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Channel

کانال هواداران استقلال

@esthlal2

On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Stars · Posts · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Cite this entry

390,375subscribers

-45,180 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 316,228–1,000,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1002237749331
TypeChannel
Username@esthlal2
CreatedBetween 1 June 2024 and 30 September 2024 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live27 September 2026
Measurements held37
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 27 September 2026
On Telegramt.me/esthlal2

Topic

Sports — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 8 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 100% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear word for word on 3 other registered channels. They sit inside a group of 464 channels that share the same post bodies with each other. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@ss_2e/695197 Aug 2026, 13:31 UTC@esthlal2/30178 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 14:55 UTC0.9884 minutes
@ss_2e/693595 Aug 2026, 18:04 UTC@esthlal2/30081 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 19:25 UTC0.9881 minutes
@ss_2e/694907 Aug 2026, 05:57 UTC@esthlal2/30143 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 06:00 UTC0.974 minutes
@esthlal2/30088 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 21:34 UTC@ss_2e/693996 Aug 2026, 05:57 UTC0.978.4 hours
@ss_2e/695227 Aug 2026, 14:04 UTC@esthlal2/30179 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 15:05 UTC0.9761 minutes
@ss_2e/695377 Aug 2026, 18:46 UTC@esthlal2/30201 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 18:55 UTC0.9410 minutes
Every channel this entry shares post bodies with
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@ss_2e7 (7/7 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9635 minutes@ss_2e (6–1)
@esthlalk5 (5/5 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.976 minutesthis entry (5–0)
@es_qb5 (5/5 hand-verifiable sample passed)0.9711 minutes@es_qb (5–0)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 10 of the 11 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 56 comparable posts for this entry, running 5 August 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Across the whole group of 464, the earliest publisher we hold is @akharinkhabar. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Recorded under the keys clone_copy · clone_source, last confirmed 8 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Also posting the same content

This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 463 other registered channels, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

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413 more channels are in this same group but not listed individually here.

Growth

330,295489,142409,718.56 August 2026 — 435,555 subscribers6 August 2026 — 435,555 subscribers6 August 2026 — 432,273 subscribers7 August 2026 — 425,925 subscribers8 August 2026 — 478,690 subscribers9 August 2026 — 475,646 subscribers10 August 2026 — 470,020 subscribers11 August 2026 — 461,866 subscribers12 August 2026 — 489,142 subscribers13 August 2026 — 483,372 subscribers14 August 2026 — 476,323 subscribers16 August 2026 — 471,002 subscribers17 August 2026 — 465,464 subscribers18 August 2026 — 459,987 subscribers19 August 2026 — 413,333 subscribers20 August 2026 — 368,953 subscribers21 August 2026 — 351,003 subscribers23 August 2026 — 344,955 subscribers24 August 2026 — 336,326 subscribers25 August 2026 — 330,295 subscribers26 August 2026 — 348,647 subscribers28 August 2026 — 416,316 subscribers28 August 2026 — 410,662 subscribers29 August 2026 — 406,552 subscribers30 August 2026 — 402,343 subscribers31 August 2026 — 398,716 subscribers1 September 2026 — 450,077 subscribers2 September 2026 — 478,475 subscribers4 September 2026 — 474,568 subscribers6 September 2026 — 465,328 subscribers9 September 2026 — 453,682 subscribers11 September 2026 — 441,538 subscribers13 September 2026 — 423,638 subscribers15 September 2026 — 409,100 subscribers17 September 2026 — 407,644 subscribers19 September 2026 — 404,886 subscribers27 September 2026 — 390,375 subscribers390,3756 August 202627 September 2026
37 measurements spanning 52 days, net -45,180. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 306,468–512,969 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 37
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
27 Sept 2026, 00:20390,375-14,511
19 Sept 2026, 17:38404,886-2,758
17 Sept 2026, 07:21407,644-1,456
15 Sept 2026, 08:40409,100-14,538
13 Sept 2026, 16:37423,638-17,900
11 Sept 2026, 23:56441,538-12,144
9 Sept 2026, 12:58453,682-11,646
6 Sept 2026, 05:57465,328-9,240
4 Sept 2026, 01:40474,568-3,907
2 Sept 2026, 19:06478,475+28,398
1 Sept 2026, 20:38450,077+51,361
31 Aug 2026, 17:37398,716-3,627
30 Aug 2026, 19:34402,343-4,209
29 Aug 2026, 20:24406,552-4,110
28 Aug 2026, 23:07410,662-5,654
28 Aug 2026, 00:04416,316+67,669
26 Aug 2026, 22:14348,647+18,352
25 Aug 2026, 21:49330,295-6,031
24 Aug 2026, 22:47336,326-8,629
23 Aug 2026, 09:43344,955first reading

