Новости Defi, анонсы, брейкинг ньюсы, трейд-идеи и выжимки из дневников Chaotic Good
Наш чат и дневники трейдеров 👉 https://t.me/+Rnf3uDCdXFJkZjBl
Открыть дневник 👉 @ iamlonga (рекламу не размещаем, ничего не шилим)
Created
7 January 2018 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 11 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 100% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Observations
These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.
Content that also appears on other registered channels
Posts published here appear word for word on 1 other registered channel. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.
Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.
What this cannot establish
MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.
Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 0 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.
“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 18 comparable posts for this entry, running 21 February 2026 to 19 July 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.
The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.
Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).
Across the whole group of 2, the earliest publisher we hold is @cryptoskreps — which is this entry. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.
Recorded under the key clone_source, last confirmed 7 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.
Also posting the same content
This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 1 other registered channel, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.
Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.
3 measurements spanning 4 days, net -10. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 6,745–6,758 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
9 Aug 2026, 18:13
6,746
-10
6 Aug 2026, 07:40
6,756
no change
6 Aug 2026, 05:18
6,756
first reading
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 21 February 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 10 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
24.4%
avg views ÷ 6,746 subscribers
Avg views / post
1,650
2 posts measured
Reaction rate
1.22%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
2
of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 19 July 2026
Posts held
20 (21 February 2026 – 19 July 2026)
Views total
3,290
Reactions total
40
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
12 Aug 2026, 02:49 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈429
Videos
≈5
Links
≈1,220
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 12 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Reaction mix
348 reactions across 17 posts, in 3 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 66.7% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
👍
232
66.7%
🔥
105
30.2%
👎
11
3.16%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 17 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 348reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 21 February 2026 to 19 July 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Bulk Trade идея (особенно для холдеров SOL, но можно и стейблами замутить)
Нашел интересную идею по Балку.
Основной тезис — их будут накачивать, т.к. Солане нужен свой ХЛ-ЛИТ-Аркус. Высокопроизводительный перп декс с UXом централизованной биржи
Это самый близкий к Солана кабалу перп с инвестициями от Толи.
Некоторое время назад я писал о них и до сих пор держу стейблы в предепозитах.
Кроме как за холд стейблов (…
Робинхуд —> Arс Chain
Хз чем все закончится (вероятно ничем), но после прогрева аудитории концертом Робинхуда, на носу другой жирный ланч — АРК от USDC.
Лор там примерно такой. В Июне пара десятков юзеров успели забриджить неск косарей USDC в слитый RPC. Его потом прикрыли.
Сейчас есть
— Несколько токенов мейннета, включая собаку фаундера, которые почти никто не может торговать
— 50х наценка на ОТС обмен УСДС с м…
Вайтлист на главный спот+перп декс Робинхуд чейна Arcus
— Сделан командой DYDX, но не связан с их токеном. Будет ли свой токен неизвестно
— Обещают 24-7 спот и перп трейд RWA
— На всякий случай лучше стать в очередь на случай промо как были у Ondo Perps, или пойнт-программы
— Подключать лучше всего самый активный ончейн и в перпах кош
— 1-2 миннуты на все
Мой инвайт — https://waitlist.arcus.xyz/s/CHAOS
Оффтоп, у меня есть бабушка в Киеве, ей (проверяет файлик) 97 лет.
Она олдскульный биохакер, в нее заряжают таблеток на 20-30% от ее веса ежедневно. Бабушка их ест и живет каждый следующий день, как будто ни в чем не бывало
У нее была сложная жизнь, вторая мировая, сейчас снова ракеты, куча травматичных опытов. Когда мы созваниваемся по вск она говорит — Родион, возьми сына, посади на стул, и расскажи ему про нашу …
БАЙАСЫ
Как микро-инфл продолжаю освещать социально значимые темы. Да и настроение есть)
Байасы — предустановки, пред настройки. Если абстрагировать — алгоритмы оценки чего-либо на основе прошлого опыта и паттернов в энерго-эффективном стиле.
Нужно потратить сильно больше калорий, чтобы оценить каждую поступающую новость через призму отсутствия предубеждений, с чистого листа, это затратно и стрессово.
Гораздо прощ…
Абсолютно не хватает времени вести "блог", то есть постить сюда что-то полноценным текстом с отредактированными грамматическими ошибками) Слишком много идей по рынку и тем для ресерча.
