I cover geopolitics on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@geopoliticshaiphong. Support me at www.patreon.com/dannyhaiphong.
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Created
23 February 2021 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
International news — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 59% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.
Observations
These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.
Content that also appears on other registered channels
Posts published here appear in near-verbatim form on 2 other registered channels. This entry also sits inside a group of 19 channels linked by matching posts, directly or through other channels in the group; two members of the group may share no posts with each other. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.
Matching posts — open both and compare (3 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Channels this entry shares post bodies with, where at least one matching post pair has no forward credit between the two channels, or to a common source, recorded in our data
Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.
What this cannot establish
MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.
Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 0 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.
“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 79 comparable posts for this entry, running 15 July 2026 to 12 November 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.
The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.
Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).
Of the group of 19 channels, the one whose matching posts we hold earliest is @Global_Newsz. That channel is not among the channels listed above, so this entry may share no posts with it and this does not say where this entry’s content came from. It is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.
Views per post sit far above this size band
15,800 average views per post against 18,321 subscribers — an engagement rate of 86.3%. Across the 6,391 registered channels in the same cohort — 10,001–31,617 subscribers, posting mainly in English — the middle half sit between 2.54% and 14.4%, with a median of 6.81%.
What this was computed from
Window
30 days (6 October 2026 – 5 November 2026)
Posts measured
23 of 23 published in the window (1 exact, 22 rounded by Telegram)
Views totalled
363,789
Mature posts only
91.4% over 21 posts read at least 24h after publication
When this is recorded. A channel is listed here only when its engagement rate sits at or above the 99th percentile of its cohort and is at least 3× away from that cohort’s median — above it — on both the all-readings figure and the mature-only figure. The percentile alone would be circular: a percentile cut puts the same share of every cohort in the tail whatever the data looks like. The distance from the median is what makes it a statement about this channel.
This is not a verdict, and the direction is not a quality signal. A low rate has many innocent causes — audiences that read in the Telegram app without opening the channel, a subscriber base built long before the current output, an audience in a different timezone from our reading. A high rate has innocent causes too: a post that travelled far beyond the channel’s own subscribers will do it. We publish the measurement and the distribution it sits in. The full cohort baselines are downloadable, so this comparison can be reproduced rather than trusted.
Recorded under the keys clone_source · err_high, last confirmed 13 November 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.
Channels linked by matching posts
This channel is in a group of 19 registered channels linked by matching posts, directly or through other channels in the group. This channel may share no posts with some of the channels listed below, and listed channels may share none with each other. Links are found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register.
Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown in this list. “First” could only mean first in our own crawl, which depends on how deep we happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. Our one hand-check read 45 of the highest-confidence flagged pairs against the live Telegram pages. In 18 of them the live page showed a “Forwarded from” credit that our database had no record of, so reading that pair as an unattributed copy was wrong; the check did not measure who published first. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Near-verbatim matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.
1 more channel is in this same group but not listed individually here.
Growth
65 measurements spanning 98 days, net -8. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 18,267–18,346 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 65
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
12 Nov 2026, 07:55
18,314
-5
10 Nov 2026, 02:46
18,319
-5
8 Nov 2026, 17:36
18,324
+3
7 Nov 2026, 09:07
18,321
-2
6 Nov 2026, 08:11
18,323
+2
5 Nov 2026, 11:07
18,321
-3
4 Nov 2026, 13:35
18,324
+3
3 Nov 2026, 11:59
18,321
+6
2 Nov 2026, 11:59
18,315
+10
1 Nov 2026, 11:26
18,305
-5
31 Oct 2026, 11:04
18,310
+5
30 Oct 2026, 13:19
18,305
-6
29 Oct 2026, 15:20
18,311
-9
27 Oct 2026, 16:20
18,320
+1
26 Oct 2026, 12:55
18,319
-7
25 Oct 2026, 15:01
18,326
-10
23 Oct 2026, 17:55
18,336
+7
22 Oct 2026, 15:18
18,329
-4
21 Oct 2026, 08:40
18,333
-2
20 Oct 2026, 08:37
18,335
first reading
Engagement
83 posts held, back to 15 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 78 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
88.1%
avg views ÷ 18,314 subscribers
Avg views / post
16,100
33 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.348%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
33
of 83 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 13 November 2026
Posts held
83 (15 July 2026 – 13 November 2026)
Views total
532,441
Reactions total
1,852
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
14 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈896
Videos
≈317
Links
≈1,810
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 14 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Reaction mix
4,940 reactions across 81 posts, in 33 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 48.0% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
❤
2,371
48.0%
👍
1,973
39.9%
🔥
261
5.28%
👏
137
2.77%
💯
35
0.709%
😡
28
0.567%
👎
26
0.526%
🤮
13
0.263%
👌
11
0.223%
🤡
11
0.223%
🤬
11
0.223%
🤣
7
0.142%
💩
6
0.121%
😁
6
0.121%
😈
6
0.121%
🙏
5
0.101%
🥰
5
0.101%
🏆
4
0.081%
☃
3
0.061%
🎃
3
0.061%
13 further kinds
18
0.364%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 83 of the 83 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 5,078 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 83 most recent posts we hold, published 15 July 2026 to 13 November 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 6 of 33 posts held from the last 30 days (18.2%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).
