اما باز هم از دیدگاه اسرائیل، همهچیز حول محور تقویت ایران میچرخد؛ و اگر بازگشایی تنگه باعث تقویت ایران شود، این اتفاق بدی برای اسرائیل خواهد بود. با این حال، باید بگوییم توانایی اسرائیل در تاثیرگذاری بر آنچه اکنون بین ایران و آمریکا جریان دارد، بسیار محدود است. مجری: با نگاهی به آینده، بزرگترین خطری که طی چند روز آینده زیر نظر دارید و به طور بالقوه میتواند تمام تلاشهای دیپلماتیک فعلی را از مسیر خارج کند، چیست؟ ک…

Channel
نظامی - سیاسی
@mwarmonitor
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Stars · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Citations · Cite this entry
21,375subscribers
-594 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1003829932730 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @mwarmonitor |
| Description | The Open-Source Intelligence Network Twitter: https://x.com/mwarmonitor |
| Created | Between 1 February 2026 and 31 July 2026 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 7 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 25 September 2026 |
| Measurements held | 34 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 25 September 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/mwarmonitor |
Topic
International news — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 88% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Sept 2026, 05:21 | 21,375 | -75 |
| 18 Sept 2026, 22:37 | 21,450 | -35 |
| 16 Sept 2026, 12:18 | 21,485 | -26 |
| 14 Sept 2026, 16:20 | 21,511 | -4 |
| 13 Sept 2026, 02:20 | 21,515 | -7 |
| 11 Sept 2026, 06:41 | 21,522 | +5 |
| 8 Sept 2026, 12:35 | 21,517 | -50 |
| 5 Sept 2026, 06:58 | 21,567 | -32 |
| 3 Sept 2026, 10:17 | 21,599 | +5 |
| 2 Sept 2026, 05:23 | 21,594 | +32 |
| 1 Sept 2026, 03:17 | 21,562 | -16 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 23:26 | 21,578 | +14 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 20:28 | 21,564 | -15 |
| 28 Aug 2026, 19:56 | 21,579 | -20 |
| 27 Aug 2026, 22:45 | 21,599 | -16 |
| 26 Aug 2026, 20:16 | 21,615 | -18 |
| 25 Aug 2026, 20:02 | 21,633 | -29 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 21:54 | 21,662 | -28 |
| 23 Aug 2026, 08:17 | 21,690 | -12 |
| 21 Aug 2026, 22:18 | 21,702 | first reading |
Engagement
637 posts held, back to 6 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 58 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 19.8%
- avg views ÷ 21,375 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 4,240
- 164 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- 0%
- reactions ÷ views · ER floor
- Posts in window
- 164
- of 637 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 3 of 164 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 27 September 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 637 (6 August 2026 – 27 September 2026) |
| Views total | 695,434 |
| Reactions total | 0 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 27 Sept 2026, 05:02 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Photos
- ≈3,560
- Videos
- ≈1,880
- Links
- ≈475
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 27 September 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
- Video runtime
- 2h 41m
- Average length
- 1m 26s
Measured directly from 113 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Telegram Stars
- Stars received
- 8
- across the posts below
- Posts paid on
- 7
- of 637 we hold a reading for · 1%
- Most on one post
- 2
- single highest reading
A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @mwarmonitor. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.
Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.
This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.
Counted over the 637 most recent posts we hold for this entry, published 6 August 2026 to 27 September 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.
