🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州议会选举:第二名 ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-09-20 08:00:00 UTC+8 #国际 #德国 #政治 ▓░░░░░░░░░ 5% CDU ░░░░░░░░░░ 3% AfD ░░░░░░░░░░ 4% Grüne ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░ 84% SPD ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% FDP ▓░░░░░░░░░ 7% Linke ... +18 more 💰 交易量: $2.2K | 流动性: $53.0K 结算规则:本盘口将根据2026年9月20日梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州议会选举结果,结算为在该州议会中获得席位数排名第二的政党。 盘口背景:2026年9月州选前的民调显示,德国另类选择党(AfD)以35-36%领先,现任社民党(SPD)为28-29%,左翼党约11-12%,基民盟(CDU)约9-1…

Channel
Polymarket预测市场聚合大全
@polyabc_all
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
1,480subscribers
+8 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1002908654996 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @polyabc_all |
| Created | Between 1 August 2025 and 31 October 2025— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 7 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 11 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 4 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 11 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/polyabc_all |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026, 10:05 | 1,480 | +7 |
| 8 Aug 2026, 03:55 | 1,473 | +1 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 21:48 | 1,472 | no change |
| 7 Aug 2026, 18:04 | 1,472 | first reading |
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 5 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 2.40%
- avg views ÷ 1,480 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 35.5
- 20 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- 3.08%
- reactions ÷ views · ER floor
- Posts in window
- 20
- of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 2 of 20 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 7 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 20 (5 August 2026 – 7 August 2026) |
| Views total | 710 |
| Reactions total | 2 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 7 Aug 2026, 21:48 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
Reaction mix
2 reactions across 2 posts, in 1 kind.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 2 | 100.0% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 2 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 2reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 5 August 2026 to 7 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
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🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州议会选举:第三名 ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-09-20 08:00:00 UTC+8 #世界 #德国 #政治 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 33% CDU ▓░░░░░░░░░ 7% AfD ▓░░░░░░░░░ 7% Grüne ▓░░░░░░░░░ 7% SPD ▓░░░░░░░░░ 7% FDP ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% Linke ... +18 more 💰 交易量: $0 | 流动性: $16.5K 结算规则:该市场将根据2026年9月20日梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州议会选举结果,结算为在该州议会中获得席位数排名第三的政党。 盘口背景:近期民调显示,在2026年9月的选举中,德国选择党(AfD)和社民党(SPD)分列前二。第三名的竞争在左翼党(约11-12%)和基民盟(约9-10%)之间展开,莎…
Polymarket预测市场 · 今日风向Breaking News(2026-08-07) 1. ⚽Rodri今夏是否加盟巴塞罗那 当前概率:89%(▲▲▲55%) 盘口状态: 盘口快速重定价,Rodri加盟巴萨的预期显著抬升 市场含义: 市场对巴萨引援与Rodri转会意愿的乐观情绪明显升温,当前路径被视为高概率情景 📎交易链接 ——————————————— 2. 🎮 GTA6 是否在 8 月底前再发新预告? 当前概率:44%(▼▼▼34%) 盘口状态: 盘口预期快速回落,概率从高位显著降至中位区间。 市场含义: 市场对近期开新预告的信心明显降温,早前乐观预期出现集中修正,定价趋向更谨慎的时间表。 📎交易链接 ——————————————— 3. ⚔️俄罗斯能在9月底前完全控制沃夫昌斯克吗? 当前概率:20%(▼▼27%) 盘口状态: 盘口预期明显回落,短期进展被大幅折价。 市场含义: 市场对俄军在该方向完成全面推进的信心…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 特朗普在与 Megan Degenfelder 的电话集会中会说什么? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-07 07:59:00 UTC+8 #特朗普 #提及 #政治 ░░░░░░░░░░ 1% Open Border ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% Voter ID ▓░░░░░░░░░ 6% Obama ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓ 100% Biden ▓▓░░░░░░░░ 22% Save America Act ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% Transgender ... +7 more 💰 交易量: $5.4K | 流动性: $102.7K 结算规则:若特朗普在2026年8月6日18:15的电话集会中提到指定词汇,则结果为“是”,否则为“否”。 盘口背景:特朗普通过电话集会支持怀俄明州共和党州长初选候选人 Megan Deg…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 特朗普在接见美国队期间会说什么? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-07 07:59:00 UTC+8 #特朗普 #文化 #提及 ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 45% Team 15+ times ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░ 92% Medal 7+ times ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 26% Coach 7+ times ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░ 74% Historic ▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░░ 56% Oval Office ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░ 67% Canada ... +10 more 💰 交易量: $14.7K | 流动性: $10.8K 结算规则:特朗普计划于2026年8月6日参加美国队招待会。若他在该活动中说出指定词汇,则结果为“是”,否则为“否”。 盘口背景:特朗普总统计划于2026年8月6日在玫瑰园举行的美国队招待会上发表讲话…
🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 特朗普在周五的圆桌会议上会说什么? ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-08-08 07:59:00 UTC+8 #特朗普 #文化 #提及 ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 55% Job 15+ times ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 34% Million / Billion 15+ times ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 26% Iran 5+ times ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ 48% Biden 3+ times ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 36% Alaska ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░ 69% Permit / Permitting ... +21 more 💰 交易量: $21.1K | 流动性: $24.6K 结算规则:若特朗普在2026年8月7日的矿业高管圆桌会议上提到指定词汇,则结果为“是”,否则为“否”。 盘口背景:特朗普总统将参加国务院与矿业高管…
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🎯 Polymarket新预测市场发布 📝 马萨诸塞州州长选举胜选差距 ⏰ 结束时间: 2026-11-03 20:00:00 UTC+8 #中期选举 #政治 #选举 ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ 30% Republican Wins ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 42% Democrat 0-5% ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 42% Democrat 5-10% ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 43% Democrat 10-15% ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 44% Democrat 15-20% ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ 43% Democrat 20-25% ... +6 more 💰 交易量: $47 | 流动性: $15.1K 结算规则:本盘口根据2026年11月3日马萨诸塞州州长选举中前两名候选人的得票率绝对差值(胜选差距)进行结算。 盘口背景:现任民主党州长莫拉·希利在2026年选举中占据优…
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @polyabc_all. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Mentions
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 11 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Polymarket预测市场聚合大全” (@polyabc_all), 1,480 subscribers as measured 11 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/polyabc_all.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.