11 Aug 2026, 17:14 UTC137 views2 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Bitcoin’s supply is getting older again.
The HODL Waves are showing an important shift in market structure.
Since the 2025 peak, the percentage of BTC held by younger cohorts has been declining, while older supply bands are gradually expanding.
This means fewer coins are changing hands and more BTC is migrating into longer holding periods.
Historically, this transition has often appeared during the later stages o…
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10 Aug 2026, 12:08 UTC214 views3 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Monero (XMR) has been rising over the past few days, and one of the main reasons was the large buildup of unliquidated short positions.
More recently, major short liquidation pools were hit, signaling that many traders were caught on the wrong side of the market while betting against XMR.
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8 Aug 2026, 16:52 UTC259 views5 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Solana’s Open Interest is showing an important divergence.
SOL Open Interest currently stands at approximately $4.04B, with an annual change of -$3.66B. This means USD denominated Open Interest has fallen by roughly 47.5% over the past year.
But when we measure it in SOL, the picture changes completely.
Open Interest is now around 52.87M SOL, with a positive annual change of +9.38M SOL, representing growth of appr…
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5 Aug 2026, 22:22 UTC402 views3 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
It has now been 303 days since Bitcoin’s all-time high, and BTC continues to move through one of the longest drawdown periods of this cycle.
Bitcoin is currently about 48.4% below its ATH, while the deepest drawdown of this cycle reached 53.1% on Day 267.
Compared with previous major bear markets:
2017/18: 363 days, 83.4% drawdown
2021/22: 376 days, 75.7% drawdown
2013/15: 406 days, 85.3% drawdown
In terms of tim…
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4 Aug 2026, 18:51 UTC422 views9 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Is Bitcoin approaching a new accumulation zone?
The LTH/STH SOPR Ratio compares the behavior of long term holders with that of short term holders.
SOPR shows whether coins moved on the network are being sold at a profit or at a loss. When this ratio falls, it means the profitability advantage of long term holders is shrinking relative to short term market participants.
Historically, the lowest levels of this metri…
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2 Aug 2026, 06:29 UTC400 views3 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Google searches for cryptocurrencies are starting to rise again.
After a long period of declining public interest, the data is beginning to show renewed attention toward Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and other major names in the market.
We are still well below the levels of euphoria seen during previous major peaks, which makes this move even more interesting.
Retail attention may be starting to return ahead of a bro…
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31 Jul 2026, 15:50 UTC426 views5 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Bitcoin’s Adoption Score has remained at 1 for the past 15 days.
This means Bitcoin’s network adoption is currently at a low level relative to its historical trend, reflecting weaker network activity and connectivity compared to more active periods.
Moments like this are often observed near cycle bottoms, when investor participation is limited and bearish narratives tend to dominate market sentiment.
The metric is…
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29 Jul 2026, 18:19 UTC400 views3 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
The Stocks Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 34, returning to the Fear zone.
Risk appetite is weakening while uncertainty is rising across the stock market.
Price remains elevated, but sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile
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28 Jul 2026, 23:52 UTC536 views2 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Bitcoin is approaching a historically important on-chain zone.
The LTH/STH Realized Cap Ratio compares the Realized Cap held by Long-Term Holders with the capital held by Short-Term Holders.
Historically, when this ratio moved above 4, Bitcoin was forming a major cycle bottom.
The ratio has now reached 3.9, placing the market very close to that threshold once again.
A rising ratio indicates that a larger share of…
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27 Jul 2026, 15:54 UTC434 views3 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
The 180 day Long Term Holder Net Position Change has just reached approximately +2.65 million BTC, one of the highest accumulation levels in the metric’s entire history.
However, this data must be interpreted carefully.
It does not necessarily mean that Long Term Holders recently purchased 2.65 million BTC. Part of this increase occurs when previously dormant coins reach the required age to be classified as long te…
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25 Jul 2026, 21:44 UTC441 views7 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
Bitcoin Open Interest across the top 30 exchanges is rising during the bear market.
What is happening now looks very similar to the 2021 to 2022 bear market, especially when Open Interest is measured in BTC rather than USD.
It is not only Bitcoin’s price that appears to move in cycles.
Leverage, trader positioning and derivatives data also seem to repeat the same behavioral patterns across different market cycles.…
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24 Jul 2026, 14:19 UTC500 views5 reactionsread 12 August 2026 Photo
ADA (Cardano) has disappointed many investors.
In 2021, Cardano experienced its peak, with massive on-chain transaction activity driven by a huge wave of new adopters.
Since then, however, the number of transactions has continued to decline. At the same time, we have also seen a significant drop in social media posts and crypto influencers discussing ADA.
Data like this shows just how dynamic the crypto market is …
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Showing the 12 most recent of 16 posts we hold for @alphractal. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.