گزارش به روز رسانی وضعیت جنگ-شماره 88 - مهدی محمدی- 12 شهریور 1405 (بروز رسانی وضعیت نظامی، شناختی و امنیتی) @mahdi_mohammadi61

Channel
عقل سرخ | مهدي محمدي
@mahdi_mohammadi61
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry
17,171subscribers
+1,049 since we began measuring on 5 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001009449586 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @mahdi_mohammadi61 |
| Created | 30 October 2015 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel) |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 18 September 2026 |
| Measurements held | 35 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 18 September 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/mahdi_mohammadi61 |
Topic
Politics & activism — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 50% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2026, 00:59 | 17,171 | +78 |
| 15 Sept 2026, 18:22 | 17,093 | +23 |
| 14 Sept 2026, 03:39 | 17,070 | +49 |
| 12 Sept 2026, 13:57 | 17,021 | +66 |
| 10 Sept 2026, 12:20 | 16,955 | +120 |
| 7 Sept 2026, 05:59 | 16,835 | +98 |
| 4 Sept 2026, 14:18 | 16,737 | +100 |
| 3 Sept 2026, 00:58 | 16,637 | +80 |
| 1 Sept 2026, 20:57 | 16,557 | +26 |
| 31 Aug 2026, 21:04 | 16,531 | +43 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 20:28 | 16,488 | +26 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 22:04 | 16,462 | +8 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 01:27 | 16,454 | -2 |
| 28 Aug 2026, 01:05 | 16,456 | +6 |
| 26 Aug 2026, 21:54 | 16,450 | +30 |
| 25 Aug 2026, 19:26 | 16,420 | +10 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 15:57 | 16,410 | +14 |
| 22 Aug 2026, 23:15 | 16,396 | +15 |
| 21 Aug 2026, 12:47 | 16,381 | +14 |
| 20 Aug 2026, 09:08 | 16,367 | first reading |
Engagement
60 posts held, back to 24 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 55 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 31.8%
- avg views ÷ 17,171 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 5,460
- 13 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- —
- this channel exposes no reaction counts
- Posts in window
- 13
- of 60 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 2 September 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 60 (24 July 2026 – 2 September 2026) |
| Views total | 71,010 |
| Reactions total | — |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 3 Sept 2026, 09:46 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Video runtime
- 50m 47s
- Average length
- 3m 38s
Measured directly from 14 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Recent posts
📌 جنگ طراحیشده؛ از ترور اجتماعی تا تقلای برای حفظ دروغ ✍️ مهدی محمدی شب گذشته صرفاً یک عملیات نظامی نبود؛ غرب با تلفیق عملیات روانی و آتش نظامی، گام تازهای از درگیری طراحیشده را برداشت. اما نبض تنگه هرمز همچنان در مشت ایران است و پاسخمان فراتر از تصور واشنگتن خواهد بود. 🔻 کالبدشکافی حمله؛ از قشم تا جیرفت از ساعت ۹ شب، بیش از ۴۰ هدف در جنوب و مرکز ایران با موشکهای کروز و پهپادهای لوکاس مورد اصابت قرار گرفت. قش…
گزارش به روز رسانی وضعیت جنگ-شماره 87 - مهدی محمدی- 11 شهریور 1405 (ارزیابی اولیه حملات 10 شهریور) @mahdi_mohammadi61
گزارش به روز رسانی وضعیت جنگ-شماره 86 - مهدی محمدی- 9 شهریور 1405 (ارزیابی اولیه حملات بامداد 9 شهریور) • درگیری بامداد 9 شهریور چرا آغاز شد؟ • معانی راهبردی پاسخ گسترده ایران چیست؟ • آینده چه خواهد شد؟ @mahdi_mohammadi61
📌 شکست پروژه «پیوند آسمان و خیابان»؛ سناریوی آمریکا برای ایران و دکترین جدید تهران ✍️ مهدی محمدی آنچه امروز در رویارویی ایران و آمریکا میگذرد، یک جنگ کلاسیک نیست؛ بلکه مهندسی همزمان بحران در دو جبهه است: 🔹 جبهه بیرونی ← فشار نظامی و محاصره 🔹 جبهه درونی ← عملیات شناختی و امنیتی واشنگتن به این جمعبندی رسیده که کلید هر اقدام نظامی، گروهِ یک تحول داخلی در ایران است؛ پروژهای که از آن با عنوان «پیوند آسمان و خیابان» یا…
