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Channel

Polymarket信息分享

@polym8

On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Cite this entry

26,035subscribers

-6,367 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001593149911
TypeChannel
Username@polym8
Description🌍 联盟导航 @LM667788 💎 商务合作 @yh184 Polymarket|全球热点|预测市场 政治|金融|AI|体育|Crypto|突发事件 看市场正在押注什么
CreatedBetween 1 August 2021 and 28 February 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live28 September 2026
Measurements held34
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 28 September 2026
On Telegramt.me/polym8

Topic

Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 9 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 53% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Growth

25,91837,16531,541.57 August 2026 — 32,402 subscribers7 August 2026 — 32,088 subscribers9 August 2026 — 31,499 subscribers10 August 2026 — 31,092 subscribers11 August 2026 — 30,610 subscribers12 August 2026 — 31,296 subscribers13 August 2026 — 29,638 subscribers14 August 2026 — 29,271 subscribers15 August 2026 — 28,040 subscribers17 August 2026 — 27,564 subscribers18 August 2026 — 27,383 subscribers19 August 2026 — 26,261 subscribers20 August 2026 — 26,047 subscribers21 August 2026 — 25,918 subscribers22 August 2026 — 29,550 subscribers24 August 2026 — 37,165 subscribers25 August 2026 — 36,888 subscribers26 August 2026 — 36,516 subscribers27 August 2026 — 36,335 subscribers28 August 2026 — 35,912 subscribers29 August 2026 — 35,576 subscribers30 August 2026 — 35,240 subscribers31 August 2026 — 35,112 subscribers1 September 2026 — 35,000 subscribers2 September 2026 — 34,846 subscribers3 September 2026 — 33,815 subscribers4 September 2026 — 33,511 subscribers7 September 2026 — 34,930 subscribers10 September 2026 — 34,241 subscribers12 September 2026 — 33,907 subscribers13 September 2026 — 33,512 subscribers15 September 2026 — 33,162 subscribers17 September 2026 — 33,047 subscribers28 September 2026 — 26,035 subscribers26,0357 August 202628 September 2026
34 measurements spanning 52 days, net -6,367. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 24,231–38,852 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 34
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
28 Sept 2026, 13:2226,035-7,012
17 Sept 2026, 18:3933,047-115
15 Sept 2026, 13:3833,162-350
13 Sept 2026, 23:4033,512-395
12 Sept 2026, 08:5933,907-334
10 Sept 2026, 08:4034,241-689
7 Sept 2026, 06:1834,930+1,419
4 Sept 2026, 15:1433,511-304
3 Sept 2026, 01:0633,815-1,031
2 Sept 2026, 02:1234,846-154
1 Sept 2026, 04:1935,000-112
31 Aug 2026, 03:0735,112-128
30 Aug 2026, 05:3435,240-336
29 Aug 2026, 04:3335,576-336
28 Aug 2026, 08:0435,912-423
27 Aug 2026, 05:3636,335-181
26 Aug 2026, 05:1536,516-372
25 Aug 2026, 08:1436,888-277
24 Aug 2026, 08:3637,165+7,615
22 Aug 2026, 13:0729,550first reading

Engagement

1,597 posts held, back to 6 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 90 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
9.91%
avg views ÷ 26,035 subscribers
Avg views / post
2,580
760 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.035%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
761
of 1,597 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 1 of 760 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 28 September 2026
Posts held1,597 (6 August 2026 – 28 September 2026)
Views total1,960,658
Reactions total1
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken29 Sept 2026, 03:16 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
≈507
Videos
≈147
Links
≈1,800

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 29 September 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Video runtime
1m 06s
Average length
3s

Measured directly from 22 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Reaction mix

1 reaction across 1 post, in 1 kind.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
😭1100.0%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 1 of the 1,000 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 1,000 most recent posts we hold (the sample is capped at 1,000), published 24 August 2026 to 28 September 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

28 Sept 2026, 16:35 UTC≈2,410 viewsread 29 September 2026
Photo

✨✨✨✨📣📣📣📣 13+ 官方矩阵 · 80+ 官方社群 100W+ 用户覆盖 多领域矩阵布局 · 覆盖多元流量场景 多样合作 · 灵活选择 单矩阵|多矩阵|全联盟 滚播广告|置顶广告|聚合广告 品牌宣传|项目推广|引流获客 资源合作|上压担保 商务合作:@yh184

28 Sept 2026, 15:53 UTC≈2,380 viewsread 29 September 2026

🚨重大异动|拉马尔·杰克逊赢NFL MVP概率升至18.5% “拉马尔·杰克逊赢得2026年NFL MVP”的Yes端现报18.5%,No端为81.5%,两边相差63.0个百分点。过去24小时,Yes端从8.5%升到18.5%,上涨10.0个百分点。市场仍明显偏向杰克逊不会获奖,但短线定价已从极低位抬升。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 15:37 UTC≈2,420 viewsread 29 September 2026

⚡️快讯|XRP九月触及1.60美元概率降至46.0% “XRP九月是否触及1.60美元”的Yes端现报46.0%,No端为54.0%,两边相差8.0个百分点。过去24小时,Yes端从54.5%降至46.0%,下跌8.5个百分点。市场已从略偏向触及,转为略偏向不触及。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 15:22 UTC≈2,400 viewsread 29 September 2026

