思考题:我说的这两种情况,哪种是逼空,哪种是弃盘?
❤2

Channel
@SigmaHunter7
On this record: Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
4,286subscribers
-6 since we began measuring on 8 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.
| Telegram ID | -1002445154501 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @SigmaHunter7 |
| Created | Between 1 September 2024 and 31 March 2025— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 8 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 11 August 2026 |
| Measurements held | 4 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 11 August 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/SigmaHunter7 |
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026, 07:53 | 4,286 | -5 |
| 8 Aug 2026, 13:14 | 4,291 | -1 |
| 8 Aug 2026, 06:50 | 4,292 | no change |
| 8 Aug 2026, 06:49 | 4,292 | first reading |
20 posts held, back to 1 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 30 July 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 20 (1 July 2026 – 30 July 2026) |
| Views total | 5,758 |
| Reactions total | 62 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 8 Aug 2026, 06:50 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
137 reactions across 18 posts, in 8 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 57.7% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 👍 | 79 | 57.7% | |
| ❤ | 21 | 15.3% | |
| 🙏 | 19 | 13.9% | |
| 👏 | 9 | 6.57% | |
| 🎉 | 6 | 4.38% | |
| 🏆 | 1 | 0.73% | |
| 🤔 | 1 | 0.73% | |
| 🤣 | 1 | 0.73% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 19 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 137reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 1 July 2026 to 30 July 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
思考题:我说的这两种情况,哪种是逼空,哪种是弃盘?
❤2
许多复杂指标都具有欺骗性,但价格、交易量、OI与资金费率在绝大多数情况下都是真实的。 价格下跌的过程中OI增加、资金费率变负,意味着空头正在激进地堆积。 价格上涨过程中OI增加、资金费率变负,意味着现货正在被激进地买入。 这两者一个意味着逼空行情的开启,一个意味着弃盘。 在变化之中,价格行为是为数不多的非偏差值。交易的趣味正在于其中。 你是否明白自己在与谁博弈?我也未必明白,因此我谨慎地挑选自己的对手。
👍5❤1
总结一下: 我注意到价格被压制时,oi上升,且资金费率变负。这说明庄家在激进开空。 此时我本应该撤了,但还是抱有侥幸心理,想看看是不是这么回事。因为我认为bank的控筹很高,不应该直接放弃。 最后事实的确如此,我的理解是对的,但没有足够强大的意志去相信自己来止损。 Bank见底的标志应该是资金费率中性甚至偏正,这说明这段时间建立的空单平完了。不确定是否还会再做几波。
❤1
嘿嘿,做Bank亏麻了
❤1
交易之中,傲慢就会输。 放弃向他人证明自己的欲望,放弃因对抗外界而形成愤怒,广博地收集信息与意见,而只对内心中的认识负责。 等待,耐心,独立,平和。 不执着于一时的结果,不执着于他人口中的证明,不执着于与人论辩的对错。只是观察、判断、行动、调整。 市场是修道场,交易者是哲学家。
🙏19
货币权力实际上是一种记账权,谁有资格记账,谁就制造了货币。 所谓 Fintech,所谓 Neo-Finance,无不是以科技为名义争夺记账权。 也因此这势必与主权国家的合规相博弈。 支付行业的关键不在于支付过程本身,而在于通过对支付场景的渗透,获取了存款的记账权。
👍7
帕累托最优是不存在投机博弈的,投机就是寻找偏离帕累托最优的系统,在推动系统向帕累托最优的过程中赚取超额收益。 有趣的是,接近帕累托最优的系统往往是大众普遍认为安全稳健的选择。"安全"“稳健”的真正含义是:所有超额收益已经被利用,系统处于均衡态。 真正的风险不是波动性,而是没有能力识别和捕获非最优系统的缝隙。
🎉6
浅谈一下美元、美债与现代货币理论: 美元是美国制造的独特商品,参与世界贸易之中,通过这一一般等价物的制造与出售,美国得到了其他国家制造的商品。 制造货币,是人类历史上利润最高的制造业,也就是金融业。 美国其实一直是一个重商主义国家,只不过美国的核心商品是货币。 从这一角度来看,美国一直在制造美元的顺差,并维护美元在货币市场的垄断地位。 美元的副产品是美债,制造并出口大量货币的代价,就是同时制造大量债务(注意:这是当前信用货币制度框架下的必然,而非逻辑必然)。债务是信用,因此美元是信用货币。如果制造了过多债务,而债务本身的需求不足,债务的价格就会暴跌,也就意味着债务的收益率会暴涨。 一方面,债务收益率暴涨会让美国乃至世界的经济失去活力;另一方面,债务价格暴跌会让美国无法再制造更多债务,也就无法生成更多美元。 解决方法是:通过政治、军事和金融手段,让美元的持有者愿意持有美债,也就因此增加了债务的需求,让货币制造过程得以…
❤10
股市上涨时,人人都是股神。 跌了就抄,而且加杠杆抄,因为总是预期这次与上次一样。 写出几万字的分析,论证基本面没有问题,需求还在增长,订单还在增加。 于是忘记了价格反映了预期,涨跌一开始是对增长的反应,然后是对增长的导数的反应,然后是对增长的二阶导数的反应。 在欣欣向荣中,价格意外地崩塌,这并非因为基本面有了巨大的改变,而仅仅是因为价格的边际反应越来越强烈。
👍9❤1
大规模投资将驱动增长,了解谁在买入,买入什么。 对未来预期的乐观估计与充分折现将推动最后一波高潮。 市场总是如此,循环往复。
👍6
人们用边际衡量价格,却以总量作为论证,这就是泡沫产生的原因。 分析师们说的全对,但价格的变化是对预期的体现,而不是对现状的体现。预期本质上是边际的,因为大多数人总是不由自主地短视。 未来十年的利润锁定在此季度的报表,未来十年的预期锁定在此刻的价格。 你说星辰大海,我没有异议。将未来的价值锁定于今日,这就是金融的魅力,只是总有后来者要付出代价而已。
👍3
您呀,您要我说什么好呢?您被他自吹自擂的“主体性”“agency”、援引的大人物的名字欺骗了! 没错,这是一个见高眼红,野心勃勃的年轻人。他从头到脚都充满着出人头地的愿望,被深入骨髓的虚荣心折磨得彻夜难眠。 他永远不会向您袒露的,是那从少年时代就种下的严重的心理创伤:一方面深刻地了解自己缺乏才华,另一方面又不可遏制地要证明自己是个最有独创性的人。 他不得不表现得非常好学,但又不能被视为完全的勤奋(也沉不下心做到)。他如饥似渴地道听途说,没头没尾地读上一两页书,马上就相信这是产自他自己头脑里的见解。 他必须深信自己是天才,甚至高于一切天才。他把自己强烈的欲望当做远大的志向,锲而不舍地哄骗这个世界买他的账,您可千万不能上当! #惊堂木一拍
👏2
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @SigmaHunter7. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank — 1,007,558 of 1,183,361entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 11 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“阿卡德米” (@SigmaHunter7), 4,286 subscribers as measured 11 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/SigmaHunter7.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.