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Channel

نظامی - سیاسی

@mwarmonitor

On this record: Topic · Observations · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Stars · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Posts recorded as deleted · Citations · Cite this entry

21,203subscribers

-766 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1003829932730
TypeChannel
Username@mwarmonitor
DescriptionThe Open-Source Intelligence Network Twitter: https://x.com/mwarmonitor
CreatedBetween 1 February 2026 and 31 July 2026 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live10 November 2026
Measurements held63
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 10 November 2026
On Telegramt.me/mwarmonitor

Topic

International news — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 88% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear in near-verbatim form on 5 other registered channels. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@mwarmonitor/13712 · this entry25 Aug 2026, 07:48 UTC@MihanParastanX/9126625 Aug 2026, 10:10 UTC0.992.4 hours
@mwarmonitor/15482 · this entry7 Nov 2026, 04:22 UTC@MihanParastanX/949507 Nov 2026, 10:16 UTC0.995.9 hours
@mwarmonitor/13495 · this entry18 Aug 2026, 20:18 UTC@MihanParastanX/9106319 Aug 2026, 10:56 UTC0.9915 hours
@mwarmonitor/13738 · this entry25 Aug 2026, 16:33 UTC@MihanParastanX/9127725 Aug 2026, 17:59 UTC0.9886 minutes
@mwarmonitor/13450 · this entry17 Aug 2026, 12:49 UTC@MihanParastanX/9104117 Aug 2026, 14:21 UTC0.981.5 hours
@mwarmonitor/13622 · this entry22 Aug 2026, 13:47 UTC@MihanParastanX/9116322 Aug 2026, 16:34 UTC0.982.8 hours
Channels this entry shares post bodies with, where at least one matching post pair has no forward credit between the two channels, or to a common source, recorded in our data
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@MihanParastanX23 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.982.8 hoursthis entry (23–0)
@MLStrategy18 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9943 minutesthis entry (18–0)
@Iranian_Militarism8 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9616 minutesthis entry (8–0)
@Rouydadeno5 (5/5 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9729 minutesthis entry (5–0)
@khabarfuri5 (5/5 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9348 minutesthis entry (5–0)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. None of the 0 matches recorded here fall after that date, so for this entry we cannot say whether any of them carried a credit. The duplication is measured; the absence of attribution is not.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 772 comparable posts for this entry, running 6 August 2026 to 11 November 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Recorded under the key clone_source, last confirmed 11 November 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Growth

21,20321,96921,5867 August 202610 November 2026
63 measurements spanning 95 days, net -766. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 21,088–22,084 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 63
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
10 Nov 2026, 12:2021,203-11
8 Nov 2026, 20:3921,214-13
7 Nov 2026, 11:0621,227-7
6 Nov 2026, 08:2421,234+6
5 Nov 2026, 08:1721,228-20
4 Nov 2026, 09:3021,248-3
3 Nov 2026, 11:5621,251-4
2 Nov 2026, 15:0521,255-9
1 Nov 2026, 16:2821,264-7
31 Oct 2026, 16:0821,271-9
30 Oct 2026, 15:3121,280-14
29 Oct 2026, 13:3921,294-4
28 Oct 2026, 15:5921,298+4
27 Oct 2026, 16:4921,294-2
26 Oct 2026, 18:2821,296-15
25 Oct 2026, 17:1521,311-4
23 Oct 2026, 12:4621,315+18
22 Oct 2026, 14:5721,297+15
21 Oct 2026, 11:3921,282-8
20 Oct 2026, 10:0021,290first reading

Engagement

865 posts held, back to 6 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 80 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
22.9%
avg views ÷ 21,203 subscribers
Avg views / post
4,860
148 posts measured
Reaction rate
0%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
148
of 865 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 2 of 148 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 11 November 2026
Posts held865 (6 August 2026 – 11 November 2026)
Views total719,722
Reactions total0
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken11 Nov 2026, 15:38 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
≈3,590
Videos
≈1,990
Links
≈430

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 11 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Video runtime
5h 23m
Average length
2m 12s

Measured directly from 147 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Telegram Stars

Stars received
41
across the posts below
Posts paid on
10
of 865 we hold a reading for · 1%
Most on one post
13
single highest reading

A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @mwarmonitor. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.

Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.

This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.

Counted over the 865 most recent posts we hold for this entry, published 6 August 2026 to 11 November 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.

Recent posts

Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 34 of 148 posts held from the last 30 days (23.0%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).

