Telegram RegisterThe public register of Telegram

Channel

Александр Габуев

@agabuev

On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Citations · Cross-platform identity · Cite this entry

15,740subscribers

-22 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001747904977
TypeChannel
Username@agabuev
DescriptionКанал о геополитике директора Берлинского центра Карнеги по изучению России и Евразии Александра Габуева. Вопросы, в том числе для следующих видео на ютуб-канале Carnegie Politika, собираем здесь: @askgabuevbot
Created31 January 2022measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live12 August 2026
Measurements held7
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 12 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/agabuev

Growth

15,74015,76215,7516 August 2026 — 15,762 subscribers6 August 2026 — 15,759 subscribers7 August 2026 — 15,753 subscribers9 August 2026 — 15,751 subscribers9 August 2026 — 15,747 subscribers10 August 2026 — 15,746 subscribers12 August 2026 — 15,740 subscribers6 August 202612 August 2026
7 measurements spanning 7 days, net -22. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 15,737–15,765 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
12 Aug 2026, 22:2615,740-6
10 Aug 2026, 21:5515,746-1
9 Aug 2026, 23:3615,747-4
9 Aug 2026, 01:1115,751-2
7 Aug 2026, 22:0215,753-6
6 Aug 2026, 21:2215,759-3
6 Aug 2026, 04:3515,762first reading

Engagement

20 posts held, back to 17 March 2025the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 18 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
36.7%
avg views ÷ 15,740 subscribers
Avg views / post
5,780
1 post measured
Reaction rate
this channel exposes no reaction counts
Posts in window
1
of 20 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 22 July 2026
Posts held20 (17 March 202522 July 2026)
Views total5,780
Reactions total
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken13 Aug 2026, 15:36 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
6
Links
110

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 13 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.

Recent posts

22 Jul 2026, 10:16 UTC≈5,780 viewsread 13 August 2026

Поговорили с Владом Гориным обо всем на свете (войне, переговорах и редакционной политике The Economist). https://youtu.be/y45UfBVN-Ps

5 Jun 2026, 11:04 UTC≈11,000 viewsread 13 August 2026
Forwarded from @carnegiepolitika

Стрим: становится ли Россия вассалом Китая? Умаров и Чигадаев С начала войны российский рынок стал куда сильнее зависеть от Китая — от экспорта топлива до китайскими брендами одежды, машин и других товаров. Последует ли за экономическим разворотом на Китай разворот политический, интересно ли это Пекину и как Россия очерчивает границы своей зависимости? Подключайтесь сегодня в 19:00 МСК / 18:00 CEST к стриму, в кото

23 May 2026, 12:57 UTC≈12,900 viewsread 13 August 2026
Forwarded from @baunovhaus

От силы Сибири к силе Си. Действительно ли Си Цзиньпин принимал Путина иначе, чем Трампа. А как Трампа? А кто больше увез и привез? И что с силой Сибири? А с Боингами? И с китайским посредничеством в войне в Украине? И действительно ли Пекин выступил как столица мира? 18+ НАСТОЯЩИЙ МАТЕРИАЛ (ИНФОРМАЦИЯ) ПРОИЗВЕДЕН И РАСПРОСТРАНЕН ИНОСТРАННЫМ АГЕНТОМ БАУНОВЫМ АЛЕКСАНДРОМ ГЕРМАНОВИЧЕМ ЛИБО КАСАЕТСЯ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТИ ИНОС

15 May 2026, 23:49 UTC≈15,400 viewsread 13 August 2026

Давно я не брал в руки косточки от мацзяна и не писал про отношения США и КНР. Саммит Си-Трамп застал меня на американском Восточном побережье, так что все, кто мог бы рассказать детали с места событий, буквально еще в самолетах. Правда, в Нью-Йорке и Вашингтоне многим есть, что сказать по поводу последних 10 лет в отношениях с Китаем. И список тех капитанов бизнеса и Уолл-Стрит, кто не счел нужным сопровождать Трам

