11 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC1 viewsread 11 September 2026 ⚪ 4T MARKETS | MACRO
Forecast Distribution Matters: Market Eyes Core CPI as Rate Hike Odds Rise
With 88% of forecasts clustered around 0.2% for core CPI month-on-month, an in-line print may not satisfy a market now pricing 67% odds of a September rate hike, driven partly by oil jumping above $100. Only a softer-than-expected core reading could ease hawkish repricing; anything hotter risks pushing expectations for ev…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 07:30 UTC1 viewsread 11 September 2026 🛢️ 4T MARKETS | OIL
Oil breaks $100 as Iran eyes diplomatic leverage
Brent and WTI have both climbed sharply this week, with Brent hitting around $109 and WTI above $104, posting their strongest weekly performance in months. High-level talks between Iran and Gulf states are set for Monday, with Tehran now in a stronger negotiating position to demand US concessions—including port access and unfrozen assets—before all…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC1 viewsread 11 September 2026 🔵 4T MARKETS | FX
UK July GDP Surprises to the Upside at 0.4%
The UK economy expanded 0.4% in July, beating expectations of flat growth and accelerating from 0.3% in June. Year-on-year growth came in at 1.6%, well ahead of the 1.0% forecast, suggesting the economy is holding up despite higher borrowing costs and energy prices.
🟢 Sentiment: Bullish GBP
— 4T Trading
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC2 viewsread 11 September 2026 ⚪ 4T MARKETS | MACRO
Oil surge reshapes rate hike expectations ahead of US CPI
UK GDP data is unlikely to sway the BoE today, but markets are already pricing in two rate hikes by year-end after crude broke above $100. The real focus shifts to the US CPI report, particularly the monthly core reading—with oil prices driving a 65% hawkish repricing, even an in-line print may not be enough to cool rate hike bets for Sep…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC2 viewsread 11 September 2026 🛢️ 4T MARKETS | OIL
Oil holds near multi-year highs amid unconfirmed Houthi pipeline attack
Satellite imagery is fueling unverified reports of a strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline near Medina, though no official confirmation has come from authorities or wire services. The pipeline is a critical export route with capacity of up to 7 million barrels per day, and a similar attack in April cut throughput by aro…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC1 viewsread 11 September 2026 🛢️ 4T MARKETS | OIL
Crude breaks back above $100 for first time in 4 months
Oil's finishing the week in triple digits after a prolonged stretch below that level. The move signals renewed strength in energy markets.
🟢 Sentiment: Bullish oil
— 4T Trading
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTC1 viewsread 11 September 2026 🔵 4T MARKETS | FX
Japan's wholesale inflation stays elevated, BOJ rate hike locked in for next week
August corporate goods prices beat forecasts at 7.6% year-on-year, while import costs remain stubbornly high at 24.8% annually despite easing from July. Persistent yen weakness and Middle East-linked fuel costs are fueling domestic price pressures, pushing analysts to expect an earlier hike to 1.75% in Q2 2027 followi…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
11 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTC1 viewsread 11 September 2026 🔵 4T MARKETS | FX
Japan's August PPI accelerates to 7.6% y/y, beating forecasts
Producer prices in Japan climbed faster than expected last month, rising 7.6% year-over-year versus the 7.4% consensus and 7.2% prior reading. The pickup adds to inflation momentum in the world's third-largest economy.
🟢 Sentiment: Bullish JPY
— 4T Trading
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
10 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC2 viewsread 11 September 2026 🔵 4T MARKETS | FX
NZ Manufacturing Slows but Stays in Expansion; Employment Flattens at Crossroads
New Zealand's manufacturing PMI dropped to 53.1 in August from 54.3 in July, still above its long-term average but signaling cooling momentum. The employment sub-index hit exactly 50.0—the breakeven line—suggesting hiring may be stalling, while orders and stock levels remain solid enough to rule out an outright downtur…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
10 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC2 viewsread 11 September 2026 🛢️ 4T MARKETS | OIL
Oil surges 7% to breach $102 on geopolitical supply concerns
Crude climbed for a ninth straight day, driven by comments on Iran tensions and compounded by a hotter-than-expected PPI reading. The move pushed yields across the curve higher and added pressure ahead of tomorrow's CPI report, which will be key for Fed rate-hike odds.
🟢 Sentiment: Bullish oil
— 4T Trading
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
10 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC3 viewsread 11 September 2026 🔵 4T MARKETS | FX
Gold, copper and AUDUSD all break key support as sellers take charge
All three markets are moving sharply lower in sync today, signalling weakening commodity demand, rising growth concerns, or a stronger US dollar. Technical breaks across gold, copper futures and the Australian dollar have shifted momentum decisively to the downside, with traders now watching critical support levels to determine th…
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
10 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC3 viewsread 11 September 2026 ⚪ 4T MARKETS | MACRO
Treasury buyback disappoints with $5.2B in 10-20 year notes
The US Treasury purchased $5.187 billion in intermediate bonds, marking a lower result than earlier auctions this week. The weaker demand pushed 10-year yields to their highest levels since 2023, coinciding with a 1% drop in the Nasdaq.
🔴 Sentiment: Bearish equities
— 4T Trading
Signed https://t.me/Markets_4T
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @Markets_4T. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
