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Channel

[삼성/조현렬] 정유/화학 Newsfeed

@samsungchem

On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

6,749subscribers

+11 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001190510354
TypeChannel
Username@samsungchem
Description안녕하세요, 삼성증권 조현렬입니다. 정유/화학/2차전지 관련 의견을 컴플라이언스 규정에 기반하여 전달드리고 있습니다.
Created27 September 2018measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live11 August 2026
Measurements held4
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 11 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/samsungchem

Growth

6,7386,7506,7446 August 2026 — 6,738 subscribers6 August 2026 — 6,740 subscribers9 August 2026 — 6,750 subscribers11 August 2026 — 6,749 subscribers6,7496 August 202611 August 2026
4 measurements spanning 6 days, net +11. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 6,736–6,752 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
11 Aug 2026, 22:116,749-1
9 Aug 2026, 06:006,750+10
6 Aug 2026, 12:516,740+2
6 Aug 2026, 03:476,738first reading

Engagement

45 posts held, back to 2 August 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 10 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
21.2%
avg views ÷ 6,749 subscribers
Avg views / post
1,430
45 posts measured
Reaction rate
this channel exposes no reaction counts
Posts in window
45
of 45 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 11 August 2026
Posts held45 (2 August 202611 August 2026)
Views total64,506
Reactions total
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken12 Aug 2026, 02:49 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
5,220
Links
4,040

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 12 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Recent posts

11 Aug 2026, 23:52 UTC≈1,000 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 8/11일 Daily 정유] [원유] √ 두바이 원유: 89달러(+10.2%DoD) √ WTI 원유: 83.2달러(+1.3%DoD) √ 브렌트 원유: 93.2달러(+1.4%DoD) [정유제품] √ 가솔린: 116.6달러(+6.1%DoD) √ 등유: 154.3달러(+7.4%DoD) √ 디젤: 158.4달러(+7.6%DoD) √ 벙커-C: 90.3달러(+3.1%DoD) √ 나프타: 89.6달러(+6.3%DoD) [Spot 스프레드] √ 가솔린: 27.6달러(-1.5달러DoD) √ 등유: 65.3달러(+2.4달러DoD) √ 디젤: 69.4달러(+3달러DoD) √ 벙커-C: 1.3달러(-5.6달러DoD) √ 나프타: 0.6달러(-2.9달러DoD) [1M래깅 스프레드] √ 가솔린: 47.1달러(+6.7달러DoD) √ 등유: 8

11 Aug 2026, 23:32 UTC320 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 8/11일 Daily 화학] ■ 나프타 하락 하에 제품 가격 상승세. 주요 상승제품은 MEG(+5.6%), 부타디엔(+5.5%). 주요 하락제품은 없음. [원자재] √ 두바이 원유: 79.6달러(+5.6%DoD) √ 나프타: 810달러(+6.3%DoD) √ 싱가폴 정제마진: 27.3달러(+2.7%DoD) [올레핀] √ 에틸렌: 990달러(Flat DoD) √ HDPE: 1,035달러(+1%DoD) √ LDPE: 1,165달러(+0.4%DoD) √ LLDPE: 945달러(+1.6%DoD) √ MEG: 680달러(+5.6%DoD) √ 프로필렌: 1,040달러(+2%DoD) √ PP: 1,100달러(+0.9%DoD) √ 부타디엔: 1,340달러(+5.5%DoD) [아로마틱] √ 벤젠: 949달러(+3.6%DoD) √ SM:

11 Aug 2026, 13:02 UTC437 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) NBL 수출잠정치] [NBL 수출총액] √ 2025년 8월: 47백만달러 √ 2025년 9월: 51백만달러 √ 2025년 10월: 40백만달러 √ 2025년 11월: 45백만달러 √ 2025년 12월: 46백만달러 √ 2026년 1월: 42백만달러 √ 2026년 2월: 46백만달러 √ 2026년 3월: 57백만달러 √ 2026년 4월: 72백만달러 √ 2026년 5월: 69백만달러 √ 2026년 6월: 59백만달러 √ 2026년 7월: 58백만달러 √ 2026년 8월 (1~10일): 14백만달러 [NBL 수출중량] √ 2025년 8월: 66,381톤 √ 2025년 9월: 74,244톤 √ 2025년 10월: 58,257톤 √ 2025년 11월: 67,767톤 √ 2025년 12월: 74,975톤 √ 2026년 1월: 6

