يادداشت هاي توسعه ایران
امیرحسین خالقی
تماس:
t.me/AmirHosseinKHQ
و
twitter.com/amirkhaleqi
و
joinclubhouse.com/@amirkhaleqi
و
instagram.com/amirhosseinkhqi
حمایت از راهبرد:
http://hamibash.com/rahbordchannel
Created
6 November 2015 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (TGDataset)
7 measurements spanning 7 days, net +4. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 12,204–12,212 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
12 Aug 2026, 18:43
12,211
+6
10 Aug 2026, 19:21
12,205
-4
9 Aug 2026, 18:41
12,209
+1
8 Aug 2026, 17:44
12,208
+2
7 Aug 2026, 20:03
12,206
-1
6 Aug 2026, 02:34
12,207
no change
5 Aug 2026, 21:12
12,207
first reading
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 8 December 2025 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 17 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
36.9%
avg views ÷ 12,211 subscribers
Avg views / post
4,510
3 posts measured
Reaction rate
1.04%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
3
of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 5 August 2026
Posts held
20 (8 December 2025 – 5 August 2026)
Views total
13,520
Reactions total
140
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
15 Aug 2026, 00:56 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈659
Videos
≈137
Links
≈1,110
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 15 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Video runtime
41m 06s
Average length
4m 34s
Measured directly from 9 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
1,729 reactions across 20 posts, in 7 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 53.4% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
❤
923
53.4%
👍
654
37.8%
👎
65
3.76%
😢
33
1.91%
😁
32
1.85%
🔥
20
1.16%
🤩
2
0.116%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 20 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1,729reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 8 December 2025 to 5 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Telegram Stars
Stars received
162
across the posts below
Posts paid on
3
of 20 we hold a reading for · 15%
Most on one post
110
single highest reading
A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @RahbordChannel. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.
Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.
This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.
Counted over the 20 most recent posts we hold for this entry, published 8 December 2025 to 5 August 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.
قانون طلایی طلا!
امیرحسین خالقی، پژوهشگر اقتصاد سیاسی، در برنامه «اکونومی پلیطیک» می گوید برای پیشبینی روند طلا، قبل از هر تحلیل باید به یک سؤال پاسخ داد: اعتماد در حال افزایش است یا کاهش؟
به گفته او، هر زمان اعتماد مردم به نظام مالی، دولت و اقتصاد تضعیف شود، تمایل به داراییهایی که ارزش خود را در بلندمدت حفظ میکنند افزایش مییابد و طلا مهمترین پناهگاه سرمایه در چنین شرایطی است.
خالقی توضیح میدهد که انسانها برا…
در باب چین
چین چگونه از یکی از فقیرترین کشورهای جهان به بزرگترین قدرت تولیدی دنیا تبدیل شد؟ و چرا امروز رشد اقتصادی این کشور دیگر مانند گذشته نیست؟
در این قسمت از اکونومی پلیطیک از «قرن تحقیر» و اصلاحات اقتصادی چین آغاز میکنیم و سپس به مهمترین چالشهای امروز این کشور میپردازیم؛ از مصرف پایین خانوار، وابستگی به سرمایهگذاری و صادرات، تا جنگ تجاری با آمریکا، تعرفهها، عناصر کمیاب، هوش مصنوعی، کریدورهای اقتصادی و…
اقتصاد سیاسیِ طلا
آیا طلا صرفاً یک دارایی سرمایهگذاری است یا آینهای از تحولات ژئوپلیتیک و تغییرات نظم جهانی؟
در این قسمت از «اکونومی پلیطیک» به این سؤال اساسی پاسخ میدهیم.
بسیاری از فعالان بازار تصور میکنند که طلا صرفاً تابع تورم یا نرخ بهره است. اما واقعیت پیچیدهتر از این است. اگر چنین بود، توضیح بسیاری از جهشها و ریزشهای بزرگ طلا در دهههای اخیر دشوار میشد.
در این برنامه بررسی میکنیم که چه عواملی در پش…
در باب تنگه و باقی ماجرا
خوبیت ندارد آدم وارد بیزینس متخصصان فال قهوه شود ولی گاهی گریزی نیست و البته ما همواره محکوم به غافلگیری در برابر آینده ایم.
نگارنده این سطور معتقد است که ما روزگار خوشی پیش رو نداریم، جنگی ویرانگر در پیش است که دیر و زود دارد ولی سوخت و سوز ندارد، در کشور ساختارهای موازی برای تصمیم گیری (چه «بدیم بره» و چه جنگ!) بعید است اجماعی شکل گیرد و در نهایت وقتی تصمیم گرفته می شود که دیگر گزینه زیا…
دلار و جنگ های نفتی
آیا قذافی و صدام به خاطر این کشته شدند که می خواستند نفت کشورشان را با ارز دیگری جز دلار قیمت گذاری کنند؟ آیا هژمونی دلار به دلیل قیمت گذاری کامودیتی ها و به ویژه نفت با دلار است؟ پاسخ یک کلمه ای: خیر!
در نخستین قسمت از «اکونومی پلیطیک» درباره «توهم افول دلار» از جنگ های پترودلار گفتیم و بعد عاملی مهمتر را معرفی کردیم: یورودلار.
لینک تماشا
کانال راهبرد/امیرحسین خالقی
@RahbordChannel
حمایت ا…
دلاری که همچنان با ما خواهد بود!
