شایان بختیاری | تحلیلگر اقتصادی
۸ ساله تو بازار مالی فعالیت میکنم.
موسس نرمافزار مشاوره اقتصادی پورتفوپلاس با بیشتر از ۳۰۰۰ کاربر فعال
عضویت در پورتفو پلاس:
https://click.adtrace.io/trk6809
Created
Between 1 December 2021 and 31 March 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
6 measurements spanning 4 days, net -282. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 30,954–31,320 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
12 Aug 2026, 13:55
30,996
-76
11 Aug 2026, 12:47
31,072
-81
10 Aug 2026, 12:52
31,153
-74
9 Aug 2026, 09:52
31,227
-41
8 Aug 2026, 07:56
31,268
-10
8 Aug 2026, 05:20
31,278
first reading
Engagement
59 posts held, back to 27 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 13 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
3.57%
avg views ÷ 30,996 subscribers
Avg views / post
1,110
59 posts measured
Reaction rate
1.08%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
59
of 59 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 12 August 2026
Posts held
59 (27 July 2026 – 12 August 2026)
Views total
65,220
Reactions total
704
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
12 Aug 2026, 21:27 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈1,780
Videos
≈137
Links
≈563
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 12 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Reaction mix
704 reactions across 59 posts, in 9 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 56.1% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
❤
395
56.1%
👍
263
37.4%
😁
21
2.98%
😢
15
2.13%
👎
3
0.426%
❤🔥
2
0.284%
👏
2
0.284%
😱
2
0.284%
🍾
1
0.142%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 59 of the 59 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 704reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 59 most recent posts we hold, published 27 July 2026 to 12 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
⛽️ بنزین آزاد؟ خودرو هم آزاد!
اگه قراره مردم بنزین ۸۰ هزار تومنی بزنن، تعرفه واردات خودرو رو هم بردارید.
وقتی کوئیک ۱۴۰۳ از مزدا ۳ مدل ۲۰۱۹ گرونتر درمیاد، یعنی مردم هزینه بنزین گرون رو یه جای دیگه دارن جلو جلو میدن!
یا اقتصاد آزاد، یا حمایتی؛
نمیشه هرجا به نفع دولته، قیمتها جهانی بشه
اما یه نکته خیلی مهم وجود داره؛ گفته شده این نرخ آزاد قرار نیست مثل قیمت جهانی بنزین محاسبه بشه، بلکه بحث حقوق و تعرفه ایرانی مطرحه.
📌 چیزی که برای ما مهمتره، خود عدد ۸۷ هزار تومن نیست؛ اثریه که این تغییر میتونه روی اقتصاد بذاره.
اگر این مدل واقعاً سراسری بشه، طبیعتاً هزینه رفتوآمد و حملونقل بالا میره و بخشی از این هزینه کمکم میتونه خودش رو تو قیمت کالاها و خدمات نشون بده
⛽️ بنزین آزاد ۸۷ هزار تومنی؟ داستان چیه؟
طبق خبری که منتشر شده، افزایش قیمت بنزین از کرمان شروع شده و ظاهراً قراره این مدل طی یکی دو ماه آینده برای کل کشور اجرا بشه.
مدلی که مطرح شده اینه:
🔹 ۶۰ لیتر اول: لیتری ۱,۵۰۰ تومان
🔹 ۵۰ لیتر دوم: لیتری ۳,۰۰۰ تومان
🔹 ۴۰ لیتر بعدی: لیتری ۵,۰۰۰ تومان
🔹 بنزین آزاد: لیتری ۸۷,۲۰۰ تومان! �
🛢 IEA هشدار داد؛ عرضه نفت امسال ۴.۳ میلیون بشکه در روز کم میشه
گزارش ماه آگوست آژانس بینالمللی انرژی امروز منتشر شده و اعدادش خیلی مهمه.
IEA پیشبینی کرده عرضه جهانی نفت در سال ۲۰۲۶ حدود ۴.۳ میلیون بشکه در روز کاهش پیدا کنه و به ۱۰۲.۰۲ میلیون بشکه در روز برسه.
در مقابل، این نهاد انتظار داره بازار امسال حدود ۱.۲۷ میلیون بشکه در روز کسری عرضه داشته باشه.
یکی از دلایل اصلی هم مشخصه:
هنوز حدود ۸.۳ میلیون بشکه در رو…
🇺🇸 تورم آمریکا منتشر شد؛ فعلاً فشار برای افزایش نرخ بهره کمتر شد
داده مهم امشب بالاخره منتشر شد.
تورم ماهانه آمریکا در جولای ۰.۱٪ رشد کرده و تورم سالانه هم از ۳.۵٪ به ۳.۴٪ رسیده.
