https://m.blog.naver.com/hismail38/224366176375 죽지말자 살아남자
❤36

Channel
@iwontloseit
On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
3,027subscribers
-18 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.
| Telegram ID | -1002483540384 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @iwontloseit |
| Created | Between 1 September 2024 and 31 March 2025— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 14 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 5 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 14 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/iwontloseit |
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026, 20:38 | 3,027 | -4 |
| 11 Aug 2026, 20:53 | 3,031 | -12 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 12:51 | 3,043 | -2 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 05:01 | 3,045 | no change |
| 6 Aug 2026, 03:06 | 3,045 | first reading |
17 posts held, back to 24 December 2025 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 3 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 3 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 17 (24 December 2025 – 3 August 2026) |
| Views total | 35,160 |
| Reactions total | 342 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 8 Aug 2026, 00:09 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
Measured directly from 1 video with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
492 reactions across 15 posts, in 2 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 83.3% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 410 | 83.3% | |
| 👍 | 82 | 16.7% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 15 of the 17 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 492reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 17 most recent posts we hold, published 24 December 2025 to 3 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
https://m.blog.naver.com/hismail38/224366176375 죽지말자 살아남자
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Q : 어제 미장 하락은 채권때문 아닌가요? A : 채권때문에 하락했다고 보기엔 논리가 부족함 급락이 나온건 아센브레너 포트폴리오 위주, 애플, 테슬라, 구글 등 시가대비 높은가격에서 마감한 종목이 많음. 오히려 채권때문에 빠른리스크오프를 위해 시타델이 급하게 밀어버렸는게 아닌가 하는 추측
❤48👍6
이걸 그럼 생각해보면 시타델은 아센브레너마냥 풀익스포져로 풀롱 칠 애들이 아니기 때문에 내가 시타델이라면 1. 한번에 왕창들어온 현물을 최대한 확정수익을 많이내기 위해 현물매도와 선물옵션헤징을 병행하며 급하게 밀었다. 2. 그래서 급락이 발생했다. 라는것이 합리적인 추측 같네요 자 그럼 이 추측을 바탕으로 향후 행보를 생각해본다면, 기본가정 1. 현물매도와 선물옵션헤징으로 최대한 확정수익을 지었다 2. 아직 가진 현물이 남았다 3. 선옵 숏물량을 오래가져갈수 없다 = 롤오버비용발생 4. 풀헷징이후 현물매도+선옵매수로 헷징을푼다 = 현물매도로 가격하락이 추가적으로 발생한다 라는것이 합리적인 추측이라고 생각되네요