بسیاری از تحلیلگران از پایان هژمونی دلار و ظهور نظم پولی جدید سخن گفتهاند. اما اگر پروژه «دلارزدایی» آنگونه که آنها انتظار دارند پیش نرود چه پیامدهایی برای سرمایهگذاران خواهد داشت؟
در نخستین قسمت از «اکونومی پلیطیک» درباره «توهم افول دلار» از آینده دلار و هژمونی آن در اقتصاد جهان گفته ایم و اینکه دلار همچنان سهم بزرگی از در اقتصاد جهانی خواهد داشت؛ بعضی پیشنهادها را هم برای سرمای…
در باب ترامپیسم
ترامپیسم شاید مهمترین چالش نظم اقتصادی جهانی در دهه اخیر است. طرفداران آن معتقدند تعرفه ها و حمایت از تولید داخلی و بازگرداندن صنایع به آمریکا میتواند به بهبود اشتغال، امنیت و قدرت صنعتی امریکا کمک کند. اما منتقدان هشدار میدهند که این سیاستها شاید در کوتاه مدت بهبود بعضی از شاخص های اقتصادی را به همراه داشته باشند ولی در نهایت به کاهش رفاه مصرف کنندگان، نزول رقابتپذیری و کند شدن رشد اقتصاد امری…
توهم افول دلار
آیا دلار باید تاجوتخت خود را به یُوان واگذار کند!؟ یا داستان هژمونی دلار بسیار پیچیدهتر از این هاست؟
در نخستین قسمت «اکونومی پلیطیک» به سراغ یکی از مهمترین موضوعات اقتصاد سیاسی جهان رفتهایم: هژمونی دلار!
در این برنامه بررسی میکنیم:
• چگونه دلار به ارز مسلط جهان تبدیل شد؟
• بازار یورودلار چیست و چرا بسیاری آن را ستون اصلی نظام مالی جهانی میدانند؟
• آیا سلطه دلار در حال افول است یا همچنان آقای …
چه می شود؟
صرف تفاهم (اگر امضا شود) یک سیگنال به یانکی ها بود تا آن تصویر اولیه جنگ مبنی بر غیرعقلایی رفتار کردن طرف ایرانی را تعدیل کنند و معامله را جدیتر بگیرند. همین طور یک مانور قدرتمند برای شخص قالیباف که نشان می دهد وی نفوذ لازم را برای پیشبرد اراده اش دارد؛ به هر حال کسی هست که بتوان با او دیل کرد! اگر بتواند قدرتش را تحکیم کند و در صحنه داخلی مخالفان را کنار بگذارد، احتمال توافق بیشتر می شود.
اما چنان تح…
در باب عوامفریبی
سیاسیون عوامفریب عالم از اصول مشخصی استفاده می کنند که پیدا کردن مصداق هایش کار سختی نیست:
۱. زیر سوال بردن انگیزهی گوینده
وقتی کسی یک استدلال محکم و مستند ارائه میدهد، عوامفریب نمیگوید «این استدلال غلط است.» بلکه میگوید: «این آدم چرا این حرف را میزند؟ چه کسی پشتش هست؟ چه منفعتی دارد؟»
۲. ایجاد بدبینی نسبت به زمین و زمان
عوامفریب یک قدم فراتر میرود و میگوید: همه دروغ میگویند، رسانهها ف…
در باب روزهای اخیر و املاکی شیردل
دوستان مقیم وطن میتوانند این را در آپارات هم ببینند
ویدئو کامل
کانال راهبرد/امیرحسین خالقی
@RahbordChannel
حمایت از راهبرد:
https://bit.ly/2Hja5HY
عرب ها نفت را به دلار قیمت گذاری نکنند باید با هژمونی دلار خداحافظی کرد؟
احتمالا زیاد شنیده اند که جایگاه برتر دلار در جهان یک دلیل مشخص دارد: زد و بند تاریخی امریکا با عرب نشین های نفتی خلیج فارس تا نفت را به دلار قیمت گذاری کنند (به ویژه بعد از شوک نفتی دهه هفتاد و حتی پیش از آن). پس اگر اعراب بی خیال قیمت گذاری به دلار شوند و مثلا سراغ یوآن بروند، هژمونی دلار هم به باد می رود!
اما در یک مقاله جالب فایننشال گفته …
❤80👍45👎6
Signed Amir Hossein KhaleQi
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @RahbordChannel. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Stars beside a post are paid reactions — Telegram Stars, bought with money and spent on that post. They are a different unit from reactions and are never added to them, here or anywhere else on this page.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 506,553 of 1,345,403entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 5 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
تاریخاندیشی ــ مهدی تدینی @tarikhandishi · 112,056 Telegram ranks this channel #33 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 14 August 2026
This channel appears in 1 seed channel's Telegram-generated recommendation list in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cross-platform identity — Wikidata
A Wikidata item names this Telegram handle as belonging to the entity it describes. This is Wikidata’s claim, not a verification made by this register — nobody here confirmed that the account is genuinely operated by the entity named. Wikidata content is CC0; every fact below is dated to when it was read from Wikidata, not to when the association was first made there.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“راهبرد” (@RahbordChannel), 12,211 subscribers as measured 12 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/RahbordChannel.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.