22 Apr 2026, 10:05 UTC≈14,300 viewsread 13 August 2026

Обсудили Китай с замечательной Ксенией Лученко (@orthozombies). Среди прочего поговорили о том, насколько отсутствие культурной близости между Россией и Китаем (если сравнивать, например, с переплетенностью условных "российской" и "общеевропейской" культур) может стать препятствием для углубления отношений между Москвой и Пекином. Часто слышу этот вопрос, так что вот мои нехитрые мысли на сей счет. https://www.youtu

15 Apr 2026, 09:52 UTC≈15,600 viewsread 13 August 2026
Forwarded from @carnegiepolitikaPhoto

Габуев: Чем война в Иране выгодна Китаю и как Трамп провоцирует Путина напасть на ЕС Как действия Трампа увеличивают шансы нападения Путина на Европу, чем война в Иране может быть выгодна Китаю, что будет с переговорами США-Иран и что изменится для России, Европы и Украины после поражения Орбана? Читайте (и смотрите) интервью Александра Габуева. Carnegie Politika

14 Apr 2026, 15:02 UTC≈14,900 viewsread 13 August 2026

Нехитрые мысли о подходе Китая к войне на Ближнем Востоке, а также о ряде других сюжетов - для @carnegiepolitika. https://youtu.be/XYSjq5wYoo4?is=mPUm4K6qKB90YSGb

11 Apr 2026, 10:15 UTC≈17,000 viewsread 13 August 2026

Уж не знаю, является ли «четыре» в приговоре свидетельством повышения уровни китаистики в правоохранительных органах РФ и тонким троллингом на тему несчастливого в китайской нумерологии числа 四 (и всех связанных с этим коннотаций, если уж совсем хочется искать смыслов на мрачной стороне). Но вряд ли тут изящный умысел: просто так совпало. Было бы красиво, если бы 8, или даже лучше 888! Но, учитывая множащиеся пригово

9 Mar 2026, 07:17 UTC≈16,200 viewsread 13 August 2026

Сегодня (9 марта) буду смотреть вот такой стрим на YouTube канале Берлинского центра Карнеги о первой неделе войны в Иране, ее последствиях для России, войны в Украине, энергетических рынков и мира в целом. Обсуждать будут блестящие коллеги Александр Баунов, Сергей Вакуленко и Никита Смагин, а модерировать - замечательная Елизавета Фохт из русской службы "Би-би-си". https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZXEFszi92g 9 мар

27 Feb 2026, 12:02 UTC≈16,100 viewsread 13 August 2026
Forwarded from @carnegiepolitikaPhoto

Габуев: итоги Мюнхенской конференции и как Путин может напасть на НАТО О впечатлениях от Мюнхенской конференции по безопасности и противоречиях США и Европы, а также — о военной игре Die Welt, в которой Россия атаковала восточный фланг НАТО, а сам Александр играл роль Путина. Текст и видео — выбирайте, что вам удобнее — по этой ссылке.

16 Feb 2026, 15:11 UTC≈25,700 viewsread 13 August 2026

Поговорили о Мюнхенской конференции по безопасности, а также о наделавшей шума командной игре газеты Die Welt, в которой Россия захватила и три игровых дня без особого противодействия удерживала кусочек территории НАТО. https://youtu.be/-9M_hbTeLtg

25 Dec 2025, 13:45 UTC≈21,200 viewsread 13 August 2026

Нехитрые мысли о геополитических итогах года: перспективы российско-украинской войны, растущая самоуверенность Си Цзиньпина, разлад в трансатлантическом семействе, а также некоторые ожидания от 2026. https://youtu.be/sJIDNCDpVE4?si=P0-t0CR8P-TqvX81

Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @agabuev. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Citation-graph rank

Citation-graph rank — 745,398 of 1,176,251entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.

Forward network

Republished by

Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cross-platform identity — Wikidata

A Wikidata item names this Telegram handle as belonging to the entity it describes. This is Wikidata’s claim, not a verification made by this register — nobody here confirmed that the account is genuinely operated by the entity named. Wikidata content is CC0; every fact below is dated to when it was read from Wikidata, not to when the association was first made there.

Q30323495 on Wikidata, read 9 August 2026
LabelAlexander Gabuev
X / Twitter@alexgabuev

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Александр Габуев” (@agabuev), 15,740 subscribers as measured 12 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/agabuev.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.