#پیش_بینی_جدید_بلند_مدت_مدل_کلمیبا 🔹طبق خروجی جدید مدل کلمبيا فصل پاییز میلادی ( ۱۰مهرماه لغایت ۱۰ دی ماه)همچنان تاکید بر بارش های فراتر از نرمال در بازه زمانی پاییز پیشبینی شده است @alamtoweather *آب و هوای آلامتو *

Channel
آب و هوای آلامتو
@alamtoweather
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Polls · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry
26,612subscribers
+78 since we began measuring on 5 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001054990950 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @alamtoweather |
| Description | وبسایت رسمیپایگاه خبری عصر آلامتو https://asrealamto.ir تاسیس 30 آبان 1395. مهندس محمد محمدزاده 👇🏻 @Madacto7 مدیرکانال، تبادل و تبلیغات محمد نظری 👇🏻 @Mohammadnazari68 این کانال زیر نظر هیچ ارگان یا نهاد دولتی نیست |
| Created | Between 1 May 2016 and 28 February 2017 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 25 September 2026 |
| Measurements held | 35 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 25 September 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/alamtoweather |
Topic
Science — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 61% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Sept 2026, 09:21 | 26,612 | +46 |
| 18 Sept 2026, 23:19 | 26,566 | +14 |
| 16 Sept 2026, 13:56 | 26,552 | +3 |
| 14 Sept 2026, 19:56 | 26,549 | +5 |
| 13 Sept 2026, 08:20 | 26,544 | +8 |
| 11 Sept 2026, 09:58 | 26,536 | +4 |
| 8 Sept 2026, 14:57 | 26,532 | -5 |
| 5 Sept 2026, 06:15 | 26,537 | -5 |
| 2 Sept 2026, 01:38 | 26,542 | -3 |
| 31 Aug 2026, 22:37 | 26,545 | -2 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 22:45 | 26,547 | +15 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 22:04 | 26,532 | +9 |
| 28 Aug 2026, 23:07 | 26,523 | +5 |
| 27 Aug 2026, 20:43 | 26,518 | +8 |
| 26 Aug 2026, 19:03 | 26,510 | +2 |
| 25 Aug 2026, 18:57 | 26,508 | +1 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 18:29 | 26,507 | +4 |
| 23 Aug 2026, 00:16 | 26,503 | +4 |
| 21 Aug 2026, 16:27 | 26,499 | -3 |
| 20 Aug 2026, 15:42 | 26,502 | first reading |
Engagement
291 posts held, back to 3 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 78 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 28.2%
- avg views ÷ 26,612 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 7,510
- 80 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- —
- this channel exposes no reaction counts
- Posts in window
- 81
- of 291 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 30 September 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 291 (3 August 2026 – 30 September 2026) |
| Views total | 600,847 |
| Reactions total | — |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 30 Sept 2026, 15:58 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Photos
- ≈18,300
- Videos
- ≈3,820
- Links
- ≈2,410
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 30 September 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
- Video runtime
- 23m 01s
- Average length
- 48s
Measured directly from 29 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Recent posts
📡 تصویر زنده ماهواره پوشش ابر / حرکت ابر های تراز فوقانی جو از سمت شمال دریاسرخ به سمت ایران / انقلاب رسمی الگوی #پائیزی ☁️ ابر های ارتفاع بالا بتدریج ارتفاع خود را کم خواهند کرد و طی روز های آینده منجر به بارش پراکنده و سبک در قسمت هایی از غرب کشور ایران خواهند شد. @alamtoweather (آب و هوای آلامتو)
