سوال ؛ اثرات خیزهای شاخص nao چی؟ آیا زود ظاهر میشه؟ پاسخ؛ خیر

Channel
AriaWeather
@AriaWeather
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry
6,783subscribers
+82 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001137594768 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @AriaWeather |
| Created | Between 1 June 2017 and 30 September 2020 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 1 October 2026 |
| Measurements held | 14 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 1 October 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/AriaWeather |
Topic
Science — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 12 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 97% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026, 22:17 | 6,783 | +50 |
| 16 Sept 2026, 04:17 | 6,733 | +16 |
| 12 Sept 2026, 07:18 | 6,717 | +5 |
| 8 Sept 2026, 06:19 | 6,712 | -3 |
| 3 Sept 2026, 01:29 | 6,715 | +1 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 23:55 | 6,714 | +4 |
| 28 Aug 2026, 05:25 | 6,710 | -2 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 23:44 | 6,712 | +2 |
| 21 Aug 2026, 16:45 | 6,710 | +1 |
| 16 Aug 2026, 08:28 | 6,709 | -2 |
| 12 Aug 2026, 23:05 | 6,711 | +3 |
| 9 Aug 2026, 16:02 | 6,708 | +7 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 20:24 | 6,701 | no change |
| 6 Aug 2026, 03:35 | 6,701 | first reading |
Engagement
49 posts held, back to 26 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 12 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 49 posts for this entry, the most recent from 19 August 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.
Recent posts
🔷سوال یک دوست؛ بجز pdo آیا شاخصهای دیگه ای هم داریم که خیزهای ناگهانی در گرافش تاثیر جدی روی دما و یا بارش کشورمون داشته باشه؟ 🔷🔶پاسخ آریاودر؛ بله . مثلا شاخص AO که معمولا اثرات خیز ناگهانیش همانند pdo که اثراتش خیلی زودتر از آنچه که بعنوان شاخص دورپیوندی ازش یاد میشه ظاهر میشه.
که البته موقتیهچون خیزها عمر کوتاهی دارند
بیخود نیست که شمالشرق کشور و یسری مناطق دیگه این روزها اینقدر گرم شده چون خیز ناگهانی pdo ببالا جنب حاره رو هار کرده
خلاصه مطلب؛ فرق هست بین خیز ناگهانی و حرکت آهسته شاخص. خیزهای pdo چه سربالا وچه سرپایینی اثر زودهنگامی روی رفتار جنب حاره ای داره
ایناهاش👆 یهو خیز برداشتنش بطرف بالا، کمی جنب حاره رو پررو کرده ولی ایشالا بزودی درست میشه
با دقت بخونید👆 سوال و جوابارو
شماره1⃣👆 یکروز عقبتر رفته کمی ضعیفتر شده ولی هنوز موج خوبیه شملره2⃣👆 موج شمالی قبلا توی شماره دو بود به شماره 3⃣ عقبتر رفته ولی پربارشه در نتیجه همرفتی زاگرس در هردو شماره قدری ضعیفتر شده 🔶سوال؛ علتش چیه ؟ 🔷پاسخ؛ جنب حاره ای رو مدلها خیلی دست کم گرفته بودن البته اینو میدونن که هیمنه اش پوشالیه واسه همینه نسبت به سپتامبر همگی خوش بین هستند . 🔷سوال ۲؛ چرا جنب حاره ای اخیرا گهگاه رفتار لانینایی داره؟ 🔶پاسخ ۲؛ چ…
✍ چهارشنبه 1405/05/28 درصد احتمال سامانه های بعدی ایران میانگینی از بهترین مدلهای هواشناسی جهان : 30 و 31مرداد1⃣⭕️⚡️موج آشوبناک شمالی- شمالشرقی90% 1 و 2 شهریور2⃣⚡️همرفتی نسبتا ضعیف زاگرس80% 6 تا 8 شهریور3⃣⭕️ موج نسبتا پربارش شمالی+ همرفتی ضعیف سرتاسر شرق زاگرس55%
🔷تضعیف پرارتفاع جنب حاره ای از سمت البرز و شمالشرق آرایش شکننده النینویی پرارتفاع با کوتاهتر شدن طول روزها در قبال امواج بی محابای شمالی احتمال رخداد سیل در یکسوم شمالی کشور و بویژه در استانهای شمالی، شمالغربی، شمالشرقی و رشته کوه البرز در ماه سپتامبر وجود داره .
بعدا احتمالا در ماه دسامبر به این تصاویر برای انجام تحلیلات و مقایسات بازخواهیم گشت.
اینها تاریخشون برای سالهای قبلی میباشد، فعلا تاریخو مخفی کردم تا بعدا پایینی رو در مهرماه و بالایی سمت چپی رو در آبان و سمت راستیو در آذر ماجراشون و ارتباطشون با مبحث احتمالیمون رو بازگو و درباره اش صحبت کنیم . فعلا همینجا بمونه
Showing the 12 most recent of 49 posts we hold for @AriaWeather. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@AriaWeather edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
- First edit seen
- 9 August 2026
- Most recent edit
- 9 August 2026
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
@iranianweather · 20,400
Telegram ranks this channel #1 of 75 here — alongside 74 others — read 27 September 2026
@iranweather20 · 20,131
Telegram ranks this channel #4 of 62 here — alongside 61 others — read 29 September 2026
@alamtoweather · 26,612
Telegram ranks this channel #5 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 12 September 2026
@zweather · 20,965
Telegram ranks this channel #6 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 25 September 2026
@iran_met · 46,242
Telegram ranks this channel #6 of 70 here — alongside 69 others — read 27 August 2026
@haavaa_shenasi · 36,151
Telegram ranks this channel #8 of 74 here — alongside 73 others — read 1 September 2026
@met_ir · 67,179
Telegram ranks this channel #10 of 75 here — alongside 74 others — read 20 August 2026
@havashnsiran · 51,880
Telegram ranks this channel #12 of 68 here — alongside 67 others — read 24 August 2026
@azweather_azswfc · 53,562
Telegram ranks this channel #18 of 87 here — alongside 86 others — read 24 August 2026
@kurd_hava · 49,085
Telegram ranks this channel #20 of 64 here — alongside 63 others — read 26 August 2026
@iran_weather · 62,140
Telegram ranks this channel #20 of 86 here — alongside 85 others — read 21 August 2026
@havaiegarbe · 24,398
Telegram ranks this channel #24 of 67 here — alongside 66 others — read 16 September 2026
@iran_weathrr · 246,209
Telegram ranks this channel #27 of 80 here — alongside 79 others — read 11 August 2026
@sobhepardis · 19,733
Telegram ranks this channel #29 of 68 here — alongside 67 others — read 30 September 2026
@aerology_ir · 209,377
Telegram ranks this channel #34 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 11 August 2026
@iranamuzesh · 23,069
Telegram ranks this channel #57 of 72 here — alongside 71 others — read 19 September 2026
@akhbar_Khozestan · 23,543
Telegram ranks this channel #77 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 18 September 2026
@radiosomesara · 30,118
Telegram ranks this channel #82 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 6 September 2026
This channel appears in 18 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 1 October 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“AriaWeather” (@AriaWeather), 6,783 subscribers as measured 1 October 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/AriaWeather.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.