如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 中国危机加深:四千八百万人失业 据一位中国顶尖经济学家表示,中国实际失业率高达10.2%,是中共政权目前所称官方失业率(仅5%)的两倍。以10%的比率换算,意味着约有四千八百万人失业——这比西班牙或阿根廷的全国人口总数还多。 此外,这个数字甚至还未能反映中国真实的失业水平,因为农村失业人口在实际操作上从未被纳入统计。 这是清华大学经济管理学院中国与世界经济研究中心主任李稻葵在一场演讲中所披露的几项惊人事实之一。李稻葵长期担任中共领导层及中国央行的顾问。 李稻葵在近期由中国人民大学主办的一场线上论坛上发表演讲,驳斥了称当前如先进制造业与人工智能等增长型产业能够「拉动整个中国经济」的说法,而这正是习近平政权所大力宣传的。 当一位与中共关系密切的顶尖经济学家,哪怕只是稍稍掀…

Channel
中国劳工论坛
@chinaworkerISA
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
3,102subscribers
+2 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001188157159 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @chinaworkerISA |
| Created | Between 1 March 2018 and 31 July 2021— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 17 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 4 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 2 times, most recently 17 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/chinaworkerISA |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026, 10:05 | 3,102 | +1 |
| 10 Aug 2026, 09:03 | 3,101 | +1 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 04:24 | 3,100 | no change |
| 6 Aug 2026, 17:17 | 3,100 | first reading |
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 15 January 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 3 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 12.0%
- avg views ÷ 3,102 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 371
- 1 post measured
- Reaction rate
- —
- this channel exposes no reaction counts
- Posts in window
- 1
- of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 28 July 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 20 (15 January 2026 – 28 July 2026) |
| Views total | 371 |
| Reactions total | — |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 7 Aug 2026, 23:57 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
Recent posts
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 中国充满灾难的夏天 刚刚过去的几天,中国接连遭遇多场极端气候灾害。 湖北先后出现罕见龙卷风,造成至少十多人死亡、数百人受伤;广西则因台风和暴雨引发洪灾,部分水库决堤,数十万人被迫撤离;而浙江及华东沿海地区则进入台风警戒状态。这些灾害看似彼此独立,实际上却反映同一个趋势:极端气候正成为中国的新常态。 过去很长一段时间,气候变化经常被描述成一个属于未来世代的问题。然而今天,它早已是现在。更长的热浪、更猛烈的暴雨、更强的台风以及更多罕见的极端天气事件,正在重塑整个世界。中国作为全球暖化速度高于全球平均水准的国家之一,正成为这种变化的前线。 閱讀全文:https://chinaworker.info/zh-hans/2026/07/18/49295/
