🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 埃隆·马斯克在2026年8月11日至8月18日期间的推文数量是多少? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #文化 #政治 #推文市场 ░░░░░░░░░░ 0% <20 ░░░░░░░░░░ 0% 20-39 ░░░░░░░░░░ 0% 40-59 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 60-79 ▓░░░░░░░░░ 8% 80-99 ▓░░░░░░░░░ 8% 100-119 ... +20 more 💰 交易量: $8.0K | 流动性: $50.9K 结算规则:根据埃隆·马斯克在美东时间2026年8月11日12:00至8月18日12:00期间在X上的发帖次数结算。仅计算主页帖子、引用和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:马斯克近期周推文量集中在220-240条。由于8月10日至16日期间有SpaceX…

Channel
Polymarket新预测市场发布频道
@polynewevent_cn
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Posts · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Cite this entry
376subscribers
+1 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1003718210176 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @polynewevent_cn |
| Created | Between 1 February 2026 and 30 June 2026— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 8 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 8 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 3 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 8 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/polynewevent_cn |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026, 10:16 | 376 | +1 |
| 8 Aug 2026, 06:18 | 375 | no change |
| 7 Aug 2026, 21:49 | 375 | first reading |
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 7 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 0.479%
- avg views ÷ 376 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 1.8
- 20 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- —
- this channel exposes no reaction counts
- Posts in window
- 20
- of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 8 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 20 (7 August 2026 – 8 August 2026) |
| Views total | 36 |
| Reactions total | — |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 8 Aug 2026, 06:18 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
Recent posts
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 哈梅内伊2026年8月11日至18日的推文数量? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #推特市场 ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 54% <5 ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 38% 5-9 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 10-14 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 15-19 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 20-24 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 26% 25-29 ... +7 more 💰 交易量: $207 | 流动性: $995 结算规则:根据@khamenei_ir在2026年8月11日至18日(ET)期间在X上的发帖数结算。仅计入主页发帖、引用和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:交易者预计哈梅内伊账号在8月11-18日期间将发布25-29条推文,反映了美伊冲突下维持信息传递及政权统一的预期。近期该账号频繁就抵…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 泽连斯基在2026年8月11日至8月18日期间的发布帖数? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #推文市场 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% <20 ░░░░░░░░░░ 2% 20-39 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 40-59 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 60-79 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 80-99 ▓░░░░░░░░░ 7% 100-119 ... +5 more 💰 交易量: $98 | 流动性: $512 结算规则:根据泽连斯基在美东时间2026年8月11日12:00至8月18日12:00期间在X平台发布的帖子数量结算。仅计算主页帖子、引用帖和转发帖,不计入回复。 盘口背景:泽连斯基在8月11日至18日期间的X平台活动反映了他一贯的风格,即频繁发布关于乌克兰国防需求、外交活…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 纽约市长2026年8月11日至18日的发帖数? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #推文市场 ░░░░░░░░░░ 2% <20 ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 39% 20-39 ▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░░ 58% 40-59 ▓░░░░░░░░░ 11% 60-79 ░░░░░░░░░░ 3% 80-99 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 100-119 ... +5 more 💰 交易量: $285 | 流动性: $2.5K 结算规则:根据纽约市长Zohran Mamdani在2026年8月11日至18日(美东时间中午)在X上的发帖数结算。仅计入主贴、引用和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:Zohran Mamdani于2026年1月1日就任纽约市长,其账号@NYCMayor活跃于发布政策、社区活动及应…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 唐纳德·特朗普在2026年8月11日至8月18日期间的Truth Social发帖数量? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #特朗普 #推文市场 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% <20 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 20-39 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 40-59 ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 47% 60-79 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 80-99 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 100-119 ... +5 more 💰 交易量: $81 | 流动性: $412 结算规则:根据特朗普在2026年8月11日至18日(美东时间中午12点)期间在Truth Social的发帖数结算。仅计算主页帖子、引用和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:2025-26年数据显示特朗普日均发帖18-26条,周总…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 2026年8月11日至8月18日白宫发布的推文数量? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #推特市场 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% <20 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 20-39 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 40-59 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 60-79 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 80-99 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 100-119 ... +5 more 💰 交易量: $65 | 流动性: $894 结算规则:根据白宫(@WhiteHouse)在2026年8月11日至18日(美东时间)期间在X上发布的帖子数量结算。仅计算主页帖子、引用和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:在特朗普第二任期内,白宫官方X账号保持高频发布,用于传达政策公告、活动回顾和快速响应。