Telegram RegisterThe public register of Telegram

Channel

Perforum macro

@Perforum_macro

On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

2,439subscribers

+2 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001414023298
TypeChannel
Username@Perforum_macro
Created11 December 2018measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live12 August 2026
Measurements held4
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 12 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/Perforum_macro

Topic

Other / unclassifiable — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 11 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 95% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear word for word on 1 other registered channel. They sit inside a group of 3 channels that share the same post bodies with each other. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@Perforum_jobs/137204 Aug 2026, 14:24 UTC@Perforum_macro/20727 · this entry4 Aug 2026, 14:25 UTC1.00under a minute
@Perforum_jobs/137245 Aug 2026, 08:17 UTC@Perforum_macro/20731 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 08:17 UTC1.00under a minute
@Perforum_jobs/137265 Aug 2026, 09:12 UTC@Perforum_macro/20732 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 09:12 UTC1.0072 seconds
@Perforum_jobs/137315 Aug 2026, 13:37 UTC@Perforum_macro/20739 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 13:37 UTC1.00under a minute
@Perforum_jobs/137345 Aug 2026, 15:51 UTC@Perforum_macro/20741 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 15:51 UTC1.00under a minute
@Perforum_jobs/137456 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC@Perforum_macro/20751 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC1.00under a minute
Every channel this entry shares post bodies with
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@Perforum_jobs8 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)1.00under a minute@Perforum_jobs (71)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 2 of the 7 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 31 comparable posts for this entry, running 4 August 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Across the whole group of 3, the earliest publisher we hold is @russianmacro. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Recorded under the key clone_copy, last confirmed 7 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Also posting the same content

This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 2 other registered channels, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

Growth

2,4362,4402,4386 August 2026 — 2,437 subscribers6 August 2026 — 2,436 subscribers9 August 2026 — 2,440 subscribers12 August 2026 — 2,439 subscribers2,4396 August 202612 August 2026
4 measurements spanning 6 days, net +2. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 2,435–2,441 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
12 Aug 2026, 17:122,439-1
9 Aug 2026, 18:122,440+4
6 Aug 2026, 20:052,436-1
6 Aug 2026, 05:362,437first reading

Engagement

31 posts held, back to 4 August 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 2 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
8.38%
avg views ÷ 2,439 subscribers
Avg views / post
204
31 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.759%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
31
of 31 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 6 of 31 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 7 August 2026
Posts held31 (4 August 20267 August 2026)
Views total6,339
Reactions total5
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken7 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Video runtime
24s
Average length
24s

Measured directly from 1 video with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no mark.

Reaction mix

3 reactions across 3 posts, in 2 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 66.7% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
266.7%
👍133.3%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 6 of the 31 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 5reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 31 most recent posts we hold, published 4 August 2026 to 7 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

7 Aug 2026, 14:07 UTC52 views1 reactionsread 7 August 2026

Дмитрий Швецов #PerforumBlog Битва банков в Италии – ep.3 У нас новый поворот в саге вокруг покупки старейшего банка в мире, итальянского Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS). Напомню, что происходило раньше и, если хотите перечитать, оставляю ссылку на предыдущий пост. Эпизод 1 В июне Banco BPM предложили совету директоров MPS обдумать слияние двух банков... Новости | Вакансии | Макро | MAX

1

7 Aug 2026, 13:39 UTC62 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @ventureinpicsPhoto

Частные компании всё чаще дают акционерам ликвидность без IPO CB Insights показывает, что вторичные сделки стали для частных компаний регулярным инструментом. Среди компаний, которые проводили secondary-раунды, почти каждая третья делала это больше одного раза. В таких сделках деньги обычно идут не самой компании: сотрудники, основатели или ранние инвесторы продают часть своих акций новым покупателям. Так они могут

7 Aug 2026, 11:11 UTC92 viewsread 7 August 2026

Николай Еремеев #PerforumBlog 🛣 Новосибирскавтодор: Дорога в светлое будущее или финансовый кювет? Эмитент готовится экстренно рефинансировать свой долг, выходя на первичный рынок с новым выпуском 001Р-01 объёмом до 3 млрд рублей. Ситуация классическая: компания с 30-летней историей сидит на игле государственного заказа, но ньюансы, как всегда, кроется в структуре денежных потоков. Разбираем фактуру до винтика… Но

7 Aug 2026, 10:21 UTC111 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @forbesrussia

Котировки SpaceX выросли на 6% после завершения периода локапа. За счет снятия ограничений на продажу для инсайдеров, которые действовали после IPO компании Илона Маска, количество доступных для торговли бумаг увеличилось более чем вдвое

7 Aug 2026, 10:17 UTC98 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @CFA_NFA_AFAVideo

💥Зумеров становится меньше – итоги летнего СФА Продолжаем подводить итоги июльской сессии СФА – сегодня решили выяснить, в каком возрасте финансисты обычно решаются прокачать скиллы. 🎓 Сертификат СФА наиболее востребован среди миллениалов и зумеров. Так, 46% соискателей последнего экзамена – это специалисты в возрасте 25-35 лет (46%) и 35-45 лет (31%). Участников младше 25 лет в этом году было не так много – чуть м

