28 Jul 2026, 15:18 UTC24 views4 reactionsread 10 August 2026 Photo
ETH / Crypto Update
Ethereum reached the retracement target zone from the $1,500 base, but the follow-through has been weak. The market has had several chances to build momentum from this area, and so far it has not done enough.
That matters because the broader risk environment is starting to weaken again.
Equities sold off yesterday, Nasdaq futures continue to trade lower, and crypto is still not showing the kind…
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13 Jul 2026, 08:49 UTC52 views1 reactionsread 10 August 2026 Photo
Crypto Weekly Outlook: The Relief Rally Reaches Its First Real Test
The rebound into the end of last week looked encouraging, but it was not driven by a major improvement in crypto fundamentals. Bitcoin’s move back toward $64,000 was helped by liquidations, a weaker dollar and renewed strength in Asian AI and semiconductor stocks. — In other words, part of the move was positioning and short covering rather than a cl…
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8 Jul 2026, 16:44 UTC52 viewsread 10 August 2026 Photo
No analysis here, just some quick commentary following my last update calling for a relief rally from the $1500 level. We rallied to $1800; Trump/Iran news once again causing risk-off.
The bounce we saw the first week of July was interrupted by a flare up in the Strait of Hormuz. More retaliation is expected overnight; however, I believe that another ceasefire is right around the corner. The US can't afford high oil…
29 Jun 2026, 20:13 UTC69 viewsread 10 August 2026 Not much has changed at the macro level.
1. Iran/US still finding room to talk despite mutual strikes over the weekend.
2. Equity markets are once again rallying
However:
1. The AI trade is still in the forefront and has taken much attention away from crypto and defi.
2. Inflation is still in front of us. Not only energy risk, but LLM token prices have been seeing a 20% increase in price recently, which will add t…
29 Jun 2026, 20:06 UTC55 viewsread 10 August 2026 Photo
Very quick update:
Looks like we may be getting a relief rally this week from the double bottom at $1500.
26 Jun 2026, 14:14 UTC61 views4 reactionsread 10 August 2026 Photo
The market remains weak with BTC testing the 58-60k zone and ETH underperforming. Liquidations continue in the hundreds of millions, while DeFi TVL contracts further amid reduced yields and capital rotation.
Core factors sustaining the pressure:
Hawkish Fed stance under Chair Warsh combined with elevated inflation readings has eliminated near-term rate cut expectations and introduced higher-for-longer risks. This we…
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9 Jun 2026, 14:06 UTC57 viewsread 10 August 2026 Photo
BTC Daily and 1 Hour Charts
There’s an old Wall Street saying: even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great enough height.
That’s the point of a dead cat bounce. After a sharp sell-off, price often recovers for a few sessions because the market becomes oversold, shorts take profits, and dip buyers rush in thinking they caught the low.
But that does not mean the trend has changed.
Bitcoin’s Friday sell-off…
5 Jun 2026, 18:59 UTC41 viewsread 10 August 2026 Photo
With the trading day almost complete in New York, we should see more volatility as traders adjust into the weekend.
Current sell-off has intensified and BTC has now broken $60k and is now trading near the $59k handle.
If there is a flash crash, it may present an opportunity similar to October mentioned earlier today.
Crypto Context pinned «After such a nice bounce back - I have decided to sell all crypto. I AM OUT. I will be looking to get back in at better prices.»
5 Jun 2026, 12:49 UTC36 viewsread 10 August 2026 Photo
Just looking back at April ETH analysis, the break of $2k opened the trap door through which price continues to freefall. On that day, I mentioned $1400-$1500 as a deep support zone - this support zone may be at risk and I see a low in the $800s (honestly, hopefully not lower than that!); this low level is being considered in case capitulation takes place in the next few weeks/months.
As the breakdown in support acr…
5 Jun 2026, 12:36 UTC33 viewsread 10 August 2026 Photo
Quick Update:
Red Friday Discounts ))
Discount or not depends on where we are at the end of the summer; however, the discount is a confirmation of weeks of updates. The important timing will be on entering the market for the next bull run.
We still have time and will most likely deal with more pain in the short term.
4 Jun 2026, 11:24 UTC35 views2 reactionsread 10 August 2026 Photo
Bitcoin is now in the zone where psychology starts to matter more than the headlines.
Over the last few days, friends have started writing me with real concern about the continuation lower. That is usually an important signal. Not because fear means the bottom is automatically in, but because markets change character when people stop thinking rationally and start reacting emotionally.
This is the part of the move w…
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