Сейчас активно гружусь временем и немного стейблами в Canton, разбираем у меня в блоге https://t.me/chaoticmf/2800 этого корпоративного кабал-монстра
Советую познакомиться с проектом и поставить нотифы ON. От бывшего хеда ИИ в Мета. Модель для понимания физического мира и роботов
https://x.com/amilabs
https://x.com/ylecun
Почти наверняка будет огромный хайп на ICO, а пока можно последить и поискать экспоуз через приватку или сопутствующий нарратив
Перекинул около трети ETH позы в SOL
Мой беришь тезис по Солане, как нестастейнабл казино мемов полностью отыгрался, что видно на графике ETH/SOL
Однако с момента когда этот тезис возник с Соланой происходят важные изменения.
1. Они зверски отъедают долю RWA у Эфира. +20% Market share за последний месяц. Цена SOL пока это не отражает
2. Куча всего интересного в Defi запускается на SOL
3. Лучшая биздев команда, тут…
The shares total 254%, above 100: this poll accepts more than one answer per voter. No per-option vote count is published, so the number of voters who chose each option is not derivable and is not shown.
Чат снова доступен всем
Ссылка 👉 t.me/chaoticmf
Не планирую в ближайшее время переводить в приват, поэтому можно свободно делиться ссылкой. С ботами как-то порешаем.
Я довольно активен в трейдинге сейчас + сам рынок активировался, велкам
Ограничения по странам паспорта, поправка к посту выше, ошибся. При этом можно с RU/UA паспортом регистрироваться, если проживаешь в другой стране с доками локального адреса
🔥6
Signed Rodion Longa | Chaotic Good Crypto
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @cryptoskreps. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Polls
The 2 polls we hold for this entry, as Telegram rendered them when we read the post. A poll’s figures keep moving after that, so each one is dated.
The shares total 254%, above 100: this poll accepts more than one answer per voter. No per-option vote count is published, so the number of voters who chose each option is not derivable and is not shown.
Поменяли ли вы отношение к Трампу и его политике за последние недели?
Да, из негативного в позитивное/нейтральное1%
Да, из нейтрального в позитивное1%
Да, из позитивного в нейтральное или негативное20%
Не поменял, было негативным и осталось45%
Не поменял, было позитивное и осталось/укрепилось9%
Хз, покаж резалты27%
The shares total 103%, above 100: this poll accepts more than one answer per voter. No per-option vote count is published, so the number of voters who chose each option is not derivable and is not shown.
Percentages only — there are no per-option vote counts here, because Telegram publishes none.The public post preview gives each option’s share and a single voter total, and nothing else. Multiplying one by the other would produce a per-option tally that looks measured and is not: the shares are rounded to whole numbers before we ever see them. We print what was published and leave the column that does not exist empty.
The shares need not add up to 100.Rounding alone puts many polls at 99 or 101. A poll that allows more than one answer per voter runs well past 100 by design, and several here do. The bars are drawn against a fixed 100% track at each option’s own percentage rather than normalised to the total, so a poll that exceeds it shows that it does instead of being quietly rescaled.
Read from the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 21 February 2026 to 19 July 2026. Telegram labels each poll by kind — an anonymous poll, a quiz, a closed set of final results — and that label is reproduced rather than paraphrased.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 325,015 of 1,151,006entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Handles this channel named that no longer answer
Dead references
1
handles named in this channel’s posts, vacant today
Evidenced gone
0
we ourselves saw one of these resolve, at some point
Never seen alive
1
vacant every time we have ever looked
@cryptoskreps named 1 handle that resolve to nothing today. That is a fact about the reference, not necessarily a fact about the handle’s history — see the two groups below.
Most of these may never have existed as a live channel at all.A handle a channel names can be a typo, an aspirational name nobody registered, or a channel that was already gone before this one ever mentioned it. Unless a row below is marked evidenced, all we know is that it references a handle that is not a live channel today — not that anything “died”. How this is measured.
Never seen alive
References a handle that is not a live channel — we have no record it ever was one.
@chaoticgooddao named in 3 posts, 8 August 2026 – 9 August 2026
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
Drops Analytics @drops_analytics · 683,618 Telegram ranks this channel #30 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 10 August 2026
This channel appears in 1 seed channel's Telegram-generated recommendation list in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 9 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Chaotic Good Крипта (💀,😇)” (@cryptoskreps), 6,746 subscribers as measured 9 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/cryptoskreps.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.