گزارش به روز رسانی وضعیت جنگ-شماره 85 - مهدی محمدی- 8 شهریور 1405 (برنامه کلان دشمن) • ترکیب آسمان و خیابان گزینه دشمن در جنگ بعدی • آخرین وضعیت تحریم، محاصره و تردد از تنگه هرمز • به روز رسانی وضعیت نیرویی و نظامی دشمن در منطقه @mahdi_mohammadi61
📌 لحظه صفر؛ آنچه دشمن نمیفهمد و ما آمادهاش هستیم ✍️ مهدی محمدی در حالی که بخشی از تحلیلها در داخل و خارج بر موضوع مذاکره متمرکز شده، واقعیت اصلی در میدان دیگری در حال شکلگیری است: ایران خود را برای یک رویارویی بزرگ آماده میکند. آنچه ما «لحظه صفر» مینامیم، نقطهای است که در آن همه ابزارهای دشمن علیه ایران فعال خواهد شد و پاسخ ایران نیز در سطحی متفاوت از گذشته رقم خواهد خورد. تغییر دکترین؛ از واکنش به پیشدستی…
📌 میز مذاکره؛ ابزار یا هدف؟ ✍️ مهدی محمدی این روزها روایتسازی درباره مذاکره به یکی از اصلیترین محورهای عملیات روانی دشمن تبدیل شده است. تلاش میکنند القا کنند که وضعیت فعلی محصول ترک میز مذاکره توسط ایران است؛ در حالی که واقعیت میدانی و سیاسی دقیقاً خلاف این ادعاست. جمهوری اسلامی ایران نه تنها میز مذاکره را ترک نکرده، بلکه این طرف مقابل بوده که با بدعهدی، توافق را از درون تهی کرده و امروز نیز با تشدید فشارها نشان…
📌 تحریمهای جدید آمریکا؛ از جنگ روانی تا پروژه بیثباتسازی ✍️ مهدی محمدی 🔹 تحریمهای تازه، یک پدیده منفرد و مستقل از سایر جنیه های راهبرد دشمن نیست؛ بخشی از یک برنامه جامع برای فشار هماهنگ بر ایران است. اما مهمتر از اقتصاد، جنگ روانی است؛ آمریکاییها به تأثیر ذهنی آن در جامعه ایران امید بستهاند، نه به آثار ملموس اقتصادی. 🔹 آنها از اصطلاح «D-Day اقتصادی» استفاده میکنند؛ ارجاعی به عملیات نرماندی. اما این نمادساز…
📌 دشمن در آستانهٔ انتقال جنگ به داخل ایران ✍️ مهدی محمدی «جنگ آغاز شده است؛ پرسش بنیادین این است: چگونه پیروز شویم؟» (به این معنا که رویارویی همهجانبه از مدتی پیش کلید خورده و اکنون در مرحلهٔ تعیینکنندهٔ خود قرار دارد.) چارچوب کلان برنامهٔ دشمن دشمن راهبرد مشخصی برای انتقال بار بحران به درون ایران طراحی و اجرا کرده است. هدف نهایی، ایجاد ناآرامی داخلی، بیثباتی اقتصادی و روانی، و سپس ورود به مرحلهٔ رویارویی نظ…
📌 استراتژی تهاجمی ایران در عمل؛ از «جنگ زنبوری» تا همافزایی با روسیه و چین ✍️ مهدی محمدی ⚡️ سه رکن تحول راهبردی که امروز در میدان اجرا میشود: ۱. شناخت کامل از محدودیتهای دشمن ۲. آگاهی از تدارکات و برنامههای ضربات آینده او → هیچ منطقی نمیپذیرد که منتظر ضربه اول بمانیم ۳. جنگ نامتقارن و توزیعشده، در برابر ارتشهای پُرحجم دشمن 🐝 جنگ شبکه‑محور؛ الگوی جدید عملیاتی همکاری ایران و مقاومت به سطحی تازه رسیده است: هر نی…
آخرین ارزیابیها از آرایش نظامی آمریکا در منطقه، حاکی از وخامت جدی است. نیروهای آمریکایی از پایگاههای پیرامونی ایران تخلیه شده و به دریا، اردن و داخل اراضی اشغالی منتقل شدهاند. انهدام پایگاههای لجستیکی آمریکا در منطقه، امکان پهلوگیری ناوهای هواپیمابر را سلب کرده است. ناو «آبراهام لینکلن» به دلیل نبود امکان پهلوگیری، ۱۵۰ روز متوالی در دریا مانده و دچار بحرانهای جدی لجستیکی، روحی و عملیاتی شده است. ناو «جرج واشنگتن…
Showing the 12 most recent of 60 posts we hold for @mahdi_mohammadi61. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@mahdi_mohammadi61 edited 2 posts after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
- First edit seen
- 12 August 2026
- Most recent edit
- 19 August 2026
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
@BetweenDichotomies · 6,6011 postبصیرت
@andakisabrsaharnazdikast · 11 postکانال رسمی حسن شجاعی
@dr_shojaey · 7051 post•|حَنیفـآ|•
@hanifa_chnll · 4211 postشیخ حسین اسدی واعظ
@hosseinasadi128_ir · 3241 postنکتههای کسبوکار
@mokatebaat · 5,7851 postمدرسه مطالعات امنیت ملی شهید سلیمانی
@soleimani_schooll · 1,2981 post
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 17 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
@mhrezaa2 · 39,4464 postsنبرد نابرابر
@Nabard_Nabarabar · 9,8804 postsAmirmohamad Karamali
@amirmohamadpub · 1473 postsاتش به اختیار. 96
@atashbaachtiyar96 · 13 postsمدرسه مطالعات امنیت ملی شهید سلیمانی
@soleimani_schooll · 1,2982 postsتحلیل های خرکی
@tahlilgarane_kharaki · 4372 postsآخرین خبر
