Геополитика, идеи и человек в центре хаоса. Авторский взгляд Mehti Zeynalov.
Independent geopolitical analyst on Eurasian security and the Caucasus.
Глубокая #аналитика того, как мировая #политика и #геополитика меняют ваши #финансы.
@Seynalov
Created
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 September 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
2 measurements spanning 1 day. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 154–156 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
8 Aug 2026, 18:45
155
no change
7 Aug 2026, 17:40
155
first reading
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 18 May 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
24.5%
avg views ÷ 155 subscribers
Avg views / post
38.0
1 post measured
Reaction rate
5.26%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
1
of 20 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 30 July 2026
Posts held
20 (18 May 2026 – 30 July 2026)
Views total
38
Reactions total
2
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
8 Aug 2026, 18:45 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
21
Videos
18
Links
137
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 8 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.
Video runtime
1m 13s
Average length
1m 13s
Measured directly from 1 video with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
55 reactions across 16 posts, in 8 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 54.5% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
👍
30
54.5%
❤
11
20.0%
🔥
5
9.09%
😁
3
5.45%
👏
2
3.64%
🤔
2
3.64%
👎
1
1.82%
💯
1
1.82%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 16 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 55reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 18 May 2026 to 30 July 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
КРАТКИЙ АНАЛИЗ ИИ: МЕТОДОЛОГИЯ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ РИЗВАНА ГУСЕЙНОВА (2014-2024 гг.)
Прогнозы и тезисы азербайджанского историка и политического эксперта Ризвана Гусейнова об итогах Второй Карабахской войны (2020) оказались высокоточными и подтвердились последующими геополитическими событиями. Также его прогнозы по российско-украинской войне и другим глобальным процессам отличаются точностью и стратегическим уровнем охв…
Дорогие подписчики с Premium аккаунтом осталось набрать всего 9 голосов.
Поддержите наш общий канал, для продвижения его на следующий уровень, проголосовав по ссылке ниже
https://t.me/boost/RH_inside
Моя аналитика — на «Линии Обороны» и в YouTube! 🔥
Друзья, делюсь классной историей о том, как качественный материал начинает жить своей жизнью и расходиться по миру.
Мой большой цикл эссе о переформатировании геополитической карты Евразии был опубликован на авторитетном ресурсе «Линия Обороны» (ЛО). Огромное спасибо редакции за публикацию!
👉 Читать текстовую версию на ЛО: https://dl-news.defence-line.org/?p=697…
Казахстан 2026: Конец «многовекторности»
Пока внимание мировых медиа приковано к другим регионам, в Астане за последние 6 месяцев Касым-Жомарт Токаев тихо провернул одну из самых виртуозных дипломатических операций в Евразии.
За этот короткий период Казахстан подписал соглашения о «вечной дружбе» и стратегическом партнерстве сразу с тремя ключевыми столицами: Москвой, Пекином и Анкарой.
Западные аналитики (включ…
On May 14, 2026, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan landed in Astana for a state visit.
With Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev he signed a document with a striking name: the Declaration on Eternal Friendship and Expanded Strategic Partnership. The two sides set a bilateral trade target of $15 billion, agreed to expand cooperation on the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (the Middle Corridor), and …
В январе 2026 года на парижской встрече так называемой «Коалиции согласных» по гарантиям безопасности для Украины министр иностранных дел Турции Хакан Фидан сделал заявление, которому уделили гораздо меньше внимания, чем оно того заслуживало. Турция, по его словам, возьмет на себя ответственность за военно-морскую безопасность в Черном море, как только будет достигнуто соглашение о прекращении огня. Президент Франции…
19-20 мая в Астане - столице Казахстана состоялся Международный симпозиум «Золотая Орда как модель степной цивилизации: история, археология, культура, идентичность», в работе которого приняли участие более 300 ведущих ученых, экспертов и специалистов из 23 стран мира.
Принявший участие на этом знаковом форуме директор Центра истории Кавказа Ризван Гусейнов поделился своим мыслями и выводами
https://www.rizvanhuseyn…
Что значит — иметь мнение?
В современном мире выражение «это моё мнение» слышишь повсюду — от ребёнка до взрослого. И почти всегда — без малейшего понимания того, что за этим словом стоит.
Так что же такое мнение? По сути — это умозаключение. А раз заключение, значит, ему предшествует цепочка: последовательная логическая аргументация, выстроенная в голове человека и приводящая его к определённому выводу. Плодом это…
❤3😁2👍1
Signed ZeynaloV
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @RegionAZE. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Forward network
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 8 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Region | Politics & Geopolitics” (@RegionAZE), 155 subscribers as measured 8 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/RegionAZE.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.