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 中银逃税24亿元:连国有银行也开始「缺钱」 中国国家审计署近日披露,中国银行逃避税款约24亿元人民币。为什么中国最大的国有银行之一,也要费尽心思保住这24亿元? 这起事件真正反映的,是中国金融体系正承受越来越沉重的经济压力。即使是国有大型银行,也开始想尽办法把更多资金留在自己手中,而不是交给政府。因此,中国银行这次被揭发的逃税行为,不是简单的一家企业的违法行为,而应视为中国资本主义经济危机深化的一个征兆。 过去二十多年,中国银行业经历了一段高速扩张时期。银行总资产规模已从2000年代中期的约35万亿人民币,增长至2025年的超过480万亿人民币,增幅近14倍。这些惊人的数字反映了中国债务的膨胀,而这笔债务如今已成为压在经济上的沉重负担,正扼杀经济增长。这种建立在债务和房地…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 世界愿景:川普2.0坠入无以逆转的危机——全球反击奋起 本文发布于2026年6月20日 这份文件是川普第二任期就职以来ISA制作的第四份世界愿景声明。上一份文件是在2月12日发布的,评论了2026年美帝国主义的攻势可能导向的下一幕:「伴随着川普成功的斩首行动,和委内瑞拉政府的屈服,川普的傲慢已极度膨胀。撰写此文之际,伊朗和古巴,被川普列为头号『轻松目标』,及其磨刀霍霍着眼的中国帝国主义盟国。」 与此同时,我们阐明说,川普当时的趾高气昂姿态,将会遭致挫败:「他的自满将会不可避免地导致各方面的错估,而军事误判会是其中代价最为惨重的。川普日益增长且肆无忌惮的侵略,加上美国帝国主义无能派遣能大规模地面部队,俨然成为新危机与新泥淖的前兆。」不到三周后,这正巧就是所发生的事情,即川普…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 川习会对中美帝国主义冲突的意义 本文发布于2026年5月26日 5月14-15日,中美两大帝国主义强权的领导人——习近平和特朗普——在北京进行了会晤。一些媒体称之为「僵局峰会」,因为它举办得煞有介事,但几乎没有实质成果。特朗普说这次会晤是「难以置信」的「历史性时刻」、达成了「非常棒的协议」——但这只是他惯常的夸夸其谈。 事实上,这场会面并没有解决双方的任何根本分歧。双方各说各话,以迎合自己的听众。中美两国对会晤的总结截然不同。白宫版本完全没有提及台湾,而中方发布的纪要则大量谈及台湾问题。这次会晤得以举行,并且没有发生激烈冲突,使得大多数资本主义评论员似乎都在弹冠相庆。 中美两国在去年10月釜山的短暂会晤中达成的脆弱停火得以维持,但还能停火多久则是另一个问题。釜山协议规定…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 张雪峰之死:中国「向上爬」神话破产 张雪峰之所以因提供教育咨询而崛起,是因为中国青年在经济危机和教育焦虑中迫切需要“出路”他的去世不仅捅破了张雪峰他的个人品牌,也捅破了中国资本主义过去数十年所承诺 “只要努力便能实现向上流动”的神话。现实表明,透过个人选择并不存在一条摆脱危机的「正确道路」。 3 月 24 日,一则讣告宣布张雪峰在苏州因心源性猝死(过劳死)离世。消息迅速登上热搜。舆论最初充满悼念与赞扬,不少人称他是“敢说真话的勇士”、“寒门学子的救星”,但很快,网络上的声音开始转向,大批青年和学生对他发起尖锐批评,甚至不乏嘲讽和愤怒。张雪峰生前被视为中国最成功的升学规划专家之一,而围绕其死亡所爆发的争议,则折射出中国青年对现状日益增长的不满与幻灭。 讽刺的是,这位长期鼓励…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 斯大林「一国社会主义论」——一个世纪的灾难 一个世纪前,1925年12月18-31日,在苏共第十四次代表大会——也是列宁逝世后的第一次代表大会上,通过了 「一国社会主义」的政策;其主张一个国家可以在国内单独建成先进的社会主义经济。 它彻底颠覆了党先前的国际主义立场;然而,对于代表大会而言,这并不令人意外。早在一年半前这项政策就已经被提出,被作为日益壮大的斯大林主义官僚与左翼反对派斗争的一部分。 认为社会主义可以在一国内建成的想法与马克思主义水火不容。从马克思和恩格斯、再到包括列宁在内的20世纪初马克思主义领袖都认为,争取社会主义的斗争始终需要国际主义的视角。 閱讀全文:https://chinaworker.info/zh-hans/2026/05/28/49190/
