Telegram RegisterThe public register of Telegram

Channel

Macro Kraken 🐙📈

@macro_kraken

On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

34,788subscribers

-567 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 31,623–100,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001166583813
TypeChannel
Username@macro_kraken
DescriptionClear crypto market updates, DeFi risks, on-chain signals, protocol fundamentals and major industry news. No hype. Just useful crypto intelligence.
CreatedBetween 1 March 2018 and 30 June 2021— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live12 August 2026
Measurements held6
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 12 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/macro_kraken

Topic

Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 99% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear word for word on 1 other registered channel. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@nurx_fx/369884 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24491 · this entry4 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@macro_kraken/24504 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC@nurx_fx/370025 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@nurx_fx/370046 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24506 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@macro_kraken/24507 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC@nurx_fx/370056 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@nurx_fx/370066 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24508 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@nurx_fx/370097 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24511 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC1.00under a minute
Every channel this entry shares post bodies with
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@nurx_fx12 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)1.00under a minutethis entry (84)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 2 of the 3 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 15 comparable posts for this entry, running 4 August 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Across the whole group of 2, the earliest publisher we hold is @nurx_fx. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Recorded under the key clone_source, last confirmed 7 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Also posting the same content

This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 1 other registered channel, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

Growth

34,78835,35535,071.57 August 2026 — 35,355 subscribers8 August 2026 — 35,266 subscribers9 August 2026 — 35,135 subscribers10 August 2026 — 35,036 subscribers11 August 2026 — 34,894 subscribers12 August 2026 — 34,788 subscribers7 August 202612 August 2026
6 measurements spanning 5 days, net -567. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 34,703–35,440 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
12 Aug 2026, 05:1234,788-106
11 Aug 2026, 06:2234,894-142
10 Aug 2026, 03:1135,036-99
9 Aug 2026, 01:2035,135-131
8 Aug 2026, 00:4735,266-89
7 Aug 2026, 10:1535,355first reading

Engagement

31 posts held, back to 4 August 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 17 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
13.5%
avg views ÷ 34,788 subscribers
Avg views / post
4,690
31 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.041%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
31
of 31 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 16 of 31 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 12 August 2026
Posts held31 (4 August 202612 August 2026)
Views total145,298
Reactions total27
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken12 Aug 2026, 20:59 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
2,990
Videos
11
Links
382

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 12 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Reaction mix

27 reactions across 16 posts, in 3 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 77.8% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
2177.8%
🔥414.8%
👍27.41%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 16 of the 31 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 27reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 31 most recent posts we hold, published 4 August 2026 to 12 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

12 Aug 2026, 17:01 UTC≈3,040 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🏢 US Sector Rotation · 7d • Tech: +6.23% • Healt: +3.65% • Energ: +3.46% • Mater: +3.26% • Comm: +1.68% • Indus: +1.64% • Finan: +0.69% • Stapl: +0.14% • Consu: -0.01% • RealE: -1.41% • Utili: -1.51% Leader: Tech +6.23% Laggard: Utili -1.51% Read: Defensives (Utilities/Staples/Healthcare) outperforming = risk-off. Cyclicals (Tech/Financials/Industrials/Consumer D) outperforming = risk-on. Watch the Tech vs Financi

Signed Multi Poster

12 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC≈5,420 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 U.S. CPI inflation slows to 3.4% as expected, bitcoin holds near $64,000 CoinDesk 🪙 Fidelity files with SEC to add staking to Ethereum ETF Cointelegraph 🏛 India’s CPI rises further to 4.45% in July as food prices accelerate ForexLive 🏛 Bitcoin subdued at $64k as Iran hopes dither; July CPI cools Investing.com #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

Signed Multi Poster

12 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC≈7,830 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🪙 Bitcoin holds near $64,000 as U.S. inflation data looms, Harmony exploit rattles altcoins Source: CoinDesk #Crypto #News #Bitcoin