♻️ وضعیت جوی استان ایلام در حال حاضر طبق آخرین اطلاعات ایستگاه های فعال مراکز شهرستان ها ⛅️ آسمان این لحظه در سطح استان نیمه ابری تا ابری است. طی این لحظه در نیمه شمالی استان استمرار هوای خنکتر از نرمال را شاهد هستیم. و در سایر نقاط استان دما در محدوده نرمال بلندمدت این موقع از سال قرار دارد. @alamtoweather (آب و هوای آلامتو)
راستی آزمایی پیش بینی چند مدل جهانی در ماه سپتامبر اکنون که ماه سپتامبر رو به پایان است نگاهی به عملکرد و دقت مدل های پیش بینی خواهیم داشت. ❌ پیش بیتی اشتباه » دو مدل CanSIPS کانادا و CFSV2 آمریکا برای ماه سپتامبر افزایش دوره های همرفت زایی و افزایش نرخ بارندگی را بر روی حوزه رشته کوه های زاگرس در ایران را نشان میدادن اما چنین وضعیتی محقق نگردید ✅ پیش بینی صحیح » در این میان آنومالی MMME ایالات متحده آمریکای شمالی…
🔻تفاوت پاسخ جو ایران به تحولات پدیده لانینا و ال نینو. 🔹تصویر راست اواخر مهر سال 1400. همزمان با لانینای قوی. 🔸تصویر چپ اوایل مهر 1405. همزمان با سوپر النینوی قوی تعجیل در آغاز همرفت و بارشها هرچند کم دامنه و منطقه ای در نیمه اول مهرماه از خصلت رفتاری یک شروع ال نینویی در ایران است. تحقیقات صورت گرفته پایگاه آب و هوای آلامتو نشان میدهد طبق 90٪ آمار 35 سال گذشته همزمانی با پائیز سال لانینایی ماندگاری هوای خشک تا اوا…
📡تصویر زنده پوشش ابر نمای کشور ایران. ⛅️ حرکت ابر های سطوح بالا بر فراز استان و قسمت جنوب غرب کشور را شاهد هستیم از لخاظ دمایی. تیپ دمایی امروز چهارشنبه ۸ مهر همچنان در ساعات بیشینه درجاتی ریزشی خواهد بود. @alamtoweathr (آب و هوای آلامتو)
5 روزه بارش مدل ECMWF اروپا آپدیت هم اکنون بارشهای سبک مختصر و لحظه ای در غرب کشور، جمعه، شنبه، یکشنبه @alamtoweather (آب و هوای آلامتو)
🔺بیشینه دمای امروز سهشنبه ایستگاه های خودکار و سینوپتیک فعال استان. 🔥 40.0° درجه C دهلران ☀️ 38.9° درجه C آبدانان ☀️ 38.4° درجه C مهران ☀️ 37.5° درجه C درهشهر ☀️ 35.9° درجه C بدره ☀️ 35.1° درجه C لومار ☀️ 40.0° درجه C آبدانان ☀️ 31.7° درجه C سرابله ☀️ ......... درجه C هلیلان ☀️ 29.4° درجه C ایوان ☀️ 28.8° درجه C ملکشاهی ☀️ 28.6° درجه C ایلام ^ بیشینه امروز در استان نسبت به روز های اخیر که در تسلط ناهنجاری مثبت دم…
🌀 تجمع بارش از 25 مهر تا 30 مهر. مدل ECMWF اروپا آپدیت هم اکنون ^ مدل همچنان شروع بارش های سیستماتیک و موثر را برای روز های پایانی مهر و ابتدای آبان ماه نشان میدهد. @alamtoweather ( آب و هوای آلامتو)
↗️ رودخانه ابر در حال تشکیل و در حال ورود به آسمان خاورمیانه است. 📡 تصویر زنده ماهواره ابر نشان میدهد ابر های تراز فوقانی جو از نزدیکی استوا در آفریقا تشکیل شده و از طریق رود اتمسفر به سمت اردن عراق و غرب ایران در حال کشیده شدن است. دوره ابری که مطابق انتظار در حال شروع شدن است حدود 10 روز بر فراز آسمان ما عبور خواهند کرد @alamtoweather (آب و هوای آلامتو)
🌀شروع کاهش دما در استان. در این لحظه نسبت به روز های اخیر بین 3 تا 6 درجه از گرمای هوا کم شده است. 🔹خنکترین این لحظه : ایلام با 28.2° درجه 🔸گرمترین این لحظه : دهلران با 39.6° درجه ~ هفته آینده مجددا حالت دمایی کاهشیتر میشود. @alamtoweater (آب و هوای آلامتو)
مجموع بارش 5 روزه نقشه ECMWF اروپا نمای ایران و خاورمیانه بارشهای ناموثر و پراکنده بصورت لحظه ای از پنجشنبه این هفته تا دوشنبه هفته آینده در باند غربی کشور رو خواهیم داشت. @alamtoweather (آب و هوای آلامتو)
Showing the 12 most recent of 291 posts we hold for @alamtoweather. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@alamtoweather edited 11 posts after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
- First edit seen
- 9 August 2026
- Most recent edit
- 26 September 2026
Polls
The poll we hold for this entry, as Telegram rendered it when we read the post. A poll’s figures keep moving after that, so each one is dated.
