Итоги июля 2026: рынок новостроек Москвы продолжает рост, но тренды разошлись🙂 в июле рынок показал +6,4% к июню (по выборке из 54 проектов). Это укладывается в наш прогноз (+5–10%). Общий объём продаж в рассмотренных ЖК — 2 213 лотов против 2 079 в июне. Ключевые тренды июля: • Массовый сегмент (+10–15%) – драйвер роста за счёт проектов с бюджетными и комфорт-классными лотами и ценами. • Бизнес-класс стабилен, н…

Channel
Страх в недвижимости/ Elena STRAKH
@estrakh
On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
3,449subscribers
+33 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001663079359 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @estrakh |
| Created | Between 1 December 2021 and 31 March 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 13 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 4 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 13 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/estrakh |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026, 03:14 | 3,449 | -8 |
| 10 Aug 2026, 04:50 | 3,457 | -7 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 22:34 | 3,464 | +48 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 06:21 | 3,416 | first reading |
Engagement
13 posts held, back to 22 May 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 3 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 4.73%
- avg views ÷ 3,449 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 163
- 6 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- 1.28%
- reactions ÷ views · ER floor
- Posts in window
- 6
- of 13 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 3 of 6 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 7 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 13 (22 May 2026 – 7 August 2026) |
| Views total | 978 |
| Reactions total | 7 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 7 Aug 2026, 23:13 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Video runtime
- 1m 30s
- Average length
- 30s
Measured directly from 3 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
21 reactions across 7 posts, in 5 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 38.1% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 8 | 38.1% | |
| 😍 | 5 | 23.8% | |
| 👍 | 4 | 19.0% | |
| 🔥 | 3 | 14.3% | |
| 🙏 | 1 | 4.76% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 8 of the 13 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 21reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 13 most recent posts we hold, published 22 May 2026 to 7 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
Video, posted without a caption
👍1🔥1
Пока ждём итоги июля, смотрим июнь⤵️ Итоги июня 2026: рынок новостроек Москвы ожил, но разнонаправленно Вопреки пессимистичным прогнозам, спрос на новостройки столичного региона вырос на 33% по сравнению с маем. В «старой» Москве зарегистрировано 3,5 тыс. сделок (+20% к маю). Средняя цена проданной квартиры здесь — 34,2 млн руб., «квадрат» — 609,3 тыс. руб.. Однако годовая динамика всё ещё отрицательная (-14% к июн…
Прогноз ЦБ на вторую половину 2026 года строился вокруг паузы в снижении ставки на фоне роста инфляционных рисков. Ключевые моменты: 📉 По ключевой ставке · Диапазон средней ставки на 2026 год сужен до 14,0–14,5% (в февральском прогнозе было 13,5–14,5%). · ЦБ прямо указал, что дальнейшее снижение и его размер не предопределены — вероятность паузы во 2П26 заметно выросла. · Аналитики ожидают возобновления цикла сниже…
ЦБ — 14%. Сегодняшнее снижение на 0,25% глобально не имеет значения. Главное — риторика ЦБ ⤵️
🔥2
Как инвестор, я постоянно мониторю рынок для себя и доверителей. Этот проект — точно в сфере моих интересов. Закрытый старт продаж дает минус 15% к цене и приоритетный выбор планировок. Кому актуально — пишите до пятницы (24.07)
❤2👍1
Ожидаем новый проект, как думаете, как какой ценник на старте?😁
КЛЮЧЕВАЯ СТАВКА СЕГОДНЯ: ЧТО ЖДАТЬ? Текущий уровень: 14,5% (установлен в апреле 2026 года) По итогам сегодняшнего заседания Совета директоров Банка России (19 июня 2026 года) ожидается снижение ключевой ставки. Прогнозы аналитиков разделились на два основных сценария: --- 🔵 Консенсус-прогноз (большинство аналитиков) Снижение на 50 б.п. → до 14,0% годовых Этого сценария придерживаются: · ПСБ — прогноз снижения …
🙏1
Сегодня выбирали проект под инвест. Уж очень хочется реализовать подобный стиль в новом фонде!
❤5😍5
🏦 Ключевая ставка может быть снижена — что это значит для рынка недвижимости? По данным консенсус-прогноза «Ведомостей», 19 июня ЦБ РФ, вероятно, снизит ключевую ставку на 0,5 п.п. — до 14% (14 из 19 опрошенных экспертов придерживаются этого мнения). 📉 Почему это важно для инвестора? · Снижение ставки делает рыночную ипотеку более доступной и поддерживает спрос на жилье. · Однако при «ключе» в 14% рыночная ипотека…
❤1
Photo, posted without a caption
Инспекция проекта прошла успешно, виды оказались лучше, чем выбирали при покупке💛
👍2
Showing the 12 most recent of 13 posts we hold for @estrakh. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 182,463 of 1,160,990entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 10 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
@gvozdirus · 14,7795 postsНедвижка Live-Москва Питер
@nedvigalivs · 13,4675 postsНовости Недвижимости Рф
@novostinedvijki · 9,7123 postsЮрист | Право Политен
@pravopoliten · 14,1453 postsЛюбовь Городилова | НЕДВИЖИМОСТЬ
@doxoddomyug · 2,4421 postСфера финансов
@financesec · 5,9411 postИнвестSignal
@invest_signals_collection · 4,8351 postИнвестиции в доходную недвижимость | Кирилл Кудинов
@kudinov_inreit · 4,3371 postМетр² в квадрате | Недвижимость
@MetrKvad · 20,0991 postБесконечный Туториал
@tutoryay · 3,1081 post
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 13 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Страх в недвижимости/ Elena STRAKH” (@estrakh), 3,449 subscribers as measured 13 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/estrakh.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.