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 17年来中国最严重的煤矿矿难 争取独立工会的斗争关乎生死存亡 中国发生了自2009年以来最严重的煤矿矿难。5月22日,山西长治沁县的神峪煤矿发生剧烈爆炸。按照目前官方数字,事故已造成至少82人死亡、128人受伤,另有2人失踪。中国劳工论坛对此表示深切哀悼,并向所有受难工人及其家属致以慰问。 但这场灾难并非单纯的「意外事故」,而是中国资本主义危机深化下的必然产物。它暴露出,在经济停滞、地方财政恶化与所谓「能源安全」压力之下,中国煤炭产业仍然以工人生命换取产量的道路。 事故发生初期,中共官方新华社曾试图将事件淡化为一氧化碳浓度超标导致工人中毒与被困,其后才不得不承认发生爆炸。而更能反映整个体制混乱的,是矿井人数统计。根据最初公示,当时井下作业人数为124人,但后来核实后,实际…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 中国经济危机绝非「暂时性」 过去几年,中共专制与资产阶级媒体不断宣称「复苏正在到来」,但现实却恰恰相反:中国的经济下滑是全面性的经济与社会危机,而青年极高的失业与普遍性的悲观情绪,正是这场危机最鲜明的表现。问题的核心,在于中国资本主义过去数十年那种以债务为动力的增长模式已经走到尽头。 最显著的例子便是房地产市场的崩盘,这场崩盘至今已进入第六年。中国房地产市场是全球历史上最大的房地产泡沫。2006年至2020年间,全球一半的新建住宅都建于中国。 房地产不只是单一产业,而是整个中国经济的核心支柱:它牵动钢铁、水泥、建筑、金融、地方财政乃至家庭消费。长期以来,房地产及相关产业约占中国GDP三分之一。据总部位于美国的罗迪姆集团(Rhodium Group)指出,目前这一比例已降至…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 「未来产业」计划能带领中国经济走出危机吗? 2026年是中国「十五五」(2026至2030年)的「开局」之年。在三月份召开的「两会」上,「十五五」规划被走形式地「通过」。中共提出要扩大内需(二十多年来中共一直在重复同样的承诺)、大力发展高新科技产业,并将2026年GDP增长目标下调至4.5%—5%。对于过去的一年,当局仍如宣称2024年那样,宣称2025年「保五达标」,这显然是拙劣的谎言。但这一下调本身也说明,习近平政府终于沮丧地意识到它那种没完没了、系统性的夸大宣传已经变得适得其反:越来越少的普通民众、经济学家,以及至关重要的资产阶级本身,愿意再去相信中共的经济神话了! 中共官方的GDP增长目标已经降到1991年以来最低,同时财政赤字维持在4%的历史高位。他们细微调整了这…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 匈牙利:欧尔班被赶下台 匈牙利于周日(4月12日)举行的国会选举,最终演变为对专制总理欧尔班及其执政的极右翼政党「青民盟」(Fidesz)的历史性沉重一击。这场选举不仅重挫了全球各地的「特朗普主义者」,也同时令华盛顿与莫斯科双双受挫。 尽管此次选举本质上是对欧尔班长达16年统治的一次不信任投票,但其结果仍为变革带来了希望。这应当成为推动斗争前进的一剂强心针。 在布达佩斯及其他匈牙利城市,欢欣鼓舞的人群走上街头庆祝欧尔班的失败。投票人数创下历史新高、投票率接近80%,也充分反映出民众强烈要求将欧尔班赶下台的意愿。 青民盟不仅在城市选区失利,在其传统上根基深厚的农村地区,支持度也出现下滑。 在执政16年后,欧尔班与青民盟最终将政权拱手让给反对党「蒂萨党」(Tisza,意为…
如果有兴趣订阅《社会主义者》杂志,可发电邮至:[email protected] 或聯絡Telegram: @ChinaWorkers 第一次巴勒斯坦大起义给我们的启示 本文发布于2025年12月29日。Zuhair Al-Anhar, 社会主义替代(美国) 1987年12月,在经历20年来惨绝人寰的占领后,巴勒斯坦解放运动被点燃。四名巴勒斯坦劳工在以色列国防军检查站被卡车司机杀害后,抗议运动升级成了一场全国性反抗,那场随之而来持续六年的起义将永远活在反压迫战士们脑海中:第一次巴勒斯坦大起义——挣脱桎梏。 两年来在加萨残暴的种族灭绝,使当前局势显得绝望。停火协议作为缓解虽然是必要的,它却无法解决任何关于民族压迫的根本问题。话虽如此,第一次大起义仍为所有反压迫战士带来了宝贵的教训:这种群众斗争能带来民族的解放。 占领土地上反抗的种子 巴勒斯坦人已在军事镇压下生活数十年,遭受驱逐、宵禁、残暴对待和政治与教…
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @chinaworkerISA. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 279,793 of 1,549,376entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 13 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“中国劳工论坛” (@chinaworkerISA), 3,102 subscribers as measured 13 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/chinaworkerISA.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.