近期关于移民、能源和贸易的行…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 CZ在2026年8月11日至8月18日期间的发帖数量? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #推特市场 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% <20 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% 20-39 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 40-59 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 60-79 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 80-99 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 100-119 ... +5 more 💰 交易量: $12 | 流动性: $385 结算规则:根据CZ (@cz_binance) 在美东时间2026年8月11日12:00 PM至8月18日12:00 PM期间在X上的发帖次数结算。仅计算主页推文、引用推文和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:CZ作为加密评论员和BNB生态支持者的持续活跃,使得120-139…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 泰德·克鲁兹 2026年8月11日至18日的发帖数量? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-19 00:00:00 UTC+8 #政治 #推文市场 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% <20 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 20-39 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% 40-59 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 60-79 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 32% 80-99 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% 100-119 ... +5 more 💰 交易量: $36 | 流动性: $351 结算规则:根据泰德·克鲁兹在美东时间2026年8月11日至18日中午12点期间在X上的发帖数结算。仅计入主页推文、引用和转发,不计入回复。 盘口背景:泰德·克鲁兹是国会中X发帖量最高的议员之一,常发布政策评论、参议院动态及播客推广。历史数据显示其年发帖量超9000条,平均每周…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 2026年斯诺克中国公开赛:冠军 ⏰ 结束时间: N/A #体育 #斯诺克 ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% Neil Robertson ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% Chang Bingyu ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% Si Jiahui ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% Jiang Jun ▓░░░░░░░░░ 9% Mark Selby ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% Pang Junxu ... +33 more 💰 交易量: $0 | 流动性: $512 结算规则:本盘口根据2026年斯诺克中国公开赛冠军结算。若比赛推迟至2026年8月30日23:59 (ET) 之后、取消或未能在该时限内决出冠军,盘口将失效。 盘口背景:赵心童凭借近期强势表现(如巡回锦标赛击败特鲁姆普)及本土作战优势,在夺冠预测中略占上风。世界第一特鲁姆普紧随其后…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 BLAST Open Porto 2026:冠军 ⏰ 结束时间: N/A #CS2 #体育 #电子竞技 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 26% Falcons ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 28% Spirit ▓░░░░░░░░░ 9% FURIA ▓▓░░░░░░░░ 22% Vitality ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% MOUZ ▓░░░░░░░░░ 9% Natus Vincere ... +16 more 💰 交易量: $0 | 流动性: $664 结算规则:根据2026年8月26日至9月6日举行的BLAST Open Porto 2026冠军结算。若比赛推迟至9月20日23:59 ET后、取消或未产生冠军,则本盘口失效。 盘口背景:BLAST Open Porto 2026共有16支队伍参赛,小组赛在哥本哈根举行,淘汰赛移师波尔图…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 2026年Dota 2国际邀请赛:登场次数最多的英雄 ⏰ 结束时间: N/A #Dota_2 #体育 #电子竞技 ▓▓░░░░░░░░ 24% Anti-Mage ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 26% Axe ▓▓░░░░░░░░ 24% Dazzle ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 26% Drow Ranger ▓▓░░░░░░░░ 24% Lina ▓▓░░░░░░░░ 24% Lion ... +102 more 💰 交易量: $0 | 流动性: $1.9K 结算规则:本盘口根据2026年8月13-23日上海TI15期间登场次数最多的英雄结算。仅计入已完成的比赛(含已开始但弃权的比赛)。若出现平局,则按规则处理。 盘口背景:TI15即将在上海开赛,在7.41e版本环境下,交易者对热门英雄的定价竞争激烈。近期补丁削弱了卓尔游侠、森海飞霞…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 思科下次财报电话会议会提到什么? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-13 07:59:00 UTC+8 #科技 #大型科技公司 #提及词 ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 50% AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 50% Income 10+ times ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 50% Quarter 10+ times ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 50% Fiscal 10+ times ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 50% Growth ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 50% Chip ... +6 more 💰 交易量: $0 | 流动性: $373 结算规则:本市场基于思科2026年8月12日的财报公告。若会议中任何人提及指定术语,则结算为“是”,否则结算为“否”。 盘口背景:思科2026财…
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @polynewevent_cn. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 229,537 of 1,160,990entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Handles this channel named that no longer answer
- Dead references
- 1
- handles named in this channel’s posts, vacant today
- Evidenced gone
- 0
- we ourselves saw one of these resolve, at some point
- Never seen alive
- 1
- vacant every time we have ever looked
@polynewevent_cn named 1 handle that resolve to nothing today. That is a fact about the reference, not necessarily a fact about the handle’s history — see the two groups below.
Most of these may never have existed as a live channel at all.A handle a channel names can be a typo, an aspirational name nobody registered, or a channel that was already gone before this one ever mentioned it. Unless a row below is marked evidenced, all we know is that it references a handle that is not a live channel today — not that anything “died”. How this is measured.
Never seen alive
References a handle that is not a live channel — we have no record it ever was one.
named in 1 post, 9 August 2026 – 9 August 2026
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 8 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Polymarket新预测市场发布频道” (@polynewevent_cn), 376 subscribers as measured 8 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/polynewevent_cn.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.