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Channel

The Expected Airdrop

@ExpectedAirdrop

On this record: Topic · Observations · Channels linked by matching posts · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

21subscribers

+0 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1002060493535
TypeChannel
Username@ExpectedAirdrop
DescriptionExpected Airdrop
CreatedBetween 1 November 2023 and 31 May 2024 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded11 August 2026
Last confirmed live6 November 2026
Measurements held2
On Telegramt.me/ExpectedAirdrop

Topic

Giveaways & airdrops — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (qwen3.6:35b-a3b, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 11 November 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 95% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear in near-verbatim form on 1 other registered channel. This entry also sits inside a group of 4 channels linked by matching posts, directly or through other channels in the group; two members of the group may share no posts with each other. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@dogs/10120 Aug 2024, 23:40 UTC@ExpectedAirdrop/3470 · this entry23 Aug 2024, 13:41 UTC1.003 days
@dogs/14031 Aug 2024, 20:59 UTC@ExpectedAirdrop/3475 · this entry31 Aug 2024, 21:21 UTC1.0022 minutes
@dogs/1422 Sept 2024, 11:53 UTC@ExpectedAirdrop/3476 · this entry2 Sept 2024, 12:18 UTC1.0025 minutes
@ExpectedAirdrop/3477 · this entry2 Sept 2024, 12:18 UTC@dogs/1442 Sept 2024, 12:35 UTC1.0017 minutes
@dogs/1488 Sept 2024, 21:17 UTC@ExpectedAirdrop/3478 · this entry8 Sept 2024, 21:29 UTC1.0012 minutes
@dogs/15014 Sept 2024, 15:28 UTC@ExpectedAirdrop/3480 · this entry14 Sept 2024, 19:43 UTC1.004.3 hours
Channels this entry shares post bodies with, where at least one matching post pair has no forward credit between the two channels, or to a common source, recorded in our data
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@dogs6 (6/6 hand-verifiable sample passed)1.0024 minutes@dogs (5–1)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 5 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 15 comparable posts for this entry, running 23 August 2024 to 7 October 2024. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Of the group of 4 channels, the one whose matching posts we hold earliest is @dogs. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Recorded under the key clone_copy, last confirmed 11 November 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Channels linked by matching posts

This channel is in a group of 4 registered channels linked by matching posts, directly or through other channels in the group. This channel may share no posts with some of the channels listed below, and listed channels may share none with each other. Links are found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown in this list. “First” could only mean first in our own crawl, which depends on how deep we happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. Our one hand-check read 45 of the highest-confidence flagged pairs against the live Telegram pages. In 18 of them the live page showed a “Forwarded from” credit that our database had no record of, so reading that pair as an unattributed copy was wrong; the check did not measure who published first. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Near-verbatim matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

Growth

217 August 2026 — 21 subscribers11 August 2026 — 21 subscribers7 August 202611 August 2026
2 measurements spanning 4 days. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 20–22 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
11 Aug 2026, 14:0221no change
7 Aug 2026, 11:4221first reading

Engagement

20 posts held, back to 23 August 2024 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 page of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 20 posts for this entry, the most recent from 27 November 2024. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.

What this channel posts

Photos
≈2,120
Videos
≈35
Links
≈2,600

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 11 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Video runtime
0s
Average length
0s

Measured directly from 1 video with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Recent posts

7 Oct 2024, 11:47 UTC67 viewsread 11 August 2026
Forwarded from @binance_announcementsPhoto

Binance Moonbix Exclusive: Play & Trade to Share 145,000,000 DOGS & 15,000,000 NOT Rewards! https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/90b41db26a5b4c74bb50a0ba90fa7057

6 Oct 2024, 14:52 UTC52 viewsread 11 August 2026

https://airdrop.walletconnect.network/ https://x.com/CryptoTeluguO/status/1838598188590092788