10 Aug 2026, 23:12 UTC598 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 8/10일 Daily 정유화학] ■ 8/10일 가격은 싱가포르 공휴일(National Day)로 인한 휴장으로 미고지되었습니다. WTI원유와 브렌트원유 가격만 참고 부탁드립니다. √ WTI원유: 82.1달러(+5.1%DoD) √ 브렌트원유: 91.9달러(+3.2%DoD) (컴플라이언스 기승인)

9 Aug 2026, 23:51 UTC765 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 롯데케미칼, 2Q26 review] 보고서: https://bit.ly/4g6liIl ■ View, 펀더멘털 회복 징후 제한적 3Q부터 적자 전환되는 점을 감안하여 2027년 ROE(-2.3→-2.5%) 하향 및 목표주가(11→7만원)도 동반 하향. 재고효과 외 펀더멘털 회복 징후가 제한적이기에 최근 주가 약세 심화에도(3개월 -39%) HOLD 투자의견 유지. ■ 2Q26 review, 컨센서스 하회 2Q OP는 1,101억원(+50%QoQ)으로 컨센서스 하회. 전분기에 이어 흑자 유지는 긍정적 재고효과 지속에 기인. 기초소재 OP는 23억원(-95%QoQ). 첨단소재 OP는 1,325억원(+115%QoQ). LEM OP는 -169억원(-119억원QoQ). ■ 3Q26 preview, 컨센서스 추가 하회 전

9 Aug 2026, 23:40 UTC≈7,420 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 금호석유화학, 2Q26 review] 보고서: https://bit.ly/4c9FEiE ■ 2Q26 review, 컨센서스 대폭 상회 2Q OP는 3,390억원(+471%QoQ)으로 컨센서스( 160% 상회. 합성고무 및 합성수지 OP는 각각 1,898억원(OPM 19.2%) 및 374억원(OPM 10.0%). 중동 전쟁으로 인한 공급 축소 및 재고 축적 수요 확대로 수익성 급증. 금호피앤비 OP는 551억원(OPM 11.2%)으로, 중동 전쟁 이후 수요처 물량 확보 유인으로 수익성 제고. 금호폴리켐 OP는 474억원(OPM 20.9%)으로, 전분기 대비 스프레드 확대로 개선. ■ 3Q26 preview, 컨센서스 하회 전망 3Q OP는 735억원(-78%QoQ)으로 컨센서스(1,161억원/-37%) 하회 전망.

9 Aug 2026, 23:26 UTC603 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) DL, 국내 NDR 후기] 보고서: https://bit.ly/4fPLybe ■ NDR 후기, 이익 창출력에 대한 긍정 피드백 8/5~6일 국내 기관 투자가 대상 NDR 진행. 2Q 사상 최대 실적에 대한 긍정적 피드백 확인과 3Q 이후 실적 동향에 투자자 관심 피력. ■ 2Q26 review, 컨센서스 상회 OP는 2,565억원(+127%QoQ)으로 컨센서스(2,040억원/+25%) 상회. Kraton의 재고평가이익 있었지만, DL케미칼, DL에너지, GLAD 등 전반적인 사업부 실적 호조세에 기인. ■ Kraton, 구조조정에 대한 긍정적 효과 가시화 Kraton 2Q 실적은 재고효과(+650억원)를 제외해도 약 400억원의 영업이익 창출. 3Q 부정적 래깅효과가 있겠으나, 작년부터 이어져온 구조조정 효

8 Aug 2026, 12:13 UTC752 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 8/7일 Daily 정유] [원유] √ 두바이 원유: 80.8달러(+4.3%DoD) √ WTI 원유: 78.2달러(+1.2%DoD) √ 브렌트 원유: 89.1달러(+1.6%DoD) [정유제품] √ 가솔린: 109.9달러(+4.6%DoD) √ 등유: 143.7달러(+4.9%DoD) √ 디젤: 147.2달러(+3.9%DoD) √ 벙커-C: 87.6달러(+4.6%DoD) √ 나프타: 84.2달러(+6.3%DoD) [Spot 스프레드] √ 가솔린: 29.1달러(+1.5달러DoD) √ 등유: 62.9달러(+3.4달러DoD) √ 디젤: 66.5달러(+2.2달러DoD) √ 벙커-C: 6.8달러(+0.5달러DoD) √ 나프타: 3.5달러(+1.7달러DoD) [1M래깅 스프레드] √ 가솔린: 39.7달러(+1.1달러DoD) √ 등유:

8 Aug 2026, 11:42 UTC677 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 8/7일 Daily 화학] ■ 나프타 상승 속에 제품 가격 강세. 주요 상승제품은 MEG(+3.9%), 벤젠(+2.5%). 주요 하락제품은 없음. [원자재] √ 두바이 원유: 75.4달러(+1.7%DoD) √ 나프타: 761달러(+6.3%DoD) √ 싱가폴 정제마진: 27.6달러(+23.5%DoD) [올레핀] √ 에틸렌: 990달러(Flat DoD) √ HDPE: 1,025달러(Flat DoD) √ LDPE: 1,160달러(Flat DoD) √ LLDPE: 930달러(Flat DoD) √ MEG: 644달러(+3.9%DoD) √ 프로필렌: 1,020달러(Flat DoD) √ PP: 1,090달러(Flat DoD) √ 부타디엔: 1,270달러(+2.4%DoD) [아로마틱] √ 벤젠: 916달러(+2.5%DoD) √ S

7 Aug 2026, 12:13 UTC721 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 엘앤에프, 2Q26 review] 보고서: https://bit.ly/4wdMOd6 ■ View, 예상보다 강한 LFP 양극재 수요 Peer multiple 하향을 반영하여 목표주가 하향(21→13만원). 동사는 최근 2~3개 분기 최대 판매량을 지속 경신하고 있고, 국내 업체 중 가장 가동률 높지만, 2027년 EV/EBITDA 배수는 경쟁사 대비 62% 낮은 수준. 최근 국내 배터리 업체의 한국산 LFP 양극재 조달 요구가 1~2개월사이 보다 강해져 동사의 2026/27년 판매량 목표치 상향도 긍정적. 뿐만 아니라 추가 증설 요구도 점차 강화되는 등 예상보다 강한 LFP 양극재 수요를 확인. 3Q 양산 본격화에 따른 투자 모멘텀 부각 기대. BUY 투자의견 유지. ■ 2Q26 review, 컨센서스 하회 2

7 Aug 2026, 10:33 UTC614 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 롯데케미칼 2Q 컨콜 Q&A] 안녕하세요, 조현렬입니다. 금일 진행된 롯데케미칼 컨퍼런스콜 주요 질의사항을 정리했습니다. 주요 내용으로는 2분기 일회성 손익, 대산 사업재편, 중동 리스크 영향 등이 있었습니다. (Q&A) Q. 하반기 기초화학·첨단소재 사업부별 실적 전망? : 기초화학은 상반기 나타났던 공급 타이트화 및 가격 강세 효과가 점차 완화되는 국면. 원료가 변동과 신규 공급 증가가 수익성에 영향을 미칠 전망. : 국내 사업재편 진행에 따른 연결 손익구조 변화도 순차적으로 반영될 예정. : 첨단소재는 2분기 스프레드 개선과 가격 운영 효과로 양호한 실적 시현. 하반기는 전방 수요 회복 속도와 글로벌 경기 흐름이 주요 변수. 전략 거래선 및 고부가 제품 중심 운영 지속 계획. Q. 2분기 재고자산 평가손실 및 정기

7 Aug 2026, 10:01 UTC≈4,520 viewsread 12 August 2026

[(삼성/조현렬) 코오롱인더 2Q 컨콜 Q&A] 안녕하세요, 조현렬입니다. 금일 진행된 코오롱인더 컨퍼런스콜 주요 질의 사항을 정리했습니다. 주요 내용으로는 mPPO 신공장 가동시점, CPI 판매 확대 현황 등이 있었습니다.. (산업자재) Q. 아라미드 2Q 가동률·실적과 하반기 전망(판가 포함)은? : 2Q 가동률 풀 생산 진입, 원가 개선·운영 효율화로 수익성 개선 : 미·이란 전쟁발 황산 등 부원료 급등으로 당초 목표한 영업이익 흑자 전환은 미달, EBITDA 기준으로는 흑자 개선 : 광케이블·전기차용 하이브리드 타이어 수요 꾸준, 11월부터 순차 적용되는 Euro 7 브레이크 패드용 확대 기대 → 하반기 실적 개선 전망 : 중국 신규 공장발 공급 과잉 지속, 원료가 상승분 판가 전가 및 운영 효율화로 하반기 수익성 개선 추진 Q

Showing the 12 most recent of 45 posts we hold for @samsungchem. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Citation-graph rank

Citation-graph rank — 640,663 of 1,478,351entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.

Forward network

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

Named by

Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 11 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“[삼성/조현렬] 정유/화학 Newsfeed” (@samsungchem), 6,749 subscribers as measured 11 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/samsungchem.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.