Politics & activism — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 11 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 68% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.
Observations
These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.
Content that also appears on other registered channels
Posts published here appear in near-verbatim form on 1 other registered channel. This entry also sits inside a group of 3 channels linked by matching posts, directly or through other channels in the group; two members of the group may share no posts with each other. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.
No sample pairs were kept for this entry. The counts below were measured, but without the pairs there is nothing here for you to open and check, so treat the relationship as recorded rather than demonstrated.
Channels this entry shares post bodies with, where at least one matching post pair has no forward credit between the two channels, or to a common source, recorded in our data
Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.
What this cannot establish
MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.
Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 0 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.
“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 73 comparable posts for this entry, running 23 July 2026 to 10 November 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.
The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.
Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).
Of the group of 3 channels, the one whose matching posts we hold earliest is @balans_sil — which is this entry. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.
Recorded under the key clone_mutual, last confirmed 11 November 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.
Channels linked by matching posts
This channel is in a group of 3 registered channels linked by matching posts, directly or through other channels in the group. This channel may share no posts with some of the channels listed below, and listed channels may share none with each other. Links are found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register.
Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown in this list. “First” could only mean first in our own crawl, which depends on how deep we happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. Our one hand-check read 45 of the highest-confidence flagged pairs against the live Telegram pages. In 18 of them the live page showed a “Forwarded from” credit that our database had no record of, so reading that pair as an unattributed copy was wrong; the check did not measure who published first. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Near-verbatim matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.
27 measurements spanning 95 days, net -110. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 7,284–7,519 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 27
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
8 Nov 2026, 18:41
7,311
-7
5 Nov 2026, 21:50
7,318
-15
2 Nov 2026, 11:47
7,333
-15
30 Oct 2026, 10:59
7,348
-17
27 Oct 2026, 01:27
7,365
-16
23 Oct 2026, 18:57
7,381
-35
20 Oct 2026, 11:38
7,416
-47
17 Oct 2026, 13:28
7,463
+4
14 Oct 2026, 15:37
7,459
-16
11 Oct 2026, 14:41
7,475
-6
4 Oct 2026, 23:15
7,481
+99
25 Sept 2026, 09:37
7,382
-27
16 Sept 2026, 20:40
7,409
-22
13 Sept 2026, 05:42
7,431
-15
9 Sept 2026, 17:21
7,446
+54
4 Sept 2026, 10:40
7,392
-31
1 Sept 2026, 02:05
7,423
-30
29 Aug 2026, 01:38
7,453
-21
25 Aug 2026, 17:08
7,474
-18
22 Aug 2026, 10:48
7,492
first reading
Engagement
84 posts held, back to 23 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 33 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
81.4%
avg views ÷ 7,311 subscribers
Avg views / post
5,950
29 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.657%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
29
of 84 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 10 November 2026
Posts held
84 (23 July 2026 – 10 November 2026)
Views total
172,630
Reactions total
1,134
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
11 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
3
Videos
2
Links
56
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 11 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.
Reaction mix
4,720 reactions across 79 posts, in 43 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 22.3% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
👍
1,052
22.3%
🤔
607
12.9%
💯
535
11.3%
🤡
446
9.45%
❤
408
8.64%
🤣
314
6.65%
😁
244
5.17%
👎
221
4.68%
🔥
147
3.11%
🤬
104
2.20%
🥱
85
1.80%
🥴
85
1.80%
🤮
81
1.72%
💊
60
1.27%
🤷♂
45
0.953%
💩
37
0.784%
🤨
34
0.72%
🖕
28
0.593%
🤷♀
23
0.487%
👏
22
0.466%
23 further kinds
142
3.01%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 84 of the 84 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 4,906 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 84 most recent posts we hold, published 23 July 2026 to 10 November 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 2 of 29 posts held from the last 30 days (6.90%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).
Ожидания от нынешних переговоров в Абу-Даби минимальны, так как включился сильный «европейский фактор», влияющий на украинскую делегацию: эйфория от победы демократов в Конгрессе США создала иллюзию того, что США возвращаются в качестве основного спонсора украинского конфликта. После 3 января 2027 года станет ясно, что эта помощь не будет прежней, несмотря на заявления отдельных демократов. США намерены зарабатывать …
Победа демократов над республиканцами в США на промежуточных выборах в Конгресс ввела ЕС и Украину в состояние эйфории, которое они связывают с тем, что США вернутся к полномасштабной поддержке украинского конфликта.