🔥热门预测|霍尔木兹海峡年底前恢复正常通行概率升至23.5% 霍尔木兹海峡交通年底前恢复正常通行的Yes端现报23.5%,No端为76.5%,两边相差53.0个百分点。过去24小时,Yes端从19.5%升到23.5%,上涨4.0个百分点,但市场仍明显偏向无法恢复正常通行。短线继续观察的是,这波上行能否让Yes端脱离低位。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 15:07 UTC≈2,410 viewsread 29 September 2026

💰聪明钱|高可信地址押注万斯不会赢2028大选 一个被列为高可信聪明钱的地址,当前在“JD Vance赢得2028年美国总统大选”的“不会发生”方向持有约135万美元净持仓。该方向现报79.2美分,市场本身已偏向万斯不会胜出。这个地址近30天盈利97.68万美元,它选择站在概率更高的一侧继续下注。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 15:05 UTC≈2,420 viewsread 29 September 2026
Video

🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩 🤩亿级域名|78.COM 🤩官方飞投|充提自由 🤩NO钱包担保3亿U|可查验! 😀 东南亚大事件联合担保🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩(电子) 📱官方频道:@DF78 ➡️关注领VIP 🔝大品牌,实力派:78.COM 本身就是最好的辨识度。 ✅️香港六合彩 · 独家盈利无上限! 🤩所有的特码🤩🤩倍,封顶赔率! 🤩连码三中三🤩🤩🤩倍 🤩连码四中四🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩倍 🤩百家乐全网最高返水🤩% 🤩电子|棋牌|捕鱼返水🤩.🤩% 🤩十三水|德州自主组队,无抽佣; 🏆百家乐真人视讯台红🤩🤩万U; 💥新人超会赢,精彩时刻分享: 🥇六合彩 玩家用7个号码组合下注连码三全中(35注)➕四全中(35注),每注100U,结果开出4个号码。命中4注878倍及一注10000倍大奖,稳稳落袋135万U; 🥈PG电子 8月17号,壹玩家游戏中爆出200万U大奖,本金仅用2万U; 🥉DB真人 玩百家乐的老板,第一天存款50万U,连续7天每日提款5…

28 Sept 2026, 14:52 UTC≈2,450 viewsread 29 September 2026

🚨重大异动|美伊年底前无高级外交会议概率跌至17.0% 伊朗外长称准备与美国打“末日”战争、同时保留外交选项之际,市场对“2026年底前不会举行合格美伊高级外交会议”的定价明显松动。Yes端从一天前的41.0%降到17.0%,24小时下跌24.0个百分点;No端现报83.0%,两边相差66.0个百分点。此前CNN称伊朗在联合国度过不错一周,但其最新对美提议似乎一开始就行不通。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 14:36 UTC≈2,460 viewsread 29 September 2026

🧠异动解读|民主党赢缅因参院概率降至59.5% 与特洛伊·杰克逊(D)相关的市场问民主党能否赢下缅因州参议院选举;Yes端现报59.5%,24小时内从63.5%降至59.5%,下跌4.0个百分点。No端报40.5%,两边相差19.0个百分点。民主党仍是热门,但最新民调报道更新后的重定价是温和下修。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 14:21 UTC≈2,490 viewsread 29 September 2026

🚨重大异动|美伊高级外交会议在美举行概率升至56.0% “下一场美伊高级外交会议在2026年底前于美国举行”的Yes端现报56.0%,No端为44.0%,两边相差12.0个百分点。过去24小时,Yes端从22.5%升到56.0%,上涨33.5个百分点。市场已从偏向“不会在美国举行”转向略偏向“会”。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 14:06 UTC≈2,540 viewsread 29 September 2026

🚨重大异动|沙特原油管道9月30日前重启概率升至30.5% “沙特东西线原油管道9月30日前重启”的Yes端现报30.5%,24小时内从17.5%上涨13.0个百分点。No端报69.5%,两边相差39.0个百分点。市场仍偏向管道无法在月底前重启,但一天之内已把重启概率向上重估超过七成。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 13:50 UTC≈2,600 viewsread 29 September 2026

🧠异动解读|Delcy Rodríguez年底在位概率降至31.0% 委内瑞拉选举承诺面临长期推迟、政治犯获释等消息交织之际,市场对Delcy Rodríguez在2026年底仍是领导人的定价从前一天的32.5%降到31.0%。Yes端现报31.0%,No端为69.0%,两边相差38.0个百分点。概率只小幅下移,交易员仍明显偏向她不会在年底继续掌权。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

28 Sept 2026, 13:34 UTC≈2,640 viewsread 29 September 2026

🔥热门预测|美国宣布结束伊朗封锁概率升至30.5% 这个市场问的是:美国会不会在2026年10月31日前宣布结束对伊朗的封锁?Yes端现报30.5%,No端为69.5%,两边相差39.0个百分点。过去24小时,Yes端从27.5%升到30.5%,上涨3.0个百分点——市场仍偏向“不会”,但概率在往上走。接下来值得盯的是,现实中美伊之间是否出现能推动这一预期继续重估的公开信号。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

Showing the 12 most recent of 1,597 posts we hold for @polym8. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Mentions

Named by 10 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 28 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Polymarket信息分享” (@polym8), 26,035 subscribers as measured 28 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/polym8.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.