23 Apr 2026, 11:01 UTC541 views5 reactionsread 8 August 2026 brent is at $103. still no solution for Hormuz.
the S&P hit an all-time high. the music is still playing.
Weekly Signal Playbook is live. 12 positions, full update.
https://open.substack.com/pub/garrettresearch/p/weekly-signal-playbook-apr-23-the?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
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13 Apr 2026, 07:32 UTC615 views2 reactionsread 8 August 2026 trump is taking hormuz. not by opening it. by shutting it down himself.
smartest move of the war. the first real signal that the US is done playing reactive and ready to dictate terms.
but will it work? new piece on why the blockade changes the narrative, not the outcome.
https://www.garrettsignal.com/p/the-smartest-move-that-wont-work?r=c3gqe
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9 Apr 2026, 11:06 UTC523 viewsread 8 August 2026 paper priced peace. physical didn't move.
the market dropped oil 15% on a ceasefire that was violated before the ink dried. zero tankers through hormuz. insurance not reinstated. 800+ ships still trapped.
full playbook out now 👇
https://substack.com/@garrettsignal/note/p-193667629?r=c3gqe&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
5 Apr 2026, 08:21 UTC452 views5 reactionsread 8 August 2026 wti above brent. first time since 2022. the market has priced the war. It hasn’t priced the war lasting. new article out. whether you trade oil, equities, rates, or crypto — this one matters.
https://open.substack.com/pub/garrettresearch/p/oil-is-the-war?r=c3gqe&utm_medium=ios
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2 Apr 2026, 01:35 UTC466 views5 reactionsread 8 August 2026 “oil dips are entries. stock bounces are exits.” as we said yesterday.
Trump: we will finish the job real fast. and you know what it means,
https://x.com/garrettbullish/status/2038212093305102751?s=46
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1 Apr 2026, 03:53 UTC313 views6 reactionsread 8 August 2026 Day 34. Hormuz is still shut.
stock dead cat bounce on a misquote. Iran's president, who has zero control over the war, said something vaguely conciliatory. media ran with it. S&P ripped 2.9%. Nasdaq 3.8%. call options everywhere. VIX crushed. this is what over-optimism looks like at the top of a bear rally.
Brent still over $105. up 60% since this started. Hormuz still physically closed. no deal. no timeline. 6 to…
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29 Mar 2026, 12:04 UTC317 views1 reactionsread 8 August 2026 one month in. boots on the ground on Easter weekend?
hormuz closed. oil 120+. 2.5 trillion in bonds gone. fed running the 1942 playbook.
is your playbook ready 🔗
https://open.substack.com/pub/garrettresearch/p/boots-on-the-ground-is-your-playbook?utm_source=app-post-stats-page&r=c3gqe&utm_medium=ios
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26 Mar 2026, 13:01 UTC305 views1 reactionsread 8 August 2026 The next phase will be worse. Get prepared.
Oil, risk assets, macro — all converging.
8/10 positions already played out. New trades added. New thesis lines drawn.
Enjoy the weekly playbook.
https://www.garrettsignal.com/p/weekly-signal-playbook-mar-26-the?r=c3gqe
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26 Mar 2026, 04:04 UTC254 views3 reactionsread 8 August 2026 🇯🇵 Japan: 90% oil import dependency + largest war disrupting supply from the Middle East.
Also Japan: "Let's short oil futures."
This is the dumbest intervention in history. You're literally handing the market a short squeeze setup.
https://substack.com/@garrettsignal/note/c-233441750?r=c3gqe&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
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25 Mar 2026, 05:02 UTC218 views2 reactionsread 8 August 2026 A 45,000-ton "Lightning Carrier" with 14 stealth fighters is 48 hours from the Persian Gulf. 82nd Airborne on standby. 50,000 troops assembling — the largest US amphibious buildup since Vietnam.
A month ago, none of this was imaginable. But stretch the timeline to 50 years, and every step — including the ones that look like madness — has a traceable origin.
New Post from @GarrettsSignal ↓
https://open.substack.com…
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24 Mar 2026, 07:24 UTC302 views3 reactionsread 8 August 2026 OSINT: US airborne forces staging in Jordan
Since Mar 17, 16+ C-17 transports flew from US army bases to King Abdullah II Air Base, Jordan. Every origin hosts elite airborne or special ops units — 82nd Airborne, 101st Airborne, 75th Rangers, 160th SOAR.
NYT reported yesterday the Pentagon is weighing deployment of an 82nd Airborne combat brigade (~3,000 troops) for Iran operations. The 82nd abruptly canceled a majo…
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24 Mar 2026, 05:44 UTC184 views2 reactionsread 8 August 2026 10000 US strikes in 24 days.
bomb continues with no de-escalation.
gamma decay on Trump credibility.
market will eventually be immune to Trump.
https://substack.com/@garrettsignal/note/c-232400595?r=c3gqe&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
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