تولید محتوا و عملکرد کانال آب و هوای آلامتو از نظر شما کاربران عزیز چگونه است؟
- بسیار عالی؟51%
- عالی؟44%
- بد؟4%
- بسیار بد؟4%
The shares total 103%, above 100: this poll accepts more than one answer per voter. No per-option vote count is published, so the number of voters who chose each option is not derivable and is not shown.
Percentages only — there are no per-option vote counts here, because Telegram publishes none. The public post preview gives each option’s share and a single voter total, and nothing else. Multiplying one by the other would produce a per-option tally that looks measured and is not: the shares are rounded to whole numbers before we ever see them. We print what was published and leave the column that does not exist empty.
The shares need not add up to 100. Rounding alone puts many polls at 99 or 101. A poll that allows more than one answer per voter runs well past 100 by design, and several here do. The bars are drawn against a fixed 100% track at each option’s own percentage rather than normalised to the total, so a poll that exceeds it shows that it does instead of being quietly rescaled.
Read from the 291 most recent posts we hold, published 3 August 2026 to 30 September 2026. Telegram labels each poll by kind — an anonymous poll, a quiz, a closed set of final results — and that label is reproduced rather than paraphrased.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
@farsh_mz · 7,1272 postsباوهیال
@bawayaal · 3,3171 post💯دهلران سیتی💯
@DehloranCity · 30,1401 postتالار اطلاع رسانی و دورهمی حوزه جنوب ایلام
@durhamidostane1405 · 3,7131 postپایگاه خبری غرب آنلاین (ایلام نو)
@gharbonlinee · 4,4611 postلیکوپیک
@Hirofilm · 4011 postایلام رسانه
@ilamrasaneh · 18,9961 post🌾کانال کشاورزان و دامداران کشور
@keshavarzan_dam · 85,2991 postجمعیت هلال احمر ایلام
@Rcs_ilam · 1,8781 post
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Handles this channel named that no longer answer
- Dead references
- 2
- handles named in this channel’s posts, vacant today
- Evidenced gone
- 0
- we ourselves saw one of these resolve, at some point
- Never seen alive
- 2
- vacant every time we have ever looked
@alamtoweather named 2 handles that resolve to nothing today. That is a fact about the reference, not necessarily a fact about the handle’s history — see the two groups below.
Most of these may never have existed as a live channel at all. A handle a channel names can be a typo, an aspirational name nobody registered, or a channel that was already gone before this one ever mentioned it. Unless a row below is marked evidenced, all we know is that it references a handle that is not a live channel today — not that anything “died”. How this is measured.
Never seen alive
References a handle that is not a live channel — we have no record it ever was one.
named in 1 post, 27 August 2026 – 27 August 2026
named in 1 post, 13 August 2026 – 13 August 2026
Channels Telegram recommends alongside this one
Telegram’s own answer, not this register’s. When this register asks Telegram’s API what is similar to this channel, this is the list it returns, in the exact order Telegram returns it — never re-sorted by subscribers or by anything else this register measures. The relationship, and the order, are Telegram’s; we record them and date them, and make no claim of our own about which of these channels actually resemble this one.
@kurd_hava · 49,085#1
@Aglimvhava · 4,371#2
@shakheshaa · 907#3
@ParsCast_official · 8,785#4
@AriaWeather · 6,733#5
@amar_iran00 · 2,015#6
@weatherazarbayjan · 3,134#7
@rasadilam · 1,724#8
@ilamiiyan · 45,499#9
@donyayeilam · 10,716#10
@weerair · 12,048#11
@DehloranCity · 30,140#12
@ilamhezarpisheh · 33,974#13
@hadesenewsilam · 11,129#14
@arkavazii · 10,320#15
@seymarehnews11 · 50,216#16
@dar_gozare_zaman_94 · 12,275#17
@Dehloran_khabar · 7,420#18
@Darrehshahriha · 6,750#19
@zhyareilam · 2,270#20
@abdanannews1 · 11,943#21
@ilammoallem · 8,907#22
@faryadeshragh99 · 6,712#23
@ilamrasaneh · 18,996#24
@ilamkhabar24 · 3,628#25
@Sedayeh_sharvand_abdanan · 9,851#26
@ilam_today · 6,271#27