Recent posts
🔸مجری: با توجه به دفعاتی که رئیسجمهور ترامپ این تهدیدها را مطرح کرده بدون اینکه بعداً آنها را عملی کند، آیا این لفاظیها در حال حاضر از نظر سیاسی وزنی در صحنه جهانی دارد؟ جف (کارشناس): خب، من فکر میکنم از دور اول و دوم ریاستجمهوری ترامپ یاد گرفتهایم که وقتی او چنین حرفهایی میزند باید او را جدی بگیرید، اما در عین حال باید به زمینه و بستر سخنانش هم توجه کنید. بنابراین، حق دارید اشاره کنید که او قبلاً هم از این ن…
Video, posted without a caption
[گوینده فاکس نیوز]: همانطور که قبلاً اشاره کردیم، رئیسجمهور ترامپ همین چند لحظه پیش صحبت کرد و پیشنهاد ایران برای آتشبس را رد کرد. او همچنین درباره دیدار خود با رئیسجمهور چین (شی جینپینگ)، هوش مصنوعی، روسیه، کوبا و ونزوئلا صحبت کرد. در اینجا سخنان رئیسجمهور را میشنویم: [دونالد ترامپ]: خب، من معامله آنها را رد میکنم. آنها میخواهند معاملهای انجام دهند که در آن تجارت فوراً باز شود چون به شدت در حال شکست خور…
Video, posted without a caption
🔹مجری: «بنابراین، آیا این بدان معناست که ایالات متحده اکنون قصد دارد به درگیریها با ایران بازگردد؟ آیا انتظار دارید حملات و تهاجمات به زودی آغاز شود؟» 🔸مهمان (مایک والتز، سفیر آمریکا در سازمان ملل): «خوب، من هرگز از رئیسجمهور جلو نمیزنم و گزینههای روی میز را پیشدستی نمیکنم، اما فکر میکنم او منظور همان چیزی را که میگوید، دارد؛ در خصوص اینکه ارزش پول ایران در حال سقوط است، ذخایر ارزیاش از دست رفته، و تورم آن س…
✈️بوئینگ یک نقص نرمافزاری در هواپیماهای ۷۳۷ مکس شناسایی کرده است که میتواند باعث از کار افتادن یک قابلیت ناوبری خودکار شود؛ موضوعی که هنگام فرود هواپیماها نگرانیهایی درباره خطر احتمالی برای ایمنی پرواز ایجاد کرده است. — والاستریت ژورنال @mwarmonitor
🔴 به گزارش CBS News به نقل از یک منبع، انتظار میرود مذاکرات آمریکا و ایران با وجود رد پیشنهاد ایران از سوی دونالد ترامپ، هفته آینده برگزار شود. @mwarmonitor
✈️ گزارشها حاکی از آن است که شمار زیادی از هواپیماهای ترابری نظامی C-130H آمریکا در حال حرکت به سمت خاورمیانه هستند؛ این تحرکات پس از آن صورت میگیرد که دونالد ترامپ پیشنهاد آتشبس هفتروزه ایران را رد کرد و بار دیگر بهطور جدی در حال بررسی آغاز دور دیگری از حملات گسترده علیه ایران است. 🔴این تحرکات هوایی در حالی انجام میشود که گزارش شده ترامپ در حال بررسی این موضوع است که پس از انتخابات میاندورهای نوامبر، دور دی…
🔴خبرنگار کانالi24 news: یک منبع امنیتی به من گفت که پس از رد پیشنهاد ایران از سوی رئیسجمهور ترامپ برای بازگشایی تنگه هرمز، ستاد مشترک ارتش آمریکا ارزیابیهای خود درباره مسیر اقدام بعدی را از سر گرفته است. این موضوع به معنای آمادهسازی برای حملهای قریبالوقوع نیست. @mwarmonitor
🔴 یک منبع آمریکایی به العربیه گفت دونالد ترامپ، رئیسجمهور آمریکا، به تیم مذاکرهکننده اطلاع داده است که بازگشتی به تفاهمنامه قبلی با ایران وجود نخواهد داشت. 🔴 این منبع گفت ترامپ به تیم خود اعلام کرده که مذاکرهکنندگان ایرانی تصمیمگیرنده نیستند. 🔴 به گفته این منبع، ترامپ معتقد است فشار اقتصادی مؤثرتر از دستیابی به توافق با ایران بر اساس شروط فعلی تهران است. 🔴 این منبع افزود ترامپ معتقد است رفع تحریمهای اقتصادی …
🔴 ترامپ میگوید آخرین پیشنهاد ایران را رد کرده است نویسنده: باراک راوید | آکسیوس 🔸دونالد ترامپ، رئیسجمهور آمریکا، روز شنبه اعلام کرد که آخرین پیشنهاد ایران را که در جریان مذاکرات غیرمستقیم این هفته در نیویورک به آمریکا منتقل شده بود، رد کرده است. چرا مهم است؟ در حالی که قطر و دیگر میانجیگران منطقهای برای احیای مذاکرات میان آمریکا و ایران تلاش میکنند، اختلافات بر سر مسائل کلیدی همچنان عمیق است. ایران میخواهد…
Showing the 12 most recent of 637 posts we hold for @mwarmonitor. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@mwarmonitor edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
- First edit seen
- 19 August 2026
- Most recent edit
- 19 August 2026
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 25 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“نظامی - سیاسی” (@mwarmonitor), 21,375 subscribers as measured 25 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/mwarmonitor.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.