22 Sept 2024, 13:21 UTC392 viewsread 11 August 2026

✓ بوت Moonbix التابع لمنصة Binance المعروفة كأقوى منصة تداول في سوق العملات المشفرة: https://t.me/Binance_Moonbix_bot/start?startapp=ref_819425367&startApp=ref_819425367 انضم إلى رحلة Moonbix! احصل على 1,000 عملة كلاعبٍ جديد وتابع أحدث التوزيعات المجانية المُثيرة والمُكافآت الخاصّة من Binance (بينانس)! بالتوفيق 🌹

20 Sept 2024, 10:21 UTC38 viewsread 11 August 2026
Forwarded from @binance_announcementsPhoto

Catizen (CATI) Listing Will Be Postponed https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/e57b53976081456f98fb7d545d95f0f6

18 Sept 2024, 03:29 UTC35 viewsread 11 August 2026
Forwarded from @coinlistofficialchannelPhoto

NEW: Plato "Get $FAT" Rewards Campaign Plato, a #CoinListSeed company, is gamifying the dining experience with a mission to revolutionize the food economy. Sign up for Plato, check-in to restaurants, earn $FAT tokens. Join now 👉 https://coinlist.co/plato-rewards-campaign?utm_source=telegram&utm_medium=web&utm_campaign=Plato+Rewards+Campaign

17 Sept 2024, 03:09 UTC25 viewsread 11 August 2026
Photo

📣 Hey Catizens! 🗓️ Deposit 🪙 CATI to the Exchanges will be suspended on Sep 18th 8AM UTC, and players could also deposit CATI to the on-chain non-custodial wallet after the 20th. It is recommended to Deposit CATI to Exchanges to avoid delays in CATI arrival due to possible chain congestion. If you want to trade CATI as soon as CATI Spot Trading opens (Sep 20th 10AM UTC), remember to Deposit your CATI to CEX now! 🪙 …

14 Sept 2024, 19:44 UTC21 viewsread 11 August 2026
Forwarded from @hamster_kombat

​🔥 $HMSTR ONLINE AND OFFLINE 🔥 🐹 Dear CEOs, 🤓 In addition to getting your Airdrop on-chain directly to your TON wallet, we’re introducing an option of off-chain deposits for you to claim your $HMSTR tokens directly on exchanges. 👉 Here are the exchanges where you are now able to do that: • Binance • OKX • Bybit • Ebi (no KYC exchange) • Wallet on Telegram *Make sure to choose a primary withdrawal method tha…

14 Sept 2024, 19:43 UTC12 viewsread 11 August 2026

Hey Dogs! 🐶 Have you confirmed your claim yet? The last day to confirm your claim is 18th of September—hurry up! 😎 The airdrop will be finalized by 26th of September 🏴‍☠️ Make sure to subscribe to our X.com and brand new Instagram so you don't miss any updates 🦴

13 Sept 2024, 20:17 UTC18 viewsread 11 August 2026
Photo

🪂🪂🪂🪂🪂📣 CATIZEN MEOW Earn Starts Tomorrow! 🚀Check your CATI Airdrops!! 👇 Important Info Below👇 Sept -14th, 2024 00:00 UTC, CATIZEN will SNAPSHOT & undergo maintenance. Sept - 14th, 2024 Expected 10:00 UTC, all users will be able to check 🪙 $CATI airdrop amounts, and the Stake to Earn feature will be live! 💰 Sept - 15th, 2024 Expected 10:00 UTC, the Claim to CEXs function will be activated. 💎 ———————————————————— …

8 Sept 2024, 21:29 UTC18 viewsread 11 August 2026

Hey Dogs 🐶 How's it going? Airdrop update: Over 7 million people have received their on-chain airdrop, with almost 120 billion tokens distributed on-chain so far! 🤑 We’re nearing the end of this part of the journey! 🦴 Important Deadlines: - Your last chance to choose the fast claim option is 8pm UTC tomorrow - For those not in a rush, you have until 8pm UTC on 18th of September to confirm your claim The airdrop w…

Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @ExpectedAirdrop. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 11 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“The Expected Airdrop” (@ExpectedAirdrop), 21 subscribers as measured 11 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/ExpectedAirdrop.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.