@sirvankhabar · 5,203#28
@baztabeilam · 23,553#29
@gharbonlinee · 4,461#30
@ceymarian · 5,255#31
@eyvangharb · 8,124#32
@chardavoli · 5,781#33
@srabg · 2,376#34
@mouseyanii · 2,201#35
@tabnakilam · 8,003#36
@Dehloraniyaan · 21,249#37
@chavar_News · 7,991#38
@pezhwak_khabar_ir · 433#39
@ilamban1401 · 1,215#40
@aramoucity · 3,019#41
@nasimedehloran · 2,580#42
@darreshahrnews · 1,887#43
@dehlorannews · 1,492#44
@sirvannovin · 4,888#45
@pashminonline · 1,401#46
@karezan_official · 1,630#47
@mormori_abad · 1,870#48
@IlamProvince_news · 1,479#49
@tabnak_abdanan · 3,534#50
@bowlii · 4,732#51
@aminzagros · 565#52
@ilamerooz · 2,061#53
@khabariilam · 2,745#54
@abiradoosh · 276#55
@fars_ilam · 2,021#56
@IlamEms · 452#57
@avayegharb_ir · 696#58
@tolouilam · 4,343#59
@ilameebidar · 11,940#60
@eestekhdam_ilam · 3,837#61
@abdansn_khbar_va_hvades · 2,777#62
@ilam24 · 1,710#63
@iranihayezamin · 1,231#64
@ATENAKHODRO · 1,155#65
@eivankalhor · 11,234#66
@motalbehgaran · 9,550#67
@ilamkordaneh · 2,787#68
@taliezagros · 6,427#69
@bishehderaziha · 1,266#70
@darrehshahrresaneh · 368#71
@tabiat_ilam · 376#72
@isnailam24 · 2,992#73
@aftabilam_ir · 540#74
@naklesomar · 3,552#75
@ilam_nezam · 2,043#76
@badrehkhabar_mv · 5,813#77
@liva_khana · 12,678#78
@rahbaranilam · 209#79
@farazgharbb · 294#80
@asoo_news · 3,016#81
@ilam_shahr · 904#82
@shora_medilam · 2,121#83
@goftemanezagros · 274#84
@sedayeseymareh · 7,070#85
@badrehnews · 12,690#86
@sahamnewsorg · 217,606#87
@ilpc_petro · 2,203#88
@abdana_hemayat · 1,851#89
@Eslahatnews · 138,259#90
@NISHTMANIJOAN · 145,555#91
@Cinemafarhang_Ilam · 7,048#92
@sananewss · 760#93
Read from Telegram’s recommendation API, most recently 12 September 2026. Telegram holds a list like this for a small and growing share of the register — how this is measured, and why most channel pages show nothing here.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
@kurd_hava · 49,085
Telegram ranks this channel #5 of 64 here — alongside 63 others — read 26 August 2026
@havaiegarbe · 24,301
Telegram ranks this channel #8 of 67 here — alongside 66 others — read 16 September 2026
@iran_met · 46,242
Telegram ranks this channel #15 of 70 here — alongside 69 others — read 27 August 2026
@keshavarzan_dam · 85,299
Telegram ranks this channel #47 of 73 here — alongside 72 others — read 18 August 2026
@DehloranCity · 30,140
Telegram ranks this channel #52 of 61 here — alongside 60 others — read 7 September 2026
@iran_weather · 62,140
Telegram ranks this channel #53 of 86 here — alongside 85 others — read 21 August 2026
@seymarehnews11 · 50,216
Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 77 here — alongside 76 others — read 27 August 2026
@ilamhezarpisheh · 33,974
Telegram ranks this channel #78 of 85 here — alongside 84 others — read 3 September 2026
@kurd_Neeshin · 72,973
Telegram ranks this channel #79 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 20 August 2026
@kordberoz · 21,933
Telegram ranks this channel #80 of 81 here — alongside 80 others — read 22 September 2026
@ilamiiyan · 45,499
Telegram ranks this channel #81 of 86 here — alongside 85 others — read 27 August 2026
@KordMusic · 129,545
Telegram ranks this channel #87 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 13 August 2026
@Dehloraniyaan · 21,249
Telegram ranks this channel #89 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 23 September 2026
@motalebatfarhangian · 63,461
Telegram ranks this channel #91 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 21 August 2026
@shenasname · 103,426
Telegram ranks this channel #93 of 97 here — alongside 96 others — read 16 August 2026
@baztabeilam · 23,553
Telegram ranks this channel #94 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 18 September 2026
This channel appears in 16 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 25 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“آب و هوای آلامتو” (@alamtoweather), 26,612 subscribers as measured 25 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/alamtoweather.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.