Поэтому сейчас на договоренности «коалиция желающих» и украинское руководство не пойдут: в качестве приоритета выбрано затягивание боевых действий в надежде на перелом в зоне проведения СВО с 3 января 20…
Самая большая слабость в переговорной позиции западных стран в отношении России состоит в том, что их участники уверены, что в любой момент они могут договориться с российской стороной, как бы они не повышали градус эскалации – вплоть до ядерного противостояния.
Вторая слабость состоит в том, что они не верят на самом деле в то, что российская сторона может применить ядерное оружие.
Третья слабость – они «не верят Пу…
Личная встреча Кирилла Дмитриева с Дональдом Трампом - актуализация канала связи между американским президентом и В.Путиным на сугубо конфиденциальной основе.
Несомненный плюс в политическую карму К.Дмитриева, который умножит его врагов в АП и в МИД.
Как и ожидалось, Мелания Трамп вступила на гуманитарный трек (в помощь мужу) и собирает представителей Украины и России в Белом доме, о чём было объявлено ещё 3 ноября[1].
С российской стороны предполагается Яна Лантратова (омбудсмен) и К.Дмитриев (глава РФПИ).
Украинскую сторону, как пишут, будут представлять глава парламентской фракции «Слуга народа» Давид Арахамия, давеча оказавшийся под угрозой уголовного дела, и…
В.Зеленский опять широко гуляет по буфету: приоритетами украинской делегации на предстоящих переговорах в Абу-Даби он назвал гарантии безопасности, экономическое восстановление Украины (за российский счёт), прекращение ударов по энергетической и критической инфраструктуре, разблокирование судоходства в Чёрном море, расширение обменов военнопленными (всех на всех) и подготовку трёхстороннего саммита на уровне президен…
Для России в случае применения Д.Трампом ЯО имеет значение вопрос о пределах снижения ядерного порога: на украинском направлении (с привлечением к ответственности, в частности, Германии и других стран, оказывающих реальную военную помощь Украине), а также в отношении Калининграда и угроз, сформированных уже странами НАТО в этом регионе.
На повестке дня может оказаться крах НАТО, как «оборонительной» организации и рас…
Победа демократов в Конгрессе не дает им преимущества, позволяющего развернуть внешнюю политику США.
Скорее, усугубится противостояние с Д.Трампом, которое рискует скоро превратиться в политический клинч.
США ловко вывернулись из ситуации, когда они оплачивают потребности Украины и стали получать дивиденды от конфликта с ЕС: едва ли демократам удастся провернуть этот фарш назад.
Напомню, что Д.Трамп победил в 2024 го…
Яна Лантратова «раскручивается» чуть ли не как жесткий переговорщик с украинской стороной.
Её попытались несколько «дискредитировать», намекая на какие-то эмоции со стороны украинского омбудсмена Дмитрия Лубенца, но развития тема не получила.
Ситуацию вокруг Я.Лантратовой связывают (чисто эмоционально) с карьерным ростом Кирилла Дмитриева, которого также достаточно быстро внесли в списки «преемников».
Впрочем, Я.Лант…
Глава МИД Украины Сибига заявил, что на личной встрече с Путиным Зеленский готов обсуждать «самые сложные и чувствительные вопросы, в том числе территориальный».
Как я много раз уже говорил, целью Зеленского является получение гарантий безопаснсоти для себя лично. Он сейчас продает всё, что угодно, чтобы купить именно это. Поэтому нужна "личная встреча". Но в Россию он не доедет - его служба безопасности не даст.
💯32😁11🤔5👎2🤡1🤷♀1
Showing the 12 most recent of 84 posts we hold for @balans_sil. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 9 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 8 November 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“БАЛАНС СИЛ. ПРОГНОЗЫ” (@balans_sil), 7,311 subscribers as measured 8 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/balans_sil.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.
