WTI Crude Oil 순서대로 5월물 / 6월물

Channel
Risk & Return
@Risk_and_Return
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
9,081subscribers
-45 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001771730817 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @Risk_and_Return |
| Created | Between 1 December 2021 and 30 April 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 13 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 4 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 13 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/Risk_and_Return |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026, 09:05 | 9,081 | -27 |
| 10 Aug 2026, 02:01 | 9,108 | -10 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 05:51 | 9,118 | -8 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 10:46 | 9,126 | first reading |
Engagement
15 posts held, back to 11 December 2025 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 14 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 15 posts for this entry, the most recent from 24 March 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.
Recent posts
이스라엘 언론 Channel 12: 위트코프와 쿠슈너가 작업 중인 메커니즘에 따라 한 달 동안의 휴전이 발표될 것이다
BoE발 글로벌 금리 급등으로 Gold & Silver도 하락 각각 $4,550 / $67 수준
BoE MPC 결과 정리 가이던스 1. "인플레 지속성으로 인한 리스크가 계속해서 덜 뚜렷해졌다" → "MPC는 에너지 가격 고착화가 길어질수록 임금 및 가격 설정 과정에서 2차 파급효과를 통해 국내 인플레 압력이 커질 리스크가 있다는 점을 경계하고 있다" (매우 매파적) 가이던스 2. "현재의 증거를 바탕으로 기준금리가 향후 인하될 가능성이 높다" → 삭제 (매우 매파적) 가이던스 3. "추가 정책 완화에 대한 판단이 더 아슬아슬해질 것(closer call)이다" → 삭제 (매우 매파적) 가이던스 4. "최근 증거에 비추어 높은 인플레 리스크가 증가했다" → "경제에 가해진 새로운 충격의 결과로 단기적으로 CPI 상승률이 더 높아질 것이다." (적당히 매파적) 가이던스 5. 'easing bias' 문구 → 삭제 …
상황이 심각하여 공개 채널에도 BoE Preview와 정리본을 공유함 2603 BoE Preview (6월 30일까지 무료 공개 상태로 전환) https://naver.me/x52hdyQS 방금 Bank of England가 매우 매파적인 통화정책 결과를 내어 금리시장에 충격이 상당한 상황임 Fed 기준으로 금리 프라이싱은 인하 확률 10% 수준(-2bp)에서 인상 확률 55% 수준(+14bp)까지 급등함
트럼프, 하메네이 사망 발표
Khamenei, one of the most evil people in History, is dead. This is not only Justice for the people of Iran, but for all Great Americans, and those people from many Countries throughout the World, that have been killed or mutilated by Khamenei and his gang of bloodthirsty THUGS. He was unable to avoid our Intelligence and Highly Sophisticated Tracking Systems and, working closely with Israel, there was not a thing he,…
1월 9일에 위클리 채널에 업로드된 내용입니다 참고하시길 바랍니다! 위클리 채널 입장은 네프콘을 통해 가능합니다 contents.premium.naver.com/riskandreturn/rnr
Photo, posted without a caption
CIT의 1심 판결을 좀 자세히 보면 말이 안되는게 많음 (특히 '모든 수입업체에게 환급해야 한다' 이거는 1심따위에서 감히 할 수 있는 판결이 아님) 이미 연방대법원은 이 부분에 대해 Trump v. CASA (2025)에서 Judiciary Act (1789)를 메인 근거로 삼아서 판결을 하였음 https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_new_5426.pdf 따라서 이번 판결의 대상인 Learning Resources v. Trump V.O.S. Selections v. Trump 이 두 사건의 원고만 이번에 연방대법원으로부터 직접적인 환급판결을 받을 수 있음 이 때 구체적인 적용받을 환급 대상 비율(금액)도 중요함 (다른 수입업체들이 추후 제기할 환급소송들은 class act…
판결의 형태는 좀 여러가지일 수 있음 그리고 연방대법원에서 판결이 나오면 앞으로 CIT에서는 사실상 수동적 판결이 나오게 되기 때문에 오늘 나올 판결 내용이 앞으로 일어날 일의 거의 대부분을 설명한다고 봐야함 관세를 크게 5가지로 나눠서 봐야함 1. IEEPA 상호관세 2. IEEPA 마약관세 3. 섹션 232 4. 섹션 301 5. 그 외 다른 조치 1은 무효화될 가능성이 높고, 실제로 환급도 이루어질 가능성이 높음 2도 무효화될 가능성이 있고, 환급도 이루어질 가능성이 있긴 하지만 주제가 '안보'이다보니 다른 판결이 나올수도 있음 판결의 형태는 [ 1은 유효, 2는 무효 ] 라던가 [ 1의 특정 퍼센트만 무효, 나머진 유효, 2는... ] 이라던가 다양한 형태의 판결이 가능함 가장 가능성이 높은건 IEEPA의 전면 무효 혹은 …
제목 : 美 11월 CPI 둘러싼 의구심 점증…"주거비 아예 '0'으로 가정" *연합인포* 美 11월 CPI 둘러싼 의구심 점증…"주거비 아예 '0'으로 가정" "전적으로 용납할 수 없는 일" 의견도 (뉴욕=연합인포맥스) 진정호 특파원 = 미국 11월 소비자물가지수(CPI)가 전반적으로 둔화한 가운데 일부 수치가 지나치게 큰 폭으로 꺾이면서 월가에선 일부 의구심이 제기되고 있다. 미국 월스트리트저널(WSJ)의 닉 티미라오스 기자는 자신의 엑스(X) 계정에 인플레이션인사이츠의 오마르 샤리프 설립자가 게시한 글을 첨부했다. *그림1* 샤리프는 자신의 엑스 계정에 11월 CPI 결과…
Showing the 12 most recent of 15 posts we hold for @Risk_and_Return. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 353,424 of 1,345,403entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 13 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Risk & Return” (@Risk_and_Return), 9,081 subscribers as measured 13 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/Risk_and_Return.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.