Telegram RegisterThe public register of Telegram
Telegram profile photo for Разумный инвестор| Костя Рыжиков | Инвестиции с разумным инвестором

Channel

Разумный инвестор| Костя Рыжиков | Инвестиции с разумным инвестором

@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov

On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Cite this entry

1,009subscribers

-7 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001766182401
TypeChannel
Username@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov
CreatedBetween 1 December 2021 and 30 April 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live26 September 2026
Measurements held10
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 26 September 2026
On Telegramt.me/razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov

Topic

Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 11 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 100% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear word for word on 1 other registered channel. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@razinvestor/25488 Jul 2026, 10:17 UTC@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov/1488 · this entry8 Jul 2026, 10:17 UTC1.00under a minute
@razinvestor/255310 Jul 2026, 10:53 UTC@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov/1494 · this entry10 Jul 2026, 10:54 UTC1.00under a minute
@razinvestor/255412 Jul 2026, 17:45 UTC@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov/1495 · this entry12 Jul 2026, 17:45 UTC1.00under a minute
@razinvestor/255515 Jul 2026, 12:15 UTC@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov/1496 · this entry15 Jul 2026, 12:15 UTC1.00under a minute
@razinvestor/255719 Jul 2026, 14:01 UTC@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov/1498 · this entry19 Jul 2026, 14:01 UTC1.00under a minute
@razinvestor/255923 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov/1501 · this entry23 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC1.00under a minute
Every channel this entry shares post bodies with
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@razinvestor14 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)1.00under a minute@razinvestor (14–0)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 14 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 16 comparable posts for this entry, running 8 July 2026 to 5 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Across the whole group of 2, the earliest publisher we hold is @razinvestor. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Recorded under the key clone_copy, last confirmed 7 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Also posting the same content

This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 1 other registered channel, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

Growth

9251,0319787 August 2026 — 1,016 subscribers7 August 2026 — 979 subscribers15 August 2026 — 925 subscribers24 August 2026 — 1,031 subscribers27 August 2026 — 1,030 subscribers30 August 2026 — 1,025 subscribers7 September 2026 — 1,023 subscribers11 September 2026 — 1,019 subscribers15 September 2026 — 1,016 subscribers26 September 2026 — 1,009 subscribers1,0097 August 202626 September 2026
10 measurements spanning 50 days, net -7. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 909–1,047 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
26 Sept 2026, 03:571,009-7
15 Sept 2026, 15:551,016-3
11 Sept 2026, 21:211,019-4
7 Sept 2026, 11:171,023-2
30 Aug 2026, 16:351,025-5
27 Aug 2026, 11:041,030-1
24 Aug 2026, 01:261,031+106
15 Aug 2026, 19:55925-54
7 Aug 2026, 20:36979-37
7 Aug 2026, 09:031,016first reading

Engagement

16 posts held, back to 8 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 page of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 16 posts for this entry, the most recent from 5 August 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.

Reaction mix

1,620 reactions across 16 posts, in 14 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 9.75% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
🍾1589.75%
🎉1499.20%
🤩1368.40%
🆒1358.33%
🍓1348.27%
🐳1287.90%
👏1257.72%
💯1187.28%
❤1056.48%
🗿955.86%
👍935.74%
🔥925.68%
🌭915.62%
🥰613.77%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 16 of the 16 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1,620 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 16 most recent posts we hold, published 8 July 2026 to 5 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

5 Aug 2026, 12:14 UTC179 views98 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Определение дна BTC. Понять, где завершится медвежий рынок, где точно будет дно, и - действительно купить именно там, особенно всем депозитом. Совершенно разные вещи. По моим наблюдениям, стратегия «я точно знаю, где будет минимум» чаще всего заканчивается примерно так, как на картинке.. Не призыв к каким-либо действиям, лишь наблюдение. В долгосрочной перспективе чаще всего отрабатывают самые простые и самые скучные…

🥰50💯13🍾12🐳12👍7🤩4

2 Aug 2026, 14:52 UTC186 views88 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

⚠️ БИТКОИН - САМЫЕ ЖЕСТОКИЕ МЕСЯЦЫ МЕДВЕЖЬЕГО РЫНКА | ПОРТФЕЛЬ АВГУСТ 2026 ▪️ Локальная картина BTC ▪️ Структура ▪️ Доходность BTC по сезонам ▪️ Цели по Fibonacci ▪️ Ориентиры по эфириуму ETH ▪️ Как завершались прошлые медвежьи рынки - август и сентябрь ▪️ По фондовым индексам ▪️ Основной график для рынка - ликвидность мировых ЦБ ▪️ OTHERS и ликвидность ▪️ 4-летний цикл ▪️ Продажи долгосрочными холдерами BTC ▪️ "Вып…

🎉46🍓10👏10🍾9👍7🌭6

1 Aug 2026, 12:51 UTC192 views78 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░ 83% Конечно, наивно ожидать точного повторения прошлого. Но не менее наивно считать, что всем известное правило перестаёт работать только потому, что о нём знают "все". В этом смысле мне близка идея рефлексивности Джорджа Сороса: Люди обычно воспринимают рынок как зеркало, которое просто отражает экономику, новости и фундаментальные события. Но рынок устроен сложнее: участники действуют не на основани…

🆒43💯8🤩8🍾7👏7🐳5

29 Jul 2026, 17:06 UTC196 views100 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Помните фразу «Trend is your friend»? Так вот, полностью она звучит так: «Trend is your friend until it bends». Тренд - твой друг, пока он не развернётся. Похоже мы постепенно подходим именно к тому этапу, где - Trend is still your friend… but the bend is getting closer.