11 Nov 2026, 11:03 UTC≈2,960 viewsread 11 November 2026

🔴✈️با وجود اتفاقات چند روز اخیر در پایگاه نیروی هوایی سلطنتی میلدنهال (RAF Mildenhall)، همچنان هواپیماهای سوخت‌رسان نیروی هوایی آمریکا در حال عبور از اقیانوس اطلس و استقرار در اروپا و منطقه عملیاتی فرماندهی مرکزی آمریکا (CENTCOM AOR) هستند. ✈️اکنون در فهرست من، ۲۰۵ فروند هواپیمای سوخت‌رسان مستقرشده ثبت شده و مجموع هواپیماهای سوخت‌رسانی که در سال ۲۰۲۶ در اروپا و منطقه عملیاتی سنتکام حضور داشته‌اند، به ۳۵۴ فروند رسیده…

11 Nov 2026, 01:31 UTC≈4,800 viewsread 11 November 2026

🔴 نیویورک‌تایمز: اسکات بسنت، وزیر خزانه‌داری آمریکا، اخیراً پس از دریافت تهدیدهایی از سوی ایران علیه جانش، محل سکونت خود را ترک کرده و به یک پایگاه نظامی منتقل شده است. این موضوع را سه منبع آگاه از این مسئله تأیید کرده‌اند. به گفته این منابع، مقام‌های آمریکایی طی هفته‌های اخیر به این جمع‌بندی رسیده‌اند که اقدامات و توطئه‌های ایران علیه مقام‌های فعلی و پیشین آمریکا وارد مرحله پیشرفته‌تری شده است. این ارزیابی تا حدی…

11 Nov 2026, 01:26 UTC≈4,510 viewsread 11 November 2026
Photo

⚠️لغو یک انتقال غیرمعمول جنگنده‌های F-35؟ ✈️قرار بود در مقطعی از هفته جاری، محموله دیگری از جنگنده‌های F-35 لایتنینگ ۲ برای تحویل به مشتریان در آن سوی اقیانوس اطلس منتقل شود. ✈️صبح امروز به نظر می‌رسید دو فروند هواپیمای سوخت‌رسان برای پشتیبانی از این انتقال به پرواز درآمده‌اند، اما هر دو هواپیما در حال حاضر، به دلایل نامشخص، در مسیر بازگشت به پایگاه مبدأ خود هستند. 🔸نکته قابل‌توجه اینکه هواپیمای سوخت‌رسان مستقر در…

11 Nov 2026, 01:25 UTC≈3,910 viewsread 11 November 2026
Photo

🔴وزارت دادگستری آمریکا (DOJ) مدعی شده است که یک عامل ایرانی از داخل زندانی در نیویورک، هدایت طرحی ناکام برای حمله به یکی از پایگاه‌های مهم نیروی هوایی بریتانیا را بر عهده داشته است؛ پایگاهی که ارتش آمریکا نیز از آن استفاده می‌کند. 🔸این طرح با هدف حمله به یک پایگاه راهبردی نظامی در بریتانیا طراحی شده بود، اما در نهایت ناکام ماند. @mwarmonitor

11 Nov 2026, 01:23 UTC≈3,480 viewsread 11 November 2026

🔴مارکو روبیو، وزیر خارجه آمریکا، در پیامی صریح به ایران و در شرایطی که تهران همچنان با فشارهای واشنگتن روبه‌روست، هشدار داد: 🔴«اگر کارهای بدی انجام دهید، اتفاقات بدی برایتان رخ خواهد داد.» 🔴این هشدار در حالی مطرح می‌شود که احتمال اقدام نظامی مجدد آمریکا همچنان یکی از گزینه‌های موجود در تقابل دو کشور است و ایران نیز همچنان با پیامدها و خسارات ناشی از حملات قبلی مواجه است. 🔴اکنون پرسش اصلی این است که آیا تهران و واش…

11 Nov 2026, 01:21 UTC≈3,050 viewsread 11 November 2026

رهبران غیرنظامی ایران این دستور را چراغ سبزی برای مذاکره و دستیابی به توافق تفسیر کرده‌اند. اما اگر بن‌بست کنونی ادامه پیدا کند و فشارها علیه ایران افزایش یابد، ممکن است سپاه پاسداران این شرایط را چراغ سبزی برای انجام حملات تهاجمی‌تر در منطقه با هدف شکستن وضعیت موجود تلقی کند. دنی سیترینوویچ، کارشناس مسائل ایران در شورای آتلانتیک، گفت: «ایران قصد ندارد این وضعیت را برای همیشه و بدون واکنش بپذیرد. ممکن است تهران به…

11 Nov 2026, 01:21 UTC≈3,910 viewsread 11 November 2026

📝آکسیوس | باراک راوید 🔴ترامپ میان جنگ و دیپلماسی مردد بود؛ اما راه سومی را انتخاب کرد 🔰مارکو روبیو، وزیر امور خارجه آمریکا، روز سه‌شنبه در دیدار با همتایان خود از کشورهای عضو گروه هفت (G7) در پاریس به آن‌ها گفت که دونالد ترامپ، رئیس‌جمهور آمریکا، بازگشت به جنگ با ایران یا دستیابی به توافق را بررسی کرده، اما در نهایت گزینه سومی را انتخاب کرده است: به زانو درآوردن حکومت ایران از طریق تشدید فشارها و خفه کردن اقتصادی آ…

