Channel
@blackswanpapers
On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
226subscribers
+0 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.
| Telegram ID | -1001876090881 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @blackswanpapers |
| Created | Between 1 October 2022 and 30 September 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 8 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 8 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 2 |
| On Telegram | t.me/blackswanpapers |
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026, 10:19 | 226 | no change |
| 7 Aug 2026, 18:15 | 226 | first reading |
19 posts held, back to 9 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 4 of 12 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 5 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 19 (9 July 2026 – 5 August 2026) |
| Views total | 1,435 |
| Reactions total | 12 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 8 Aug 2026, 10:19 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 8 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.
18 reactions across 6 posts, in 6 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 33.3% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 6 | 33.3% | |
| 🔥 | 4 | 22.2% | |
| 👍 | 3 | 16.7% | |
| ❤🔥 | 2 | 11.1% | |
| 😁 | 2 | 11.1% | |
| 🕊 | 1 | 5.56% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 6 of the 19 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 18reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 19 most recent posts we hold, published 9 July 2026 to 5 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
🚨BULL CASE confirmed: SpaceX crushes its first earnings as a public company. Revenue: $7.8 BILLION vs $6.81 BILLION expected, up 92%. Starlink: $4.29 BILLION in revenue, $1.66 BILLION in operating income, 12 MILLION subscribers. AI segment loss came in at HALF of what Wall Street expected ($1.26 BILLION vs $2.39 BILLION).
🍎 Last night, Apple briefly removed Telegram from the App Store because a single user had planted illegal pornographic content in a public group chat. ⬅️ Telegram was restored within hours. But I want to explain what happened — to warn other app developers and help protect online communities from similar attacks. 🧹Because Telegram quickly removes illegal content from public groups using user reports, AI filters, co…
Photo, posted without a caption
Brand new if anyone keen let me know
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APPLE REMOVES TELEGRAM FROM APP STORE WORLDWIDE ...
CITADEL ACQUIRES MOST OF SITUATIONAL AWARENESS ASSETS: WSJ SOURCE
The $24 billion hedge fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner unwound all of its public stock holdings after big losses on artificial intelligence companies and a bad bet against software shares left it scrambling to raise cash, according to people familiar with the matter. Situational Awareness sustained significant losses in recent weeks as its portfolio of AI infrastructure investments such…
https://x.com/jukan05/status/2082456875866759480?s=46&t=nluSw7cwYGx8zFxfoYi5Iw
Suicide remained the leading cause of death among youths aged 10 to 29 for the 7th consecutive year. In 2024, 441 suicides were reported in S’pore. ➡️ https://bit.ly/4x3V4Nk Follow us @mothershipsg
While Bitcoin gets most of the attention, Tether has quietly become a significant buyer of physical gold. The company holds around 22 tonnes of gold backing its XAUT token, up from 7.7 tonnes a year ago. Separately, analysts at Jefferies estimate Tether also owns roughly 130 tonnes (worth about US$20 billion) to support USDT, although Tether only discloses the dollar value of these reserves, not the gold tonnage itse…
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File, posted without a caption
❤🔥2👍2❤1
some of uk i trade gold short term q often; heres a breakdown of the asset for more of an accumulation purpose
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Showing the 12 most recent of 19 posts we hold for @blackswanpapers. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 8 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Black Swan Papers” (@blackswanpapers), 226 subscribers as measured 8 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/blackswanpapers.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.