Signed Multi Poster

11 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC≈9,350 views1 reactionsread 12 August 2026
Photo

📊 Momentum Breadth · Top 100 26% of top-100 coins have positive 30d returns. Median 30d: -1.0% Top strong: BTW +228% · PUMP +89% · XMR +18% · OKB +17% · ADA +12% Read: Weak breadth. Often a contrarian buy signal at extremes (<20%). Source: CoinGecko top 100 #Crypto #MarketBreadth #Momentum #Analysis #Altseason

1

Signed Multi Poster

11 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC≈10,600 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 Morning Minute: Saylor's Strategy Sells Bitcoin for Second Week in a Row Decrypt 🏛 Bitcoin heads for 2% weekly gain as risk assets rally, Fed rate hike bets ease Investing.com 🛢 Global Gas Turbine Orders Hit Record High as Power Demand Surges OilPrice 🏛 Bitcoin slips to $64k as Hormuz hopes fade, Strategy sells more coins Investing.com #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

Signed Multi Poster

11 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC≈9,930 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🪙 Coldcard hack losses: How investigators trace stolen Bitcoin The Coldcard hack has no definitive loss figure yet as investigators rely on victim reports and on-chain analysis that produce varying estimates Source: Cointelegraph #Crypto #News #Bitcoin

Signed Multi Poster

10 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC≈10,500 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🌏 EM vs US equities · EEM/SPY Current: 0.0844 1Y range: 0.0798 – 0.0913 Read: Neutral EM regime. Why it matters: EM outperformance historically coincides with weak USD and commodity cycles. It's a key global capital rotation signal. Source: Yahoo Finance EEM/SPY #Stocks #EmergingMarkets #Global #Macro #Rotation

Signed Multi Poster

10 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC≈10,700 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 Markets flip for Fed rate-hike pause into CPI: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week Cointelegraph 🪙 Bitcoin ETFs Draw $854M Over Five Days as Rate-Hike Bets Fade Decrypt 🏛 ‘I want her to choose the best strategy’: My wife’s Social Security is just $900. Should she claim s MarketWatch #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

Signed Multi Poster

10 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC≈10,900 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🪙 U.S. CPI inflation, Securitize, Gemini among earnings reports: Crypto Week Ahead Source: CoinDesk #Crypto #News #Macro

Signed Multi Poster

9 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC≈9,150 viewsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🏛️ US Yield term structure • 3M: 3.71% • 5Y: 4.36% • 10Y: 4.66% • 30Y: 5.21% Read: Curve is normally steepened — growth expectations positive. Why it matters: The shape of the yield curve is the market’s single best macro forecast — pricing in growth (steepness), inflation (long-end) and recession risk (inversion) simultaneously. Source: Yahoo Finance CBOE #Macro #YieldCurve #Bonds #Fed #Rates

Signed Multi Poster

9 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC≈10,800 views3 reactionsread 12 August 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🏛 Bitcoin slips below $65,000 as ETF inflows offset fork concerns Investing.com 🪙 US spot Bitcoin ETFs post best week since April with $1B inflows Cointelegraph 🪙 Bitcoin, ether ETFs draw $1.1 billion in best inflow week since April, despite low volume The Block #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

2🔥1

Signed Multi Poster

9 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC≈9,280 views2 reactionsread 12 August 2026
Photo

🪙 Bitcoin Red Team Says AI Is Finding Critical Exploits Across Core Projects A volunteer security effort says it has scanned 150 Bitcoin repositories, disclosed more than a dozen vulnerabilities, and is building an open-source AI platform to automate software security reviews Source: Decrypt #Crypto #News #Bitcoin #AI

2

Signed Multi Poster

Showing the 12 most recent of 31 posts we hold for @macro_kraken. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Republishes

Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 12 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Macro Kraken 🐙📈” (@macro_kraken), 34,788 subscribers as measured 12 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/macro_kraken.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.