7 Aug 2026, 08:02 UTC112 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @russianmacroPhoto

‼️🔥 ДЕНЕЖНЫЕ АГРЕГАТЫ В ИЮЛЕ: ДИНАМИКА РОСТА, ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ, НЕ ПОЗВОЛЯЕТ РАССЧИТЫВАТЬ НА ВОЗВРАЩЕНИЕ К ЦЕНОВОЙ СТАБИЛЬНОСТИ В 2027г Вышедшие вчера предварительные данные по денежным агрегатам зафиксировали сохранение повышенных (относительно прогноза ЦБ) темпов роста: · М2: 10.7% мм / 13.1% гг (0.9% мм / 13.2% гг в июне) · М2Х ИВП: 0.6% мм / 12.7% гг (0.4% мм / 12.9% гг в июне) Обновленный прогноз ЦБ (н

7 Aug 2026, 07:40 UTC93 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @russianmacroPhoto

ВНЕШНЯЯ ТОРГОВЛЯ КИТАЯ: ЧУТЬ НИЖЕ, ЧЕМ МЕСЯЦЕМ РАНЕЕ, НО ВСЕ РАВНО ВПЕЧАТЛЯЮЩЕ Опубликованная внешнеторговая статистика Китая за июль, зафиксировала следующие показатели: • Экспорт: 23.9% гг ($397.85 млрд) vs 27.0% гг ($412.39 млрд), прогноз: 22.2% гг. • Импорт: 27.5% гг vs 36.0% гг, прогноз: 27.9% гг. • Профицит торгового баланса: $112.5 млрд vs $125.62 ранее Экспорт: в июле экспорт Китая вырос сильнее, чем

7 Aug 2026, 07:07 UTC101 viewsread 7 August 2026

Илья Шумов #PerforumBlog ИТОГИ M&A В 1ПГ2026 На этой неделе вышел отчёт информагентства AK&M с итогами 1-го полугодия 2026 года. I. Ключевые выводы AK&M - В денежном выражении рынок вырос на 31,6%⬆️ - Количество сделок сократилось на 8,6%⬇️ - Ключевой тренд… Новости | Вакансии | Макро | MAX

7 Aug 2026, 06:13 UTC110 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @vedomosti

✔️Соглашение о свободной торговле между ЕАЭС и ОАЭ вступит в силу 6 октября, сообщил министр по торговле Евразийской экономической комиссии Андрей Слепнев. Новый режим предусматривает преференциальный доступ для 86% товарной номенклатуры, что охватывает 98% объема экспорта ЕАЭС в ОАЭ. 🔺В комиссии ожидают, что это позволит экспортерам государств союза ежегодно экономить на таможенных пошлинах не менее $266 млн. В ЕЭ

6 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC133 views1 reactionsread 7 August 2026

Дмитрий Швецов #PerforumBlog Polymarket планируют инвестраунд по оценке $20 млрд В июне я рассказывал про рынок предсказаний и то, как он работает. Можно перечитать по ссылке. Напомню, что на рынке есть две основные финансовые платформы, Polymarket и Kalshi, на которых участники делают спекулятивные и чаще всего бинарные прогнозы… Новости | Вакансии | Макро | MAX

👍1

6 Aug 2026, 12:33 UTC≈2,090 viewsread 7 August 2026

📌Тред дня Perforum Новости: Топливные риски для автовладельцев усиливаются Несмотря на первое с начала года снижение цен на бензин, его стоимость остаётся значительно выше уровня конца 2025 года, а власти продлили разрешение на оборот топлива более низких экологических стандартов до июля 2027 года. Кирилл @kirillrodionov Родионов считает, что эффективнее было бы направить госсубсидии на закупку импортного бензина ht

6 Aug 2026, 12:11 UTC100 viewsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @russianmacroPhoto

МИРОВЫЕ АВИАПЕРЕВОЗКИ В ИЮНЕ: ТРЕТИЙ МИНУС ПОДРЯД По данным Международной Ассоциации воздушного транспорта (IATA), по итогам июня объем мировых пассажирских авиаперевозок упал на -1.7% vs -2.2% гг ранее. В июне мировой пассажиропоток продемонстрировал отрицательную динамику третий месяц подряд, поскольку спрос по-прежнему сдерживался последствиями конфликта вокруг Ирана и ростом цен на нефть. Объем перевозок авиако

Showing the 12 most recent of 31 posts we hold for @Perforum_macro. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Citation-graph rank

Citation-graph rank — 19,604 of 1,151,006entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.

Forward network

Republished by

Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 12 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Perforum macro” (@Perforum_macro), 2,439 subscribers as measured 12 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/Perforum_macro.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.