14% ВВП должно, как минимум, сохраниться (график 1, см. версии 2023 и июля 2026). Сейчас КП формирует финансовые сбережения частного сектора, близкие к нормальным (14%). Историче…

👍61👎4

28 Sept 2026, 12:55 UTC≈4,360 views20 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Video

🧮 Кто ваш любимый макроэкономист? Отвечают, внезапно, сами макроэкономисты! ➡️ На форуме РБК «Кэпитал Маркетс», который прошел на этой неделе, собрались главные эксперты рынка. А мы узнали у них, кто из коллег им нравится больше всего. ▪️Кого бы назвали вы? ❗️ Всё главное для инвестора — в приложении РБК для iOS и Android.

👍20

14 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC≈8,890 views104 reactions2 Starsread 11 November 2026
Photo

ЦИКЛ СНИЖЕНИЯ ПОСТАВЛЕН НА ПАУЗУ. Ставка 14% с нами надолго, если ЦБ также будет манипулировать данными и смыслами. Устойчивая инфляция, бюджет и корп.кредит - три основных фактора, за которыми будет следить регулятор. В этот раз Банк России не стал ставить консенсус в неудобное положение и проголосовал за единственный вариант - сохранения КС с нейтральным сигналом. Риторика и отсутствие варианта снижения КС оказали…

👍100👎4

10 Sept 2026, 07:58 UTC≈7,140 views63 reactionsread 11 November 2026
Photo

КТО ШОРТИТ РОССИЙСКИЕ АКЦИИ?! С мая 2026 физлица активно наращивают короткие позиции в основном индексе на российские акции. В сумме прирост short'ов >30 млрд руб. Нетто-позиция Net Long по фьючерсам на индекс Мосбиржи ушла в минус - Long 49 против Short 50 млрд руб. Ранее был Net Long до +40 млрд. Ненормально, когда физические лица занимают чистые короткие позиции в целом классе активов. В отдельных акциях или инс…

👍63

1 Sept 2026, 08:51 UTC≈5,570 views40 reactionsread 2 September 2026
Photo

Основные направления ДКП на 2027-2029 гг. Ежегодно с 2019 г. анализирую основной стратегический документ Банка России. Год назад и ранее оценивал динамику валютного курса в разных сценариях. Сейчас сложно взять начальную точку из-за высокой волатильности. Средний курс с начала года 77 руб. за USD против текущих 86 руб. Все, что написано год назад, можно отнести и к проекту нового документа: ▪️Все те же противоречия…

👍40

17 Aug 2026, 05:02 UTC≈8,970 views69 reactionsread 2 September 2026

Современная макроэкономика: между учебником и реальностью Кто желает погрузиться в проблематику современной экономической мысли рекомендую посмотреть одноименный методический семинар в Европейском университете СПб (см. пост Юлии Вымятниной). Основной докладчик - Вадим Грищенко из Банка России. Мы с Вадимом и Василием Ткачевым из МГИМО 5 лет назад опубликовали научную статью о современной денежной теории (Modern Mon…

👍68👎1

11 Aug 2026, 06:55 UTC≈11,100 views74 reactionsread 2 September 2026
Photo

СБЕРЕЖЕНИЯ НАСЕЛЕНИЯ остаются на высоком уровне при любой ставке процента. Но их структура существенно меняется, в том числе под воздействием ставки и сигналов от ДКП. При снижении ставки уменьшились вложения в депозиты, увеличились - в облигации и наличные рубли. В июне-июле распродажа на фондовом рынке существенно снизила сбережения в ценных бумагах и фондах облигаций. Данные из обзора рисков финрынков подтверждаю…

👍71👎3

Showing the 12 most recent of 22 posts we hold for @truevalue. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Stars beside a post are paid reactions — Telegram Stars, bought with money and spent on that post. They are a different unit from reactions and are never added to them, here or anywhere else on this page.

Forward network

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 15 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels

The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.

TruEcon
@truecon · 26,638
Telegram ranks this channel #4 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 12 September 2026
Капитал
@sgcapital · 19,117
Telegram ranks this channel #5 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 3 October 2026
Твердые цифры
@xtxixty · 20,209
Telegram ranks this channel #5 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 28 September 2026
Politeconomics
@politeconomics · 20,981
Telegram ranks this channel #11 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 25 September 2026
Ренат Валеев
@renat_vv · 19,352
Telegram ranks this channel #13 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 30 September 2026
Ассоциация инвесторов «АВО»
@Bondholders · 23,928
Telegram ranks this channel #16 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 10 September 2026
MMI
@russianmacro · 101,987
Telegram ranks this channel #20 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 15 August 2026
Тимофей Мартынов
@martynovtim · 36,612
Telegram ranks this channel #27 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 2 September 2026
Angry Bonds
@angrybonds · 24,239
Telegram ranks this channel #28 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 16 September 2026
Frank Media
@frank_media · 32,153
Telegram ranks this channel #28 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 5 September 2026
Mozgovik Research | Анализ акций
@mozgovikresearch · 23,525
Telegram ranks this channel #31 of 99 here — alongside 98 others — read 18 September 2026
Манька Аблигация
@marythebond · 45,815
Telegram ranks this channel #31 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 28 August 2026
Кот Эльвиры
@KotElviry · 47,884
Telegram ranks this channel #34 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 26 August 2026
ФИНАНСОВЫЕ ДУМКИ
@MarketDumki · 52,239
Telegram ranks this channel #34 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 24 August 2026
Олег Кузьмичев
@kuzmlab · 23,488
Telegram ranks this channel #38 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 18 September 2026
P.S investing
@malishok_fonda · 27,704
Telegram ranks this channel #38 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 12 September 2026
#неинвестсовет by Alex Butmanov
@dtiAlgo · 36,800
Telegram ranks this channel #38 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 31 August 2026
Бла-бла-номика
@blablanomika · 46,622
Telegram ranks this channel #39 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 2 September 2026
Усиленные Инвестиции
@eninv · 24,212
Telegram ranks this channel #40 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 18 September 2026
Invest Heroes
@InvestHeroes · 39,760
Telegram ranks this channel #40 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 30 August 2026
Global Economics
@global_economics · 25,129
Telegram ranks this channel #41 of 80 here — alongside 79 others — read 28 September 2026
Банк России
@centralbank_russia · 243,972
Telegram ranks this channel #41 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 11 August 2026
Market Power
@marketpowercomics · 31,882
Telegram ranks this channel #42 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 6 September 2026
Артем Тузов. Финансы и инвестиции
@tuzov_invest · 27,666
Telegram ranks this channel #46 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 10 September 2026

This channel appears in 38 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total, of which the 24 where it ranks highest are shown above. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 10 November 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Truevalue” (@truevalue), 14,056 subscribers as measured 10 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/truevalue.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.