Engagement

1,750 posts held, back to 5 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 106 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
2.29%
avg views ÷ 390,375 subscribers
Avg views / post
8,960
1,056 posts measured
Reaction rate
3.71%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
1,056
of 1,750 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 1,048 of 1,056 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 26 September 2026
Posts held1,750 (5 August 2026 – 26 September 2026)
Views total9,459,439
Reactions total349,120
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken26 Sept 2026, 19:37 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Video runtime
1h 08m
Average length
1m 08s

Measured directly from 61 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Reaction mix

331,442 reactions across 992 posts, in 7 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 20.3% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
❤67,35120.3%
🔥67,20020.3%
🥰66,61220.1%
👍65,92819.9%
👎63,53919.2%
😁4730.143%
👏3390.102%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 992 of the 1,000 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 331,442 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 1,000 most recent posts we hold (the sample is capped at 1,000), published 29 August 2026 to 26 September 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Telegram Stars

Stars received
1
across the posts below
Posts paid on
1
of 1,000 we hold a reading for · 0.1%
Most on one post
1
single highest reading

A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @esthlal2. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.

Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.

This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.

Counted over the 1,000 most recent posts we hold for this entry (the sample is capped at 1,000), published 29 August 2026 to 26 September 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.

Recent posts

26 Sept 2026, 19:32 UTC618 views9 reactionsread 26 September 2026

مدافع جفت تیما ریدن

👏3🔥3👍2👎1

26 Sept 2026, 19:32 UTC≈1,240 views11 reactionsread 26 September 2026
Photo

ببین چقدر تخمی ای تو فران که بابازرگم میگه اینو گل میکردم @esthlal2

👍5🔥3👎1👏1🥰1

26 Sept 2026, 19:26 UTC≈1,820 views26 reactionsread 26 September 2026

تا اوایل هفته اینده فدراسیون رسما در بیانیه‌ای استقلال رو قهرمان فصل قبل لیگ برتر اعلام خواهد کرد. @esthlal2

❤11👍5👎4🔥4👏2

26 Sept 2026, 19:19 UTC≈1,780 views41 reactionsread 26 September 2026

🚨🇮🇷تاجرنیا مدیرعامل استقلال: همه چیز برای اهدای جام استقلال تا قبل از بازی بعدی آماده هست و صراحتا میگویم به من این قول را دادند که این اتفاق بیفتد. @esthlal2

❤16👍8👎6👏6🔥4🥰1

26 Sept 2026, 19:18 UTC≈1,690 views29 reactionsread 26 September 2026
Photo

ربات🐹MrGiDiGiDi با تنظیمات و امکانات جدید در دسترس است 📊 پلن‌های نامحدود و حجمی متناسب با نیاز شما 📍همه سرویس‌ها با IP ثابت 🥇سرورهای متنوع از بهترین دیتاسنترهای دنیا ⚡️سرعت بالا و کیفیت عالی 🛡امنیت کامل و پایداری قابل اعتماد 👀هوش مصنوعی حرفه‌ای برای یافتن بهترین مسیر اتصال 💰سیستم کیف پول برای خرید راحت‌تر 📶سازگار با همه دستگاه‌ها و اپراتورها 💬پشتیبانی حرفه‌ای و ۲۴ ساعته ✔️وارد ربات شوید، تست رایگان بگیرید، کیف پول …