https://geopoliticsprime.substack.com/p/iranus-a-hard-rains-a-gonna-fall
Dylanesque, of course - and bone-chillin'.
Including the failed Qatar gambit; the implications of "neither war nor peace"; and why hell's gonna break loose.
Black is the color, none is the number.
***LIVESTREAM ALERT***
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE today November 13th 1pm eastern 7pm CET w/ Larry Johnson!
The US and Iran traded strikes overnight as Israeli media reports that the Pentagon and Israeli military are planning a much bigger war. As the USS Teddy Roosevelt enters CENTCOM's "area of operations", the USS Bush is facing major crisis as families warn of mutiny-level conditions on board. Former CIA analyst …
***LIVESTREAM ALERT***
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE w/ Anthony Aguilar & Col. Lawrence Wilkerson TODAY Nov 12th 1pm eastern 7pm CET!
Iran has announced the deployment of a new weapon that directly rejects Trump's demand that Iran give up its nuclear program. Israel is reportedly furious over Trump's possible chickening out on renewed strikes with Iran as per an "explosive" phone call with Netanyahu. Are we witnessing a…
LIVESTREAM ALERT:
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE TODAY Nov 11th w/ Patrick Henningsen & Daniel Davis 1pm eastern 7pm CET!
The US military is fleeing Europe after Iran lifted its self-imposed 2,000 km missile strike limitation. Iran has also rejected the Trump administration's assertions that talks are taking place between Washington and Tehran. Geopolitical analyst Patrick Henningsen and Deep Dive Host and former combat …
LIVESTREAM ALERT:
Join Pepe Escobar LIVE 10am eastern 4pm CET TODAY NOV 10th on Danny Haiphong’s show!
Pepe Escobar breaks down Iran’s response to the US’s “limited” strikes, diplomacy theater put on by Trump, and the empire of chaos at a crossroads in the war on Iran as Putin and Xi prepare to meet Trump in Shenzhen.
Watch here for all runs and more in a full hour of geopolitical analysis:
https://www.youtube.co…
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE today Nov 9th 2pm eastern 8pm CET w/ Scott Ritter!
The US has carried out the third day in a row of "limited strikes" on Iran, this time hitting Qeshm island. CENTCOM has declared a new operation "Iron Gate" to cut off Iran's land routes while secretly telling Israel to be prepared to launch a wider war at any moment. Scott Ritter joins the show to discuss what these developments mean for th…
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE today Nov 8th 1:00pm eastern 7:00pm CET Seyed Mohammad Marandi!
The US has launched another round of strikes on Iran in reported “retaliation” to ongoing Iranian enforcement of control over the Strait of Hormuz. Prof Seyed Mohammad Marandi joins the show to discuss the latest developments in a war that is reaching a decisive phase and a world order in flux.
Watch here:
https://www.youtube.…
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE today Nov 7th 1:30pm eastern 7:30pm CET w/ Trita Parsi & KJ Noh!
The world came to the brink of all-out war overnight as US strikes on Qeshm island were answered by Iran with several drones downed and fighter jets targeted. Why is the US going for tit-for-tat and attempting to keep the media spotlight off its "limited strikes"? What will renewed and intensified US-Israeli aggression on Iran …
Join Danny Haiphong LIVE today Nov 6th 12:30pm eastern 6:30pm CET w/ Trita Parsi & Alex Christoforou!
