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Channel
Polymarket Noticias | Última hora | Mercados de Predicción ES
@ultimahora
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
673subscribers
-1 since we began measuring on 25 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1003663370810 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @ultimahora |
| Created | Between 1 December 2025 and 28 February 2026— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 25 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 26 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 3 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 26 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/ultimahora |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026, 02:54 | 673 | -1 |
| 25 Aug 2026, 03:45 | 674 | no change |
| 25 Aug 2026, 03:30 | 674 | first reading |
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 28 February 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 20 posts for this entry, the most recent from 15 May 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.
Reaction mix
98 reactions across 17 posts, in 6 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 65.3% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 64 | 65.3% | |
| 🔥 | 17 | 17.3% | |
| 👍 | 14 | 14.3% | |
| 👎 | 1 | 1.02% | |
| 😢 | 1 | 1.02% | |
| 🥰 | 1 | 1.02% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 19 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 98reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 28 February 2026 to 15 May 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
💬 Chat de Polymarket — Únete a la Comunidad Únete a nuestro chat de Polymarket en Telegram: una comunidad en crecimiento para discusión en tiempo real, insights del mercado y alpha compartido. Conecta con traders, intercambia ideas y mantente por delante en los prediction markets. El foro de Polymarket para jugadores serios. Únete ahora: https://t.me/+XJGEG6dUbfNhMjcy
🇦🇷 Argentina Bloquea Polymarket! Argentina ha ordenado el bloqueo total de Polymarket, obligando a los proveedores de internet a restringir el acceso y solicitando a Apple y Google eliminar la app, al considerarla una plataforma de apuestas no autorizada. Los reguladores sostienen que los prediction markets entran dentro de la legislación de juego cuando hay dinero real involucrado. La decisión llega tras sospecha…
❤2😢1
💬 Chat de Polymarket — Únete a la Comunidad Únete a nuestro chat de Polymarket en Telegram: una comunidad en crecimiento para discusión en tiempo real, insights del mercado y alpha compartido. Conecta con traders, intercambia ideas y mantente por delante en los prediction markets. El foro de Polymarket para jugadores serios. Únete ahora: https://t.me/+XJGEG6dUbfNhMjcy
🇧🇷 Kalshi inicia su expansión global junto al gigante brasileño XP! Kalshi inicia su expansión internacional de la mano de XP, uno de los mayores brokers de Brasil. El acuerdo se implementará a través de XP International, que distribuirá el producto, gestionará clientes, compliance y relación regulatoria, mientras Kalshi aporta infraestructura de trading, creación de mercados y gestión de riesgos. Al inicio, el ac…
❤3🔥1
⚡️ Nuevo “whale” en Polymarket: $1.76M de ganancia en semanas! Un nuevo trader en Polymarket está llamando la atención. La wallet 0x2a2C53bD278c0…, creada en marzo de 2026, ya ha generado $1,769,601 de beneficio neto en el último mes. Actualmente mantiene posiciones por unos $313K, ha realizado 222 predicciones, su mayor victoria supera $1M, y su perfil ya acumula 21.2K visualizaciones. Entre sus operaciones recie…
🔥3
🇧🇷 Elecciones Presidenciales de Brasil: así se mueven las probabilidades del mercado! Los mercados de predicción sobre las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil ya superan $23.7 millones en volumen, reflejando un fuerte interés global en el resultado. Según el mercado, el evento se resolverá cuando se confirmen los resultados oficiales de la votación prevista para 4 de octubre de 2026, momento en que se determinará q…
❤6
⚡️ Mercados de 5 minutos en Polymarket: predicciones rápidas sobre Bitcoin Polymarket, conocido por predicciones sobre política y economía, ahora lanzó mercados rápidos. Un ejemplo es “Bitcoin Up or Down – 5 Minutes”, donde se predice si BTC estará por encima o por debajo de cierto precio en 5 minutos. El formato recuerda a opciones binarias, pero con una diferencia clave. En las binarias suele existir RTP (Retur…
❤6
⚡️ Elecciones anticipadas en España antes del 30 de junio de 2026? Mira este mercado de predicción! Este mercado en Polymarket evalúa si España convocará elecciones anticipadas antes del 30 de junio de 2026, es decir, si se anunciarán oficialmente comicios adelantados antes de esa fecha. Actualmente, la probabilidad del “Sí” ronda el 16%, con un volumen negociado superior a $118,000, lo que refleja que el mercado c…
❤3
⚡️ Nuevo High Roller registra +$3.6M en solo 3 operaciones en la vertical deportiva La plataforma suma un nuevo protagonista en los sports prediction markets: Majorexploiter, quien se unió en febrero de 2026 y ya acumula un beneficio neto total de $3,668,541 con apenas 3 predicciones. Su mayor resultado individual supera los $2.4 millones, reflejando una estrategia de alta convicción y gestión de capital significat…
👍5❤3
🇻🇪 El mercado sobre el liderazgo en Venezuela supera los $69,9M en volumen El mercado de predicciones sobre quién liderará Venezuela a finales de 2026 ya acumula más de $69,9M en volumen, reflejando un fuerte interés en este escenario político. En este momento, Delcy Rodríguez lidera con 62%, seguida por María Corina Machado con 16% y Nicolás Maduro con 11%. La ventaja es clara, aunque las probabilidades pueden cam…
❤6🥰1
⚡️ $515K en 71 minutos: cómo un trader de Polymarket anticipó un evento clave Un usuario de Polymarket habría ganado 515.000 dólares tras acertar la probabilidad de un ataque de EE. UU. contra Irán, colocando su posición apenas 71 minutos antes de que la noticia se hiciera pública. La cuenta, conocida como Magamyman, invirtió 87.000 dólares cuando el mercado estimaba la probabilidad del evento en 27%, según declara…
❤10
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @ultimahora. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 824,434 of 1,626,711entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 26 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Polymarket Noticias | Última hora | Mercados de Predicción ES” (@ultimahora), 673 subscribers as measured 26 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/ultimahora.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.