امنیت امت در پدیده اربعین در مطالعات راهبردی، پدیدهها زمانی ابعاد استراتژیک به خود میگیرند که بتوانند موازنه قدرت را تغییر دهند، عمق نفوذ ایجاد کنند، بازدارندگی بسازند و بر معادلات کلان منطقهای اثر بگذارند. با این نگاه، رویداد عظیم اربعین حسینی دیگر صرفاً یک مناسک مذهبی یا یک سفر زیارتی تقویمی نیست؛ بلکه یکی از پیچیدهترین و قدرتمندترین پدیدههای استراتژیک دوران معاصر و گرانیگاه قدرت نرم امت اسلامی است. امنیت در …

Channel
پژوهشگاه مطالعات امنیت و پیشرفت
@instituteofsds
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
196subscribers
-6 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1002285180301 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @instituteofsds |
| Created | Between 1 September 2024 and 31 March 2025— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 7 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 13 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 4 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 13 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/instituteofsds |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026, 23:28 | 196 | -7 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 04:01 | 203 | no change |
| 7 Aug 2026, 03:44 | 203 | +1 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 06:07 | 202 | first reading |
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 2 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 11.6%
- avg views ÷ 196 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 22.8
- 20 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- —
- this channel exposes no reaction counts
- Posts in window
- 20
- of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 5 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 20 (2 August 2026 – 5 August 2026) |
| Views total | 456 |
| Reactions total | — |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 7 Aug 2026, 04:01 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
Recent posts
❓ آیا میدانستید سازمانهای موفق بخش قابل توجهی از منابع خود را صرف پیشگیری میکنند. #سازمان #هزینه_بحران #آیا_میدانستید ____ ✍️ @instituteofsds
✅ راهپیمایی جاماندگان؛ میان شوق حسینی و خطر مناسکِ تهی 🔸امروز اربعین است. میلیونها تن در کربلای معنای گرد آمدهاند تا بار دیگر آن مسیر تاریخی را زنده کنند و خود را در افق کاروان اسرای کربلا به تاسی از حضرت زینب سلام الله علیها و امام سجاد علیهالسلام قرار دهند. همزمان، در شهرهای مختلف ایران بویژه تهران، دستههای بزرگی از جاماندگان راه میافتند. پدیدهای که حالا بیش از یک دهه از عمرش میگذرد، و هر سال گستردهتر می…
Photo, posted without a caption
#حدیث_روز ____ ✍ @instituteofsds
✅ از «انسانِ مدرن و اکنونزده» تا «انسانِ در راه و اربعینی»؛ تلاقی اربعین و آیندهپژوهی انتقادی 🔸جهان معاصر، علیرغم تمامی جهشهای فناورانه، انسان را در چنبره سه بحران ساختاری گرفتار کرده است: بحران تنهایی در انبوه جمعیت، بحران معنا و هویت در غیاب غایات استعلایی، و بحران چشمانداز در تصلب افق "قفس آهنین". 🔹انسانِ امروز، موجودی «اکنونزده» است؛ محبوس در فوریتِ مصرف و شتابِ بیمقصد. در این بنبست وجودی، پدیده اربعین…
Photo, posted without a caption
🔴 تحلیل تابآوری و آسیبپذیریهای ساختاری پادشاهی سعودی در نبرد ۲۰۲۶ عربستان سعودی با کسب رتبه ۳ منطقه در شاخص ایمنی جهانی (امتیاز ۷۶.۹) و امتیاز ۵۴ در تابآوری اجتماعی، بر پایه هویتسازی ملی نوين، پوشش معیشتی ۶۵ درصدی شهروندان و بهرهگیری از ذخایر عظیم مالی برای جذب شوکها عمل کرده است. با این حال، شکنندگی تکمحصولی وابسته به نفت، تمرکز زیرساختهای حیاتی انرژی در سواحل در برابر حملات پهپادی/موشکی، گسلهای فرقهای-م…
ائتلاف امنیتی پنج کشور اروپایی؛ منطق شکلگیری و دلالتهای آن برای ایران 🔸منتشرشده در ماهنامه امنیت بینالملل، شماره ۷۶، تیر ۱۴۰۵ - ائتلاف امنیتی E5 محصول تحول در محیط امنیتی اروپا پس از جنگ اوکراین است و از یک سازوکار هماهنگی میان پنج قدرت نظامی اروپا، به تدریج در حال تبدیل شدن به یکی از ارکان نوظهور معماری امنیتی این قاره است. این ائتلاف نه جایگزین ناتو یا اتحادیه اروپا، بلکه مکمل آنها با هدف تصمیمگیری سریعتر، ه…
File, posted without a caption
#اربعین ____ ✍ @instituteofsds
🔴 انباشت ناکامی و فرسایش مدارا؛ چرا خشمهای فروخورده به خشونت تبدیل میشوند؟ در بسیاری از پروندههای خشونتآمیز، آنچه در ظاهر مشاهده میشود، تنها یک رفتار مجرمانه یا یک واکنش آنی است؛ اما در لایههای زیرین آن، مجموعهای از ناکامیها، محرومیتها و احساس نارضایتی انباشتهشده قرار دارد که میتواند زمینهساز بروز خشم و رفتارهای پرخاشگرانه باشد. از منظر جرمشناسی، خشم همواره محصول یک رویداد لحظهای نیست، بلکه گاه نتیجه س…
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @instituteofsds. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 72,658 of 1,481,217entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 3 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 13 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“پژوهشگاه مطالعات امنیت و پیشرفت” (@instituteofsds), 196 subscribers as measured 13 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/instituteofsds.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.