BITCOIN JUST CONFIRMED THE TRAP I WARNED YOU ABOUT Everyone was screaming breakout. I told you it was a bull trap. Now Bitcoin has rejected after printing another lower high around $81K - exactly the setup I warned about two weeks ago. My roadmap hasn’t changed: $80K → $72K → $65K → $50K → NEW CYCLE READ 🫣⬇️ https://x.com/Simba_crpt/status/2092897978168041543

Channel
Simba_crpt
@simba_crpt
On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Cite this entry
7,367subscribers
-93 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1002457447385 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @simba_crpt |
| Created | Between 1 September 2024 and 31 March 2025— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 7 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 30 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 10 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 30 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/simba_crpt |
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026, 08:45 | 7,367 | -12 |
| 27 Aug 2026, 08:29 | 7,379 | -17 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 06:15 | 7,396 | -26 |
| 20 Aug 2026, 10:47 | 7,422 | -15 |
| 17 Aug 2026, 12:36 | 7,437 | +9 |
| 14 Aug 2026, 14:04 | 7,428 | -15 |
| 10 Aug 2026, 23:14 | 7,443 | -15 |
| 8 Aug 2026, 05:09 | 7,458 | -2 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 15:00 | 7,460 | no change |
| 7 Aug 2026, 14:58 | 7,460 | first reading |
Engagement
57 posts held, back to 25 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 14 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 2.15%
- avg views ÷ 7,367 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 159
- 45 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- 0.67%
- reactions ÷ views · ER floor
- Posts in window
- 45
- of 57 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 13 of 45 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 27 August 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 57 (25 July 2026 – 27 August 2026) |
| Views total | 7,141 |
| Reactions total | 14 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 28 Aug 2026, 23:24 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Video runtime
- 36m 51s
- Average length
- 41s
Measured directly from 54 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
16 reactions across 14 posts, in 4 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 81.3% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 13 | 81.3% | |
| 👍 | 1 | 6.25% | |
| 👏 | 1 | 6.25% | |
| 👨💻 | 1 | 6.25% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 14 of the 57 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 16reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 57 most recent posts we hold, published 25 July 2026 to 27 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Recent posts
THE AI BUBBLE ISN’T GOING TO END QUIETLY The S&P 500 keeps printing all-time highs. Everyone sees the rally. Almost nobody is looking at what’s underneath it. Wall Street has built a massive AI debt machine that starts looking dangerously circular. Here’s the loop: Nvidia backs AI companies. Those companies raise or borrow billions from firms tied to private credit. They spend huge amounts of that capital on …
THE BULLS ARE ABOUT TO GET SLAUGHTERED Everyone is celebrating this pump like the bear market is over. They’re about to find out the hard way. READ 🫣⬇️ https://x.com/Simba_crpt/status/2092312630706712653
$SPCX IS ABOUT TO GET ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED Everyone thinks the 40% crash from $220 is the opportunity. I think the real opportunity comes AFTER another brutal leg down. SpaceX is sitting near $136. I’m not touching it here. The structure I’m watching is simple: $220 → EUPHORIA $160 → DENIAL $136 → FALSE HOPE $60–$65 → CAPITULATION READ 🫣⬇️ https://x.com/Simba_crpt/status/2092173608600707298
99% OF PEOPLE WILL REALIZE THIS AFTER THE MONEY IS ALREADY MADE SpaceX could become the biggest retail opportunity of this entire cycle. And the setup reminds me of one of the greatest trades of the last decade. In 2019, NVIDIA announced the Mellanox acquisition. Then NVIDIA went from roughly $7 to $210. That’s 30X. $10,000 → $300,000. Now look at what could be forming around SpaceX. A potential combination w…
99% OF BITCOIN TRADERS ARE ABOUT TO GET DESTROYED BY THE FINAL TRAP. Everything is playing out exactly as I mapped it. $BTC is now sitting inside my $76K–$79K bull trap zone. And if this structure holds, the next move is where the real pain begins: $79K → $70K → $57.8K → $50K → $48K → $83K There are two stages I’m watching: Scenario 1: $BTC drops through $70K and wipes out the massive liquidity sitting aro…
WARNING: LONGING BITCOIN HERE COULD BE A MASSIVE MISTAKE Everyone is getting bullish again at exactly the wrong time. This relief rally is running out of road - and Monday could be where the trap finally snaps shut. The roadmap I’m watching: $78K → $64K → $53K → $48K → NEW CYCLE READ 🫣⬇️ https://x.com/Simba_crpt/status/2091485425969807522
SELL YOUR $BTC INTO THIS PUMP BEFORE THE TRAP SNAPS SHUT Everyone is celebrating $79K. I’m doing the opposite. Bitcoin filled the $70K FVG and ripped straight into the exact setup that trapped bulls before: $97K → FVG fill → bull trap → dump $82K → FVG fill → bull trap → dump $79K → FVG fill → you really think this time is different? The second retail turns bullish again, I start paying attention. My roadmap ha…
❤2
$XRP IS ABOUT TO DO SOMETHING MOST PEOPLE ARE NOT READY FOR Everyone is staring at the short-term price action. I’m watching a structure that looks almost identical to what happened before XRP’s historic 2017 explosion. Same multi-year support. Same repeated retests. Same setup before the expansion. If the pattern keeps playing out, this is my roadmap: August–September: $1.10 → $0.97 → $1.80 November–December:…
BITCOIN’S GREEN CANDLE IS BAIT. THE REAL MOVE HASN’T EVEN STARTED. Everyone screaming “reversal” because $BTC bounced is about to learn the hard way. This isn’t a recovery. It’s the setup. Here’s exactly how I think the CLARITY Act trade unfolds: PHASE 1 - FAKE RELIEF. NOW. BTC bounces, shorts get squeezed, confidence comes flooding back. Perfect. The market needs people bullish again before it can destroy the…
$BTC JUST PUMPED TO $77,000 - AND 99% OF TRADERS ARE ABOUT TO FALL FOR THE SAME TRAP. This is NOT the start of a new bull run. I believe this is the FINAL bull trap before Bitcoin gets absolutely destroyed. My roadmap hasn’t changed: $69K → $78K → $57K → $48K Everyone who was terrified at $60K is suddenly bullish again at $77K. READ 🫣⬇️ https://x.com/Simba_crpt/status/2090750961450905761
I WARNED YOU ABOUT THIS BITCOIN PUMP 3 WEEKS AGO. NOW THE REAL MOVE BEGINS. The pump wasn’t the breakout. It was the trap. And the rejection is exactly what I was waiting for. $BTC is still following the bearish structure I warned about months ago. My roadmap from here: $69K → $58K → $144K First, I’m watching for $69K. READ 🫣⬇️ https://x.com/Simba_crpt/status/2090516296601591875
❤1
Showing the 12 most recent of 57 posts we hold for @simba_crpt. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 30 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Simba_crpt” (@simba_crpt), 7,367 subscribers as measured 30 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/simba_crpt.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.