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Channel

هواشناسی ایران

@water_ira

On this record: Topic · Observations · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Citations · Cite this entry

62,016subscribers

-248 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 31,623–100,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1003217488871
TypeChannel
Username@water_ira
Descriptionبسم الله الرحمن الرحیم ♥️ به کانال هواشناسی ایران و خبر فوری خوش آمدید 🔥❤️
CreatedBetween 1 October 2025 and 31 December 2025 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live12 November 2026
Measurements held61
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 12 November 2026
On Telegramt.me/water_ira

Topic

Local community — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 9 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 46% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear in near-verbatim form on 12 other registered channels. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@aerology_ir/9573829 Aug 2026, 15:16 UTC@water_ira/6341 · this entry29 Aug 2026, 16:13 UTC0.9856 minutes
@aerology_ir/9553423 Aug 2026, 07:57 UTC@water_ira/6105 · this entry23 Aug 2026, 08:46 UTC0.9749 minutes
@aerology_ir/9719618 Oct 2026, 07:06 UTC@water_ira/8086 · this entry18 Oct 2026, 07:49 UTC0.9743 minutes
@aerology_ir/9741825 Oct 2026, 16:09 UTC@water_ira/8317 · this entry25 Oct 2026, 17:08 UTC0.9758 minutes
@aerology_ir/9648325 Sept 2026, 06:56 UTC@water_ira/7268 · this entry25 Sept 2026, 07:46 UTC0.9649 minutes
@aerology_ir/9558825 Aug 2026, 06:00 UTC@water_ira/6176 · this entry25 Aug 2026, 06:25 UTC0.9625 minutes
Channels this entry shares post bodies with, where at least one matching post pair has no forward credit between the two channels, or to a common source, recorded in our data
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@aerology_ir151 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9642 minutes@aerology_ir (147–4)
@iran_weathrr131 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9740 minutes@iran_weathrr (79–52)
@newsfori94 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9615 minutes@newsfori (63–31)
@havashnsiran43 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9665 minutesthis entry (23–20)
@Havashenasimashhad39 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.972.6 hoursthis entry (21–18)
@met_ir38 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9340 minutes@met_ir (24–14)
@iran_weather33 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9753 minutes@iran_weather (19–14)
@khabarno_official31 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.95under a minutethis entry (20–11)
@khabarfouri29 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9534 minutesthis entry (16–13)
@khabarha_fouri25 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9523 minutes@khabarha_fouri (24–1)
@jaryaan2423 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.96under a minutethis entry (15–8)
@akhbare_irane23 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9572 secondsthis entry (14–9)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 770 of the 777 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 1,437 comparable posts for this entry, running 5 August 2026 to 13 November 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Recorded under the keys clone_copy · clone_mutual · clone_source, last confirmed 14 November 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Growth

62,01462,26462,13962,0166 August 202612 November 2026
61 measurements spanning 98 days, net -248. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 61,977–62,302 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 61
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
12 Nov 2026, 00:0162,016-1
9 Nov 2026, 23:0062,017-1
8 Nov 2026, 11:5062,018-1
7 Nov 2026, 08:2762,019-2
6 Nov 2026, 09:3662,021-1
5 Nov 2026, 06:3962,022-2
4 Nov 2026, 03:5162,024-2
3 Nov 2026, 05:4962,026+1
2 Nov 2026, 02:2962,025+3
1 Nov 2026, 01:3862,022+4
31 Oct 2026, 01:0762,018-1
30 Oct 2026, 02:5762,019+1
27 Oct 2026, 23:3062,018+1
27 Oct 2026, 00:2662,017+1
26 Oct 2026, 01:4062,016-1
25 Oct 2026, 05:0962,017+3
24 Oct 2026, 04:0662,014-2
23 Oct 2026, 05:5662,016-4
22 Oct 2026, 02:5862,020-1
21 Oct 2026, 00:0762,021first reading

Engagement

2,733 posts held, back to 5 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 201 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
9.12%
avg views ÷ 62,016 subscribers
Avg views / post
5,660
798 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.017%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
798
of 2,733 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 60 of 798 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 14 November 2026
Posts held2,733 (5 August 2026 – 14 November 2026)
Views total4,514,805
Reactions total62
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken14 Nov 2026, 10:02 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
≈2,920
Videos
≈4,960
Links
≈53

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 14 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Video runtime
4h 53m
Average length
35s

Measured directly from 506 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Reaction mix

93 reactions across 81 posts, in 15 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 53.8% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
❤5053.8%
🥰1010.8%
👍77.53%
😁55.38%
😱44.30%
👎33.23%
💔33.23%
💩22.15%
🔥22.15%
🙏22.15%
👏11.08%
😍11.08%
😢11.08%
😨11.08%
🤔11.08%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 86 of the 1,000 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 93 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 1,000 most recent posts we hold (the sample is capped at 1,000), published 7 October 2026 to 14 November 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 5 of 798 posts held from the last 30 days (0.627%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).