@akharinkhabar · 1,862,2721 postبصیرت
@andakisabrsaharnazdikast · 11 postبین دوگانگیها
@BetweenDichotomies · 6,6011 postدلنوشتههای یک دانشجو
@delneveshtehdaneshjoo · 5521 postکانال رسمی حسن شجاعی
@dr_shojaey · 7051 postمضارع استمراری
@estemrarim · 311 post•|حَنیفـآ|•
@hanifa_chnll · 4211 postشیخ حسین اسدی واعظ
@hosseinasadi128_ir · 3241 post"به روز"
@injaberooz · 681 postروحالامین
@rooholamin_ir · 401 postقلمدان 📰✍
@yaddasht_ghalamdan · 1781 post
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
@rasaee · 22,646
Telegram ranks this channel #16 of 90 here — alongside 89 others — read 20 September 2026
@mobahelegharne21 · 37,088
Telegram ranks this channel #32 of 86 here — alongside 85 others — read 1 September 2026
@hamidkasiri_ir · 33,835
Telegram ranks this channel #48 of 68 here — alongside 67 others — read 3 September 2026
@javadmogoei · 35,536
Telegram ranks this channel #50 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 2 September 2026
@sabety_ir · 58,948
Telegram ranks this channel #50 of 90 here — alongside 89 others — read 22 August 2026
@shaghelin · 65,620
Telegram ranks this channel #50 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 21 August 2026
@hamedaskary · 22,548
Telegram ranks this channel #66 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 20 September 2026
@yaminpour · 25,888
Telegram ranks this channel #68 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 13 September 2026
@mohamadrezahadadpour · 26,483
Telegram ranks this channel #71 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 12 September 2026
@Majlles_News · 22,400
Telegram ranks this channel #76 of 81 here — alongside 80 others — read 20 September 2026
@fars_plus · 32,558
Telegram ranks this channel #80 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 1 September 2026
@jalili_saeed · 21,958
Telegram ranks this channel #82 of 85 here — alongside 84 others — read 22 September 2026
@Mohallell · 24,882
Telegram ranks this channel #82 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 15 September 2026
@madahi · 70,799
Telegram ranks this channel #82 of 85 here — alongside 84 others — read 20 August 2026
@kriyaassess · 21,384
Telegram ranks this channel #83 of 87 here — alongside 86 others — read 24 September 2026
@kashani1395 · 40,771
Telegram ranks this channel #83 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 30 August 2026
@vatanemrooz · 24,108
Telegram ranks this channel #85 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 5 September 2026
@Panahian_ir · 64,914
Telegram ranks this channel #85 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 21 August 2026
@madehin · 24,775
Telegram ranks this channel #86 of 90 here — alongside 89 others — read 15 September 2026
@farzandeiran_ir · 26,011
Telegram ranks this channel #86 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 13 September 2026
@hosein_darabi · 28,621
Telegram ranks this channel #86 of 86 here — alongside 85 others — read 9 September 2026
@jedaal · 57,028
Telegram ranks this channel #86 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 23 August 2026
@taghaviniaa · 23,985
Telegram ranks this channel #87 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 17 September 2026
@MeysamMotiee · 33,149
Telegram ranks this channel #88 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 4 September 2026
This channel appears in 32 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total, of which the 24 where it ranks highest are shown above. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 18 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“عقل سرخ | مهدي محمدي” (@mahdi_mohammadi61), 17,171 subscribers as measured 18 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/mahdi_mohammadi61.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.