GM2026年8月7日 一、大盤走勢 btc震蕩回落,山寨分化偏弱。 美股小跌,道指結束連漲,油價反彈,brent回到83美元附近。 二、市場熱點: 1、小幣hft暴漲超60%,臨近合約結算/下架窗口,資金做事件型逼空。 2、小幣take、ace、skyai、zbt、bico大漲,ace做空費率約-1.27%,空頭極度擁擠。 3、前期強勢小幣回吐,hei跌超25%,dodox、vic、esports、beat同步走弱,高波動品種繼續輪動收割。 4、財新:CRS 2.0 將加密資產納入申報範圍,境外收入徵管趨嚴 5、非農與美伊協議落地前市場謹慎,美股三大指數集體收跌,閃迪、西數績後大跌帶動存儲板塊下挫 今日恐慌與貪婪指數:29 等級:恐懼

Channel
CakeBaba 【公告群】
@cake1024
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Cite this entry
158subscribers
-2 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001916241406 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @cake1024 |
| Created | Between 1 April 2023 and 31 October 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 8 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 8 October 2026 |
| Measurements held | 10 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 8 October 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/cake1024 |
Topic
Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 25 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 99% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026, 06:59 | 158 | -1 |
| 28 Sept 2026, 16:21 | 159 | +1 |
| 13 Sept 2026, 22:38 | 158 | +1 |
| 5 Sept 2026, 22:59 | 157 | -1 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 16:47 | 158 | -1 |
| 23 Aug 2026, 06:44 | 159 | -1 |
| 14 Aug 2026, 20:24 | 160 | -1 |
| 8 Aug 2026, 17:01 | 161 | no change |
| 8 Aug 2026, 11:58 | 161 | +1 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 15:37 | 160 | first reading |
Engagement
18 posts held, back to 26 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 page of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 18 posts for this entry, the most recent from 7 August 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.
Reaction mix
1 reaction across 1 post, in 1 kind.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 👍 | 1 | 100.0% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 1 of the 18 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 18 most recent posts we hold, published 26 July 2026 to 7 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
今晚20:30 美國7月非農以及失業率公佈前值5.7萬人,市場預期8萬人! 高盛預警:7月非農常有低於預期的季節性特徵,失業率看似平穩,但勞動參與率跌至2021年新低暗藏就業隱憂 三種情景簡要梳理: 公佈值大幅高於8萬 → 就業韌性強勁,強化美聯儲高利率預期,美元走強,BTC承壓下行。 公佈值落在5.7-8萬區間 → 多空分歧加,大盤面極易出現雙向插針,不適合追單。 公佈值低於5.7萬 →降息預期升溫,打壓美元,利好BTC風險資產。
GM2026年8月6日 一、大盤走勢 btc上漲,山寨分化。 美股分化,道指創歷史新高,納指回落;油價低位震蕩。 二、市場熱點: 1、黃金、白銀大漲,避險資金從油價線轉向貴金屬。 2、 小幣bless、hei、cys暴漲,bless漲超130%,hei漲超100%,cys漲超40%,低市值逼空繼續。 3、ai/tradfi合約分化,sndk、soxl、spcx、skhynix、koru下跌,pltr、nvda、美股指數強,但半導體內部分歧很大。 4、CryptoQuant觀點:鯨魚持續增持BTC、ETH和XRP,熊市或進入最後階段 5、Polymarket上《CLARITY法案》於2026年簽署成為法律概率跌至13% 今日恐慌與貪婪指數:25 等級:極度恐懼
#btc 壓力關注65200-65800附近
GM2026年8月5日 一、大盤走勢 btc上漲,山寨分化偏強。 美股大漲,標普、道指創歷史新高,ai和業績線領漲。 油價大跌,brent跌破80美元。中東風險溢價繼續回吐,polymarket預計8月14日前有效停火概率75.5%,8月底前82%。 二、市場熱點: 1、zk/compute概念cys暴漲90%,成為今日小幣最強主線。 2、pump、home、bank、snxx反彈,小幣資金重新做修復。 3、美股ai映射活躍,pltr業績後大漲,幣圈交易所上soxl、koru、sndk、skhynix、mu等tradfi合約成交靠前。 4、費率極端品種增多,home做空費率約-0.53%,rif、waxp、coti負費率明顯;hft、qntx正費率偏高。 5、數據:標普 500 漲幅達 1.22%,續創歷史新高。 6、某地址以40倍槓桿開空1.02億美元BTC,清算價距64889美元僅900美元。 今日恐慌與貪婪指數:27…
GM2026年8月3日 一、大盤走勢 btc反彈,山寨分化偏強。美股上週五反彈,週一美股期貨偏強。 二、市場熱點: 1、PROVE、HYPE、ENA代幣本週大額解鎖,其中PROVE解鎖價值近3540萬美元。 2、老主流反彈,ada漲超9%,avax、zec、wld跟漲,資金從恐慌狀態轉向修復行情。 3、小幣bless暴漲80%;home、ena、prl、eden等也走強,資金繼續做低市值輪動。 4、特朗普對伊打擊「急剎車」,油價暴跌週末9%,日韓股市週一低開。 5、分析師:比特幣買盤支撐依舊強勁,當前價格下方2%-20%區間堆積大量限價買單。 今日恐慌與貪婪指數:28 等級:恐懼
#btc 多 點位:61688-60888附近 止損:59700 止盈:64000-65500-67200
👍1
#btc 支撐有進的先出來,過夜關注61500-60800附近
#btc 壓力關注64500-65000附近
#btc 支撐關注63000-62400附近
GM2026年7月30日 一、大盤走勢 btc震蕩,山寨分化偏弱。 美股大跌,ai和半導體領跌,道指跌超1100點。 二、市場熱點: 1、 半導體/tradfi合約成交放大但普跌,soxl、smh、skhynix、mu、sndk等大跌,映射美股ai芯片線殺估值。 2、 小幣coti、uai大漲,資金繼續做低市值反彈和局部逼空。 3、 FOMC聲明後,美聯儲9月加息的概率下降。 4、閃迪跌破千元大關,近一個月累計跌超50%。 5、微軟財報超預期盤後大漲8.8%。
GM2026年7月29日 一、大盤走勢 btc震蕩,山寨分化。 美股分化,道指上漲,納指和半導體繼續下跌。 二、市場熱點: 1、defi/rwa相對強,uni、aave、morpho、ondo反彈,資金繼續在鏈上金融線里做輪動。 2、小幣bank暴跌,24h跌40%,前期逼空品種進入高位兌現和清算階段。 3、小幣on、beat、rif、ub上漲,資金繼續做低市值輪動;zro、kaito、pump回落,前期強勢敘事分化。 4、 以太坊Layer2 TVL降至50億美元,為2023年以來最低水平 5、SK海力士Q2 營收 79.3 萬億韓元同比增 257%,營業利潤 60.5 萬億韓元創歷史新高但低於預期 今日恐慌與貪婪指數:29 等級:恐懼
Showing the 12 most recent of 18 posts we hold for @cake1024. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 8 October 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“CakeBaba 【公告群】” (@cake1024), 158 subscribers as measured 8 October 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/cake1024.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.