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목요일 개장전가격 ( 목요일 오후10시30분) 마이크론 793$ > 10%이상할인가 > 최대714$인수 물량 쏟아진가격 ( 금요일 오후10시30분) = 금요일 시가 = 919$ 그럼 714$인수 919$부터 시장가매도 시가 919$ 종가 816$ 금요일 미장 시가부터 던진건 시타델이 아니었을까? 왜 목요일장중에 안팔고 금요일부터팔았을까? 하루간 회계처리할시간이 필요했던걸까? 코인이라고 생각해보자 우리가 개구리방에서 장외물량을 사서 풀헷징걸던거처럼 시타델도 펀드인수해서 풀헷징걸어버린게 아닐까? 내가 시타델이었으면 1년동안 두배오를확률이 있다해도 하루이틀만에 투입자본의 15%~30%를 노리는게 합리적인것같음 그렇다면 시타델의 이후 행동을 생각해보자 내가 시타델이라면 (언제든 팔수있게) 내 계좌에 들어온 현물을 오랜시간 현선헷징을잡고…
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저도 의견하나 남깁니다 (전적으로 트레이딩 관점입니다) 일단 어제 레오폴드 청산뉴스를 기점으로 강한상승이 나왔습니다. 이 시장은 5월4일부터 시작된 상승채널을 돌파하는 분출파형에서 고각으로 뽑아내는 상승에서 시작되었고, 시장의 유동성이 받쳐주지 못하는 지점까지 시장은 열심히 상승해왔습니다. 때 마침 전국민의 거대한 레버리지와 풍부한 유동성으로 일명 풍차돌리기하며 거대한 꿈을 키웠나갔던 한국시장은 이 ETF, 레버리지, 유동성 3가지의 요소에 가장 치명적으로 노출되어 있었다고 생각됩니다. 증권사에서는 각종ETF를 신설하며 신규회원을 모집했고, 정부에서도 ISA, IRP, 연저펀 등에서 증권사상품을 투자하기 좋은 환경을 만들어 주었습니다. 게다가 심지어 개인들마저 개별종목으로는 대응이 어렵다고 생각했던것인지 코반레, 타반레, 솔탑투 등 E…
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그리고 되돌아보면 이런 기반되는 사례들을 경험해봤기에 어제 미장시간에 레버리지불타기까지 밀어넣을수있지않았을까 싶네요
👍24❤14
코인할때 배운것들이 주식판에서도 통용되네요 그냥 어제 미장부터 오늘 국장까지 코인판같았음 1010사태때 크래시난후 시장이 어떻게 회복했는가 이것이랑 이번사례랑 그냥 판박이수준임
👍33❤17
채널 개설한지 9달 정도 되었습니다. 처음엔 채널 댓글 쓰는걸로 시작한 채팅방이 dao같은 느낌의 프빗방으로 운영중이예요. 하루 종일 서로 투자얘기부터 시시콜콜한 잡담까지 많이 나누고 전화도 종종 하고 사석에서 자주 만나기도 하니 다들 오래된 친구 같습니다. 하루의 시작과 끝을 텔방에서 하는거 같네요. 작년 10월 31에 첫 정모를 하고 4월 24일 어제 2차 정모를 가졌습니다. 앞으로도 반기에 한번씩은 정모를 할 계획입니다 부족한 저에게 다들 큰 도움되고 있습니다. 이 자리를 빌려 감사인사 드립니다. 개인일정으로 못온 분들 특히 육아하면서 매매까지 하느라 바쁜 하나비, 개인 일정으로 못온 해랑달, 술병나서 못온 읍읍 다음에 꼭~
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Channel photo updated
Photo, posted without a caption
저도 10월 중순부터 1월 말까지 홀딩했던 현물포지션을 손절하기 직전까지 약 4개월 동안 깊이 고민했던 내용입니다 손절이후 현재 포지션 없이 다시 심히 고민해봐도 다른 투자 대상에 비해 전혀 매력적이지 않은 투자대상이라고 생각합니다 물론 수급이 쏠려들어온다면 바닥에서 두세배씩오르기도하고, 수백개의 코인중에서 텐베거가 나올수도 있겠죠 근데 그게 제가 고른게 아닐것같다는 막연한 불안감, 인터넷짤로 보던 알트코인-90%의 주인공이 내가 될것만같다는 생각들과 코스피의 불꽃열차를 보면서 그냥 하루하루가 지옥이었습니다 버티지 못한 패배자네요 우울한 주말입니다
❤23👍3
욕 먹을 각오하고 한 마디 하겠습니다 그냥 코인자체가 제 생각엔 1. 미국 중국 패권전쟁으로 인해 비트코인을 미국이 효과적으로 뺐어오기 위해 etf 출범함 미국이 삼(15k—>60-70k) 2. 트럼프 당선 기대감으로 인해 비트코인이 메인스트림으로 올라올 것이라는 기대감으로 전세계에서 삼(60-70k—->126k) 으로 상승 사이클이 진행되었다고 보여집니다 그런데 인제는 1. 중국은 인제 금 은으로 전략적 자산 비축을 함 이마저도 좀 차익 실현함 2. 트럼프는 택사스 보궐 선거에서 질 정도로 지배력이 약해졌음 따라서 크립토 자체가 매력적인 자산이지 않을 뿐만 아니라, 비재화 정도라고 생각함 여기서부터 현물로 모아가라는 소리는 말도 안되는 소리라고 생각함 그냥 모든 반등마다 팔아야되는 자산이라고 생각함 정말 많이 반등하면 cme gap인 84.…
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Showing the 12 most recent of 17 posts we hold for @iwontloseit. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank — 490,456 of 1,480,688entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 14 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“행복을 찾아서” (@iwontloseit), 3,027 subscribers as measured 14 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/iwontloseit.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.