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Channel

черный лебедь

@swan_theory

On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Polls · Citations · Cite this entry

62subscribers

+0 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001735606697
TypeChannel
Username@swan_theory
Descriptionвот он черный лебедь
CreatedBetween 1 December 2021 and 30 April 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded10 August 2026
Last confirmed live14 August 2026
Measurements held2
On Telegramt.me/swan_theory

Growth

627 August 2026 — 62 subscribers10 August 2026 — 62 subscribers7 August 202610 August 2026
2 measurements spanning 3 days. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 61–63 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
10 Aug 2026, 04:1562no change
7 Aug 2026, 12:3462first reading

Engagement

20 posts held, back to 16 November 2025the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 20 posts for this entry, the most recent from 11 June 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.

What this channel posts

Photos
636
Videos
43
Links
386

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 10 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. Below Telegram’s rounding threshold, so these counts are exact.

Reaction mix

15 reactions across 6 posts, in 5 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 33.3% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
533.3%
😭426.7%
👍320.0%
😁213.3%
👎16.67%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 6 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 15reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 16 November 2025 to 11 June 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

11 Jun 2026, 11:56 UTC47 views1 reactionsread 10 August 2026

https://web3.okx.com/ua/token/bsc/0x6ad12e761b438bea3ea09f6c6266556bb24c2181 https://bridge.beldex.io/ https://wallet.beldex.io/ bsc dep - bingx, kucoin, kraken beldex dep - mexc https://debank.com/profile/0xe02d61f9a081d00abfd81971b6428326de219235

👍1

12 Mar 2026, 21:28 UTC97 viewsread 10 August 2026
Photo

на то он и кит, что у него как минимум еще 400 лямов есть upd: первый кош(баланс 410кк): https://debank.com/profile/0x2e42e686c6444781e110775f2623e895e900acbf второй кош(баланс 302кк): https://debank.com/profile/0x1cba79cf8dd10d0d6cd6f098b34dfc3499377829

12 Mar 2026, 19:49 UTC56 viewsread 10 August 2026

Кстати эфир который на дексе пампанулся до $2300 тоже благодаря ему https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0xc7bbec68d12a0d1830360f8ec58fa599ba1b0e9b

12 Mar 2026, 19:46 UTC55 viewsread 10 August 2026
Photo

Сегодня в дефай произошло кое-что интересное Кит пришёл купить $AAVE на $50 миллионов. Ушёл с 327 токенами. Разбор что же произошло 👇 В 19:17 по UTC китяра вывел $50.4M USDT с Binance, моментально закинул всё в Aave V3, и через 6 минут попытался через CoW Swap свапнуть всё это в AAVE. Но кто-то его уже ждал… За доли секунды до исполнения ордера MEV увидел транзу в мемпуле и: Взял в кредит $29M в флэш-лоане у Morpho

5 Feb 2026, 15:28 UTC74 viewsread 10 August 2026
Photo

кстати писал вам это еще 3 января и забыл отправить 😁 шо вы там, как, живые?) вам нужно примкнуть к быкам рогатым или к медведям пузатым. я выбрал вторых. я буду топить в этом году за то что биток будет стоить 50 тысяч американских долларов в этом году. смотреть правде в глаза или обманывать себя, выбирать вам сейчас это звучит нереально я и выгляжу как сумасшедший ученый, рынок зеленый, пепе стрельнул на 40% за с

3 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC84 viewsread 10 August 2026
Poll

верите в 40-50к по битку в этом году?

  1. ядерке быть85%
  2. хуй15%

Shares as published. No per-option vote count is published by Telegram, so none is shown.

29 Dec 2025, 20:54 UTC95 viewsread 10 August 2026

лан, через пару часов ток поймете о том какой гем это был, как инфлы начнут писать посты

29 Dec 2025, 20:53 UTC94 viewsread 10 August 2026

хаха бля как же он ебет никто не коллил кроме него

29 Dec 2025, 20:52 UTC79 viewsread 10 August 2026
Forwarded from @doksikfarm

стори чейн ip рагают бриджи л0

25 Dec 2025, 20:25 UTC89 views2 reactionsread 10 August 2026

надеюсь отшортили твт, дало 4% чисто го движения вниз, вкусно я сразу как скинул вам и кентам своим, открыл шорт, но перепутал TWT и TST, сижу с шорт позой по тст и не понимаю почему нет движения вниз 👍 декабрь у меня просто пиздец, то левому типу бабки на кош скину, то куплю токен там где 2к ликвы, то еще хуйня какая-то, я уже ничему не удивляюсь

👍2

25 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTC54 viewsread 10 August 2026
Photo

#слухи #взлом #twt ❌ В Twitter со скоростью света распространяется информация о взломе браузерного расширения Trust Wallet… Криптаны пишут, что деньги исчезают с их счетов сразу после авторизации (переводы на левые кошельки). Некоторые пишут, что убытки уже превышают $2m. P.S. До официального подтверждения от команды проекта лучше воздержаться от использования десктоп-версий кошелька. Crypto Headlines

Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @swan_theory. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Polls

The poll we hold for this entry, as Telegram rendered it when we read the post. A poll’s figures keep moving after that, so each one is dated.

3 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCAnonymous Poll13 voters

верите в 40-50к по битку в этом году?

  1. ядерке быть85%
  2. хуй15%

Shares as published. No per-option vote count is published by Telegram, so none is shown.

Percentages only — there are no per-option vote counts here, because Telegram publishes none.The public post preview gives each option’s share and a single voter total, and nothing else. Multiplying one by the other would produce a per-option tally that looks measured and is not: the shares are rounded to whole numbers before we ever see them. We print what was published and leave the column that does not exist empty.

The shares need not add up to 100.Rounding alone puts many polls at 99 or 101. A poll that allows more than one answer per voter runs well past 100 by design, and several here do. The bars are drawn against a fixed 100% track at each option’s own percentage rather than normalised to the total, so a poll that exceeds it shows that it does instead of being quietly rescaled.

Read from the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 16 November 2025 to 11 June 2026. Telegram labels each poll by kind — an anonymous poll, a quiz, a closed set of final results — and that label is reproduced rather than paraphrased.

Forward network

Republishes

Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Names

Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 10 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“черный лебедь” (@swan_theory), 62 subscribers as measured 10 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/swan_theory.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.