تورم هسته که غذا و انرژی رو حساب نمیکنه هم ماهانه ۰.۲٪ و سالانه ۲.۵٪ بوده؛ ماه قبل تورم هسته سالانه ۲.۶٪ بود.
یعنی در مجموع تورم تقریباً همون چیزی شده که بازار انتظار داشت، ولی نکته مثبتش اینه که فعلاً نشونهای از برگشت شدید تورم دیده ن…
🛢 هند داره برای کمبود نفت آماده میشه؛ خرید فوری ۶ میلیون بشکه و دور زدن هرمز
یه خبر مهم از بازار نفت امروز:
دو پالایشگاه دولتی بزرگ هند، HPCL و MRPL، مجموعاً دنبال خرید فوری تا ۶ میلیون بشکه نفت خام از بازار اسپات هستن.
HPCL تا ۴ میلیون بشکه برای تحویل سپتامبر و اکتبر میخواد و MRPL هم تا ۲ میلیون بشکه برای تحویل اکتبر درخواست داده.
نکته مهمتر اینه که MRPL صراحتاً به تأمینکنندهها گفته مسیر حمل نفت از دریای سرخ…
🚨 ترامپ دوباره لحنش علیه ایران تندتر شد؛ «یا فشار اقتصادی، یا حمله خیلی سنگین»
ترامپ در مصاحبهای که امروز منتشر شده، درباره ادامه مسیر آمریکا مقابل ایران گفته عملاً دو گزینه میبینه:
یا فشار اقتصادی ادامه پیدا کنه و اقتصاد ایران تحت فشار بیشتری قرار بگیره، یا آمریکا سراغ حمله نظامی خیلی سنگینتر بره.
ترامپ مذاکرهکنندههای ایران رو «سخت و فریبکار» توصیف کرده و گفته آمریکا بهخاطر داراییهای بلوکهشده ایران اهرم ف…
🚨 گزارش جدید EIA: ۵.۵ میلیون بشکه تولید نفت منطقه در جولای از مدار خارج بوده
گزارش تازه اداره اطلاعات انرژی آمریکا یه تصویر جدیتر از بحران نفت میده.
EIA برآورد کرده در ماه جولای بهطور متوسط حدود ۵.۵ میلیون بشکه در روز تولید نفت بهخاطر اختلالات مرتبط با هرمز از مدار خارج بوده.
برای اینکه بزرگی عدد دستتون بیاد، این مقدار بیشتر از ۵٪ مصرف روزانه نفت جهانه.
طبق همین گزارش، جریان نفت و مایعات نفتی از هرمز در سهماه…
🛢 نفت دوباره لب مرز ۹۰ دلار؛ بازار داره ریسک هرمز رو جدیتر قیمتگذاری میکنه
صبح امروز ۲۱ مرداد نفت برنت با ادامه رشدهای چند روز اخیر به ۸۹.۶۳ دلار رسیده و نفت آمریکا هم حوالی ۸۳.۹۱ دلار معامله میشه.
بازار فعلاً بیشتر از اینکه به حرفهای سیاسی درباره توافق توجه کنه، داره به وضعیت واقعی عرضه نگاه میکنه؛ تردد از هرمز هنوز شدیداً محدوده و همزمان حمله به کشتیها در هرمز و بابالمندب هم دوباره نگرانی درباره مسیرهای ان…
Showing the 12 most recent of 59 posts we hold for @forex_shayan. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@forex_shayan edited 2 posts after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
First edit seen
10 August 2026
Most recent edit
10 August 2026
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 497,366 of 1,160,990entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Mentions
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
Proxy MTProto پروکسی ایرانی @proxyiranis · 1,218,525 Telegram ranks this channel #35 of 49 here — alongside 48 others — read 8 August 2026
کانال جوک/ خنده طنز سرگرمی جک @ZB_DR · 185,039 Telegram ranks this channel #41 of 71 here — alongside 70 others — read 11 August 2026
اخبارفوری جنگ امریکا فوری/ خبرفوری @M0_HM · 3,139,871 Telegram ranks this channel #49 of 49 here — alongside 48 others — read 11 August 2026
This channel appears in 3 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Declared links
One URL this entry has put in its own public description, shown exactly as written there. A declaration, not a verified association— we measured that the description contained this text, and nothing more. It is not a claim that this entry owns, runs or is connected to whatever the link resolves to; a description is text anyone controls, and anyone can put anyone else’s URL into it. How this is measured.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“تحلیل اقتصادی | ShayanFX” (@forex_shayan), 30,996 subscribers as measured 12 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/forex_shayan.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.