Dr. Trita Prasi and Alex Christoforou join to discuss their expert analysis of geopolitical developments underway, including new reports of Trump's "revenge" strike on Iran & Israel possibly taking the lead in a new phase of escalation. Also, Russia and Iran just concluded intense talks led by top Iranian security c…
Danny Haiphong is LIVE today Nov 5th 1pm eastern 7pm CET w/ Patrick Henningsen and Col Lawrence Wilkerson
Iran scored a major blow to Trump in the midterm tsunami that is throwing the reeling US administration into panic mode as CENTCOM declares readiness to strike upon order and Netanyahu holds an emergency meeting to prepare for another round of war. Is Trump TACOing or is the US trying to lull Iran to sleep befor…
LOTS of nuggets.
From Shanghai.
Including the renewed drive by Russia and China backing Iran.
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2026/11/03/iran-us-diplomacy-at-top-shooting-underneath/
***LIVESTREAM ALERT***
Join me LIVE w/ Anthony Aguilar & Ray McGovern TODAY Nov 4th 1pm eastern 7pm CET!
Does major defeat of the GOP in the midterm elections mean that war with Iran is about to restart in a big way? US movements in the region indicate that CENTCOM and Israel are preparing for exactly this. Anthony Aguilar and Ray McGovern join to discuss the latest geopolitical developments as war takes shape bene…
❤37👍11☃3
Showing the 12 most recent of 83 posts we hold for @dannyhaiphong. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@dannyhaiphong edited 3 posts after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
First edit seen
24 August 2026
Most recent edit
29 August 2026
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
Brian Berletic's New Atlas Channel @brianlovethailand · 40,657 Telegram ranks this channel #12 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 29 August 2026
Pepe Escobar @rocknrollgeopolitics · 65,967 Telegram ranks this channel #14 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 21 August 2026
Eva Karene Bartlett @EvaKarene_Bartlett · 32,443 Telegram ranks this channel #25 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 4 September 2026
Geopolitics Prime @geopolitics_prime · 288,752 Telegram ranks this channel #28 of 86 here — alongside 85 others — read 10 August 2026
The American Majority @americanmajority · 26,025 Telegram ranks this channel #30 of 79 here — alongside 78 others — read 14 September 2026
Jackson Hinkle @jacksonhinkle · 33,148 Telegram ranks this channel #36 of 81 here — alongside 80 others — read 3 September 2026
The Islander @TheIslanderNews · 61,566 Telegram ranks this channel #37 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 22 August 2026
Scott Ritter @ScottRitter · 85,667 Telegram ranks this channel #37 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 17 August 2026
Eurasia & Multipolarity @EurasianChoice · 23,516 Telegram ranks this channel #39 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 17 September 2026
Multipolar Market @multipolarmarket · 26,781 Telegram ranks this channel #46 of 84 here — alongside 83 others — read 10 September 2026
Bebo’s Friends @myLordBebo · 71,924 Telegram ranks this channel #46 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 19 August 2026
The Duran @thedurancom · 51,335 Telegram ranks this channel #47 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 24 August 2026
Fearless John - @European_dissident @European_dissident · 69,176 Telegram ranks this channel #47 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 20 August 2026
Node of Time EN @node_of_time_en · 19,830 Telegram ranks this channel #48 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 30 September 2026
Patrick Lancaster News Today @patricklancasternewstoday · 39,560 Telegram ranks this channel #48 of 87 here — alongside 86 others — read 30 August 2026
DD Geopolitics @DDGeopolitics · 189,792 Telegram ranks this channel #49 of 84 here — alongside 83 others — read 11 August 2026
Vanessa Beeley @VanessaBeeley · 21,712 Telegram ranks this channel #56 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 22 September 2026
Foreign Agent Intel @ForeignAgentIntel · 31,402 Telegram ranks this channel #58 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 6 September 2026
🇦🇺AussieCossack🇷🇺 @AussieCossack · 70,339 Telegram ranks this channel #62 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 20 August 2026
Russian Diplomat 🅉 @R_Diplomat · 19,764 Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 82 here — alongside 81 others — read 28 September 2026
SITREP - Independent OSINT Channel @sitreports · 22,851 Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 80 here — alongside 79 others — read 19 September 2026
InfoDefenseENGLISH @infodefENGLAND · 50,367 Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 85 here — alongside 84 others — read 25 August 2026
RT Documentary @militarywave · 41,230 Telegram ranks this channel #65 of 84 here — alongside 83 others — read 29 August 2026
Russian MFA 🇷🇺 @MFARussia · 54,659 Telegram ranks this channel #70 of 87 here — alongside 86 others — read 24 August 2026
This channel appears in 33 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total, of which the 24 where it ranks highest are shown above. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 November 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“China and Geopolitics with Danny Haiphong” (@dannyhaiphong), 18,314 subscribers as measured 12 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/dannyhaiphong.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.