🍓48🍾12👏12🎉11🐳11🗿6

27 Jul 2026, 17:32 UTC199 views92 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

По доходности майнеров Puell Multiple, важнейшей категории участников рынка. На данный момент показатель находится ниже своей средней за последние 365 дней. Другими словами - майнерам сейчас неприятно. Но пока ещё не настолько, как когда показатель касался красной линии на графике. Во всех прошлых циклах после капитуляции майнеров по puell multiple (и ряду других onchain-ориентиров) начинался новый бычий цикл. Что мо…

👍55🗿10👏8🍾7💯7🥰5

25 Jul 2026, 17:52 UTC201 views97 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Вам нужна не вера и не уверенность, а координация. Координация означает: получать удовольствие от мыслей о цели, как будто она уже достигнута, отпустить хватку контроля за сценарием и двигаться по течению вариантов, помогая себе веслом чистого намерения. Такое поведение не имеет ничего общего со слепой верой в успех. Где есть вера, в том числе слепая, там всегда найдется место сомнению. Ослепляет избыточно нагнетенн…

❤52🤩12🍓10🍾9🗿8🐳6

23 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC208 views105 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

ЕСЛИ СМОТРЕТЬ НА СИТУАЦИЮ ГЛОБАЛЬНО На мой взгляд, сейчас BTC и ETH проходят через очень похожий этап, который в своё время проходили многие сильные активы: AMZN, META, MSFT, NFLX, AAPL и другие. Практически у каждого из них в начале пути были периоды, когда первоначальный рост замедлялся на многие годы. И со стороны всё выглядело, как будто актив уже исчерпал себя. Но спустя время, становилось понятно - тогда всё…

🐳54🤩15🆒13❤9🎉8🥰6

21 Jul 2026, 16:06 UTC204 views100 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Всё это время долгосрочные держатели биткоина продолжают фиксировать убытки! Как мы наблюдали в феврале, эта категория только переходила к реализации убытков. Сейчас, спустя полгода: по метрике уже достигнуты ~20%. Что по давлению продаж LTH больше, чем во время covid-дампа 2020. Но пока меньше, чем на минимумах прошлых медвежьих рынков (~50%). PS: долгосрочные держатели (LTH) - это не только «динозавры» удерживающ…

🌭50🐳13🍾11💯9🆒9🍓8

21 Jul 2026, 16:05 UTC199 views89 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Всё это время долгосрочные держатели биткоина продолжают фиксировать убытки! Как мы наблюдали в феврале, эта категория только переходила к реализации убытков. Сейчас, спустя полгода: по метрике уже достигнуты ~20%. Что по давлению продаж LTH больше, чем во время covid-дампа 2020. Но пока меньше, чем на минимумах прошлых медвежьих рынков (~50%). PS: долгосрочные держатели (LTH) - это не только «динозавры» удерживающ…

💯41🍾13🐳12❤8🗿8🤩7

19 Jul 2026, 14:01 UTC206 views104 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

⚠️ БИТКОИН - ОБРАТНЫЙ ОТСЧЁТ | ФИНАЛ 18-ЛЕТНЕГО ЦИКЛА BTC ▪️ Покинуть "ракету" ▪️ Что дальше по сезонности BTC ▪️ Ориентир медвежки/бычки: 200-дневка ▪️ Stoch RSI ▪️ Структура и смена структуры BTC ▪️ Самые кровавые 3 месяца медвежки ▪️ Дно по MVRV-Z ▪️ Саплай BTC в убытке ▪️ 4-летние циклы как "карта местности" ▪️ Следующий 4-летний цикл ▪️ 18-летний цикл биткоина ▪️ Ближайшие 2 года ▪️ 18-летний цикл недвижимости …

🤩57🍾11👍11🔥9🌭8🍓8

17 Jul 2026, 13:47 UTC206 views105 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Что сейчас по 'рисунку' onchain map? $82600 - fair value, $61200 - undervalued, $45400 - heavy undervalued, диапазон возможного минимума цикла. Все модели ошибаются, но некотрые бывают полезны. В 2022 году 'рисунок' onchain map показал дно биткоина в моменте, с погрешностью менее 10%.

🔥53🎉14🆒13🤩11❤8💯6

15 Jul 2026, 12:15 UTC218 views98 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Госдолг США - $39,000,000,000,000 (тридцать девять триллионов долларов). Только за последние 1,5 года государственный долг США увеличился ещё примерно на $2 трлн. Чтобы представить масштаб этой суммы: даже если бы вы получали $100,000 каждый день и не тратили ни цента, вам потребовалось бы почти 55,000 лет, чтобы накопить $2 трлн. А при доходе $1 млн в день - около 5,500 лет, то есть пришлось бы начать "откладыват…

🎉49🌭14👍13🍾8👏8🐳6

Showing the 12 most recent of 16 posts we hold for @razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 26 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Разумный инвестор| Костя Рыжиков | Инвестиции с разумным инвестором” (@razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov), 1,009 subscribers as measured 26 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/razumniyinvestor_kostyaryzhekov.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.