10 Nov 2026, 15:22 UTC≈4,980 viewsread 11 November 2026

🔴مارکو روبیو، وزیر امور خارجه آمریکا: در حال حاضر نیازی به انجام عملیات نظامی علیه ایران نیست. 🔴مارکو روبیو، وزیر امور خارجه آمریکا، می‌گوید به او اطلاع داده شده که کارزار فشار اقتصادی علیه ایران آن‌قدر مؤثر بوده که دیگر نیازی به انجام عملیات نظامی گسترده وجود ندارد. @mwarmonitor

10 Nov 2026, 06:22 UTC≈5,290 viewsread 11 November 2026

🔴بر اساس گزارش جدید اداره پاسخگویی دولت آمریکا (GAO)، پنتاگون نمی‌تواند موجودی جهانی قطعات یدکی جنگنده‌های اف-۳۵ را به‌طور کامل ردیابی و حسابرسی کند. 🔴این موجودی شامل ۲۶ میلیون قطعه یدکی به ارزش مجموعاً ۳۱ میلیارد دلار است. بیش از یک میلیون قطعه به ارزش ۸۵ میلیون دلار همچنان مفقود است و سوابق مربوط به ردیابی و ثبت موجودی نیز نادرست و ناقص توصیف شده‌اند. @mwarmonitor

10 Nov 2026, 05:50 UTC≈5,350 viewsread 11 November 2026

🔴🔴آمریکا در پی دریافت اطلاعات امنیتی درباره تهدیدهای احتمالی ایران، هواپیماهای سوخت‌رسان آمریکایی را از پایگاه هوایی سلطنتی «میلدنهال» (RAF Mildenhall) در بریتانیا به آلمان منتقل کرده است. 🔴در همین حال، سطح تدابیر امنیتی در پایگاه‌های هوایی میلدنهال و «لِیکنهیث» (RAF Lakenheath) به سطح FPCON Charlie افزایش یافته است. این تحولات هم‌زمان با دریافت گزارش‌های توجیهی اعضای گروه موسوم به «گروه هشت» (Gang of Eight) درباره …

10 Nov 2026, 01:47 UTC≈5,110 viewsread 11 November 2026

* خبرنگار: درباره لایحه صدور مجوز (Permitting Bill) و مخالفت با توربین‌های بادی... * ترامپ: من هرگز توربین‌های بادی را تایید نخواهم کرد، چون توربین‌های بادی یک بازنده بزرگ هستند! * خبرنگار: آیا قصد دارید کوبا را تصاحب کنید؟ * ترامپ: کوبا یک کشور رو به زوال، کمونیستی و سوسیالیستی است که ایدئولوژی‌اش شبیه دموکرات‌هاست. کوبا به زودی سقوط خواهد کرد. آمریکایی‌های کوبایی‌تبار ۹۴ درصد به من رای دادند و ما به دلایل بشردوس…

10 Nov 2026, 01:47 UTC≈4,580 viewsread 11 November 2026

آن‌ها هرگز سلاح هسته‌ای نخواهند داشت، اما باید از کسانی که طی این سال‌ها با ما خوب بوده‌اند مراقبت کنیم.» * خبرنگار: شما به ۶۰ مینتس گفتید سیاست اخراج مهاجران شاید خیلی جلو رفته، اما استیون میلر (معمار آن سیاست) را به عنوان رئیس دفتر انتخاب کردید. آیا تغییری در سیاست اخراج می‌خواهید؟ * ترامپ: «ما یک سیاست اخراج بسیار قوی داریم؛ هیچ عفو عمومی‌ای در کار نیست. تمرکز ما روی بدترینِ بدترین‌هاست؛ می‌خواهیم قاتلان را بیرو…

Showing the 12 most recent of 865 posts we hold for @mwarmonitor. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Posts edited after publishing

@mwarmonitor edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.

An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.

First edit seen
19 August 2026
Most recent edit
19 August 2026

Posts recorded as deleted after publishing

We recorded 2 posts on @mwarmonitor as deleted — posts this register held that were missing from the channel’s public page on two separate reads, taken from different network addresses at least an hour apart.

A deletion is not wrongdoing. This register can see that a post it held is no longer on the channel’s public page, and when — not why. Expired ad placements, reposts, rotating links and corrections all look the same. This is a count of recorded detections, not an exact total: it misses deletions we could not see, because only a post we held and later re-read inside the page can be seen to go, and it may include a small number of wrong records. How this is measured.

First seen missing
25 August 2026
Most recent seen missing
26 August 2026
Median time before seen missing
13 hours
Seen missing in the last 30 days
0

Forward network

Republished by

Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 3 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 10 November 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“نظامی - سیاسی” (@mwarmonitor), 21,203 subscribers as measured 10 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/mwarmonitor.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.