🥰9👏6❤5🔥5👍4

26 Sept 2026, 18:27 UTC≈2,590 views113 reactionsread 26 September 2026
Photo

پیام‌تبریک مالک باشگاه استقلال به مناسبت سالگرد تاسیس آبی‌پوشان پایتخت @esthlal2

👍46👏32❤16🔥8🥰6👎5

26 Sept 2026, 18:03 UTC≈6,100 views105 reactionsread 26 September 2026

👀 مخالف قرارداد ۴ ساله قلعه‌نویی بودم 🚜 حجت کریمی: همه مخالف بودند اما روز آخر دیدیم همه موافق شدند! 🟥 درحالی‌که پس از تمدید کوتاه‌مدت قرارداد امیر قلعه‌نویی اخبار متعددی از مخالفت بعضی از اعضای هیئت رئیسه با ادامه همکاری با این مربی منتشر شده، حجت کریمی، مدیرعامل تراکتور و عضو هیئت مدیره فدراسیون فوتبال امروز درباره این ماجرا توضیحات مهمی داد: 💬من به هیچ عنوان مخالف امیر قلعه‌نویی نبودم؛ او از دوستان خیلی خوب ما ا…

👍70🥰12👏11👎6❤3🔥3

26 Sept 2026, 17:45 UTC≈5,680 views102 reactionsread 26 September 2026

هیچ دوره‌ای به این اندازه از تیم امید حمایت نکرده بودیم؛ 🇮🇷 تاج: ونزوئلا رسماً بازی با ایران را لغو کرد 💬 ونزوئلا با وجود توافق و نامه‌ای که داشتیم، پریروز رسماً اعلام کرد نمی‌تواند با تیم ملی ایران بازی کند؛ دلیل لغو را نمی‌دانم. 💬 با قطر برای میزبانی به توافق رسیده‌ایم؛ اگز بتوانیم بازی سوم را تدارک ببینیم، تیم ملی بعد از روسیه راهی قطر می‌شود. 💬 نمی‌توانیم به رسانه‌ها بگوییم انتقاد نکنند؛ هر مدیری که خودش را پا…

🔥35👏26👎20👍8🥰7❤6

26 Sept 2026, 17:31 UTC≈6,060 views114 reactionsread 26 September 2026

🎙️حمید مطهری، مربی فولاد: قبل از استقلال یاسرآسانی را میخواستیم اما پولمان نرسید، آسانی را خیلی دوست دارم؛ او واقعا بازیکن در خدمت تیم است. @esthlal2

👏48👍21🥰14❤12👎10🔥9

26 Sept 2026, 17:15 UTC≈5,150 views105 reactionsread 26 September 2026
Photo

خدمت رسانه فرهیختگان ورزشی عرض کنم که ما همون سال ۲۰۲۲ با فرهاد مجیدی قهرمان لیگ برتر شدیم و دهمین قهرمانی خودمون رو‌ جشن گرفتیم. و اگر بخوایم قهرمانی پارسالی که هنوز بهمون به ناحق ندادن رو بشمریم ۱۱ قهرمانی حساب میشه. حالا شما میپرسی این دهمی از کجا اومده؟ این متن رو با دقت بخون سال ۱۳۳۶ مسابقات لیگ کشور به صورت متمرکز در اصفهان با حضور ۱۲ تیم در ۲ گروه الف و ب شکل گرفت. تیم های شرکت کننده ، تاج تهران - شاهین آبا…

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26 Sept 2026, 17:06 UTC≈4,720 views105 reactionsread 26 September 2026

امروز حکم شریعتمداری اومد و دقیقا همزمان تاجرنیا برای زهره هراتیان حکم زده! عینا هر بار که احتمال بیرون انداختن تاجرنیا از استقلال بالا میره به عنوان تصمیمات لحظه آخری یه مشت آدم فاسد لنگی رو میندازه داخل باشگاه و بعدشم طوری که حتی خودشم باورش نمیشه با فشار پزشکیان موندگار میشه. وسط درگیریای مهم کشور و تورم وحشتناک همچنان یکی از مهمترین دغدغه های مسعود پزشکیان اینه که تاجرنیا رو هر طوری شده توی این پست نگه داره چون…

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Showing the 12 most recent of 1,750 posts we hold for @esthlal2. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 4 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 27 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“کانال هواداران استقلال” (@esthlal2), 390,375 subscribers as measured 27 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/esthlal2.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.