14 Nov 2026, 08:51 UTC≈5,580 viewsread 14 November 2026

🔴افزایش ۸۳ درصدی بارش‌ها در تهران 🔹مطابق آمار از ابتدای سال آبی جاری تا ۲۱ آبان‌ ۲۷.۹ ملی‌متر بارندگی در کل کشور ثبت شده که این میزان در مقایسه با دوره بلندمدت ۴۳.۱ درصد افزایش یافته است. 🔹کهگیلویه و بویراحمد با ۱۴۶ درصد بیشترین بارش را در بین استان‌های کشور به خود اختصاص داده است. 🔹 در استان‌های خراسان جنوبی، خراسان رضوی، سمنان، سیستان و بلوچستان، کرمان، گیلان، مازندران و یزد بارش‌ها رشد منفی داشته است. 🔹 بارش‌ه…

14 Nov 2026, 08:44 UTC≈5,060 viewsread 14 November 2026

🔴هشدار مواج شدن دریا در گیلان 🔹مدیرکل هواشناسی گیلان: دریا از عصر فردا (یکشنبه) تا صبح (سه‌شنبه) هفته جاری برای تمام فعالیت‌های دریایی نامناسب است و برای وزش باد شدید و مواج شدن دریا در این مدت هشدار نارنجی صادر شد. @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 08:32 UTC≈5,470 viewsread 14 November 2026
Video

🔴وقتی دماوند از کویر مرجاب دیده می‌شود @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 07:43 UTC≈5,430 viewsread 14 November 2026
Video

🔴جاری شدن روان اب ها در عربستان @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 07:17 UTC≈5,070 viewsread 14 November 2026

🔴تهران تا ۴۸ ساعت آینده آلوده است 🔹️پیش‌بینی‌ها از تداوم وضعیت ناسالم هوا و احتمال ورود برخی مناطق تهران به محدودهٔ قرمز در ۴۸ ساعت آینده حکایت دارد. مدیرعامل شرکت کنترل کیفیت هوای تهران گفت: براساس پیش‌بینی‌های انجام‌شده، هوای تهران تا دوشنبه آلوده و نارنجی است. 🔹️در حال حاضر شاخص کیفیت هوای تهران ۱۳۰ است و پایتخت در شرایط نارنجی(ناسالم برای گروه‌های حساس) قرار دارد. @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 07:05 UTC≈5,490 viewsread 14 November 2026
Photo

🔴کیفیت هوای ۶ مرکز استان در وضع نارنجی 🔹کیفیت هوای شهرهای اصفهان، تهران، ارومیه، تبریز، اهواز و یزد در وضع نارنجی و سطح ناسالم برای گروههای حساس قرار دارد. @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 06:49 UTC≈7,450 viewsread 14 November 2026
Video

🔴کوچه عادل یزدی در کنار نارنجستان قوام شیراز @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 06:04 UTC≈6,320 views2 reactionsread 14 November 2026
Photo

🔴پدیدار شدن قله دماوند در هوای پاک از نمای شهر ساری، مازندران @water_ira

❤2

14 Nov 2026, 05:38 UTC≈7,480 viewsread 14 November 2026
Photo

🔴سدها و دشت‌های سیلابی مقصد بخشی از بارش‌های استان تهران کارشناس آبخیزداری اداره کل منابع طبیعی استان تهران: 🔹سدهای لتیان، لار، ماملو و نمرود همچنین دشت‌های جنوبی و پهنه‌های تالابی استان، مقصد بخشی از رواناب‌های ناشی از بارش‌هاست. 🔹بیشترین میزان بارش گزارش‌شده در ایستگاه باغگل حدود ۱۲۰ میلی‌متر و کمترین میزان در برخی ایستگاه‌های جنوبی استان حدود ۲۰ میلی‌متر بوده است. @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 05:16 UTC≈6,060 viewsread 14 November 2026

‍ برنامهٔ صبحگاهی و ورزشی مدارس تهران در فضای باز ممنوع شد 🔹کارگروه اضطرار آلودگی هوای تهران: فعالیت‌های صبحگاهی و ورزشی مدارس تهران در فضای باز، در روزهای شنبه و یکشنبه ۲۳ و ۲۴ آبان‌ماه ممنوع است. این تصمیم شامل تمامی مقاطع تحصیلی می‌شود. @water_ira

14 Nov 2026, 05:14 UTC≈6,780 viewsread 14 November 2026

پیش بینی افت کیفیت هوا در شهرهای صنعتی سازمان هواشناسی: 🔴شنبه و یکشنبه در بیشتر مناطق کشور جوی پایدار همراه با افزایش نسبی دما حاکم است و در شهرهای صنعتی و پر جمعیت به ویژه تهران، کرج، اصفهان و اراک افزایش غلظت آلاینده های جوی و کاهش کیفیت هوا پیش بینی می شود. 🔹️برای تهران هشدار نارنجی آلودگی هوا صادر شده است. 🔹️در سه روز آینده، خلیج فارس و دریای عمان مواج است. @water_ira

13 Nov 2026, 20:03 UTC≈6,250 viewsread 14 November 2026
Video

🔴بسته شدن راه‌های ارتباطی در بخشی از ایتالیا در پی زمین‌لغزش متعدد 🔹بارش‌های شدید باران در منطقه توسکانی ایتالیا به زمین‌لغزش‌های متعدد و بسته شدن محورهای مواصلاتی منجر شده است. @water_ira

Showing the 12 most recent of 2,733 posts we hold for @water_ira. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Posts edited after publishing

@water_ira edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.

An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.

First edit seen
9 August 2026
Most recent edit
9 August 2026

Forward network

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 7 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 November 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“هواشناسی ایران” (@water_ira), 62,016 subscribers as measured 12 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/water_ira.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.