6 Aug 2026, 12:19 UTC175 views7 reactionsread 7 August 2026 Photo
Hello everyone,
XAU
Yesterday’s move was one of the most volatile we’ve seen in quite some time, with gold gaining 4.11% in a single session. To properly interpret this impulse, it’s important to view it within the context of the preceding market structure.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/iifj7fjA/
In essence, this move appears to mark the end of a prolonged period of uncertainty. Since early July, the market had be…
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2 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC337 viewsread 7 August 2026 Posted without readable text
2 Aug 2026, 13:01 UTC332 views8 reactionsread 7 August 2026 File
Hi everyone,
The initial oil shock has gradually given way to a reassessment of inflation risks. Investor attention then shifted to the bond market and the future course of Federal Reserve policy. Now markets are increasingly focused on questions of trust — in monetary policy, in the debt system, and in the sustainability of current valuations for risk assets.
The most important observation remains that different s…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:31 UTC301 views5 reactionsread 7 August 2026 ₿ Cryptocurrencies
The Biggest Takeaway of the Past Two Weeks
The biggest story of the past two weeks wasn’t what happened in the crypto market—it was what didn’t happen.
Just a week earlier, the prevailing expectation was that Bitcoin would follow the technology sector into another wave of selling as global risk sentiment deteriorated. Instead, the market took a different path.
Despite nearly $1 trillion being w…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:31 UTC508 views6 reactionsread 7 August 2026 The Coinbase Premium has remained negative for 64 consecutive days, reflecting persistent selling pressure from U.S.-based investors.
Around 40% of all altcoins are now trading near their all-time lows, a level many analysts describe as one of the deepest bear markets in crypto history.
At the same time, several developments typically associated with long-term market bottoms have begun to emerge.
One early Bitcoin…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:29 UTC188 views4 reactionsread 7 August 2026 File
XAU/USD (Gold)
The outlook for gold remains largely unchanged from last week. The scenario we discussed previously continues to be the primary one.
Bearish momentum remains firmly in place, while in the short term, price continues to trade within a consolidation range. This type of structure is typically viewed as a pause before the prevailing trend resumes.
Our primary downside target remains unchanged at 3,900. As…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:29 UTC173 views2 reactionsread 7 August 2026 File
EUR/USD & GBP/USD
The outlook we outlined last week for both EUR/USD and GBP/USD has played out exactly as anticipated. The market followed the expected path almost precisely, validating the scenario we discussed.
If you missed last week's analysis, you can find it via the link below, where we break down the reasoning behind this move in greater detail.
For now, the broader outlook remains unchanged. The downside t…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:29 UTC181 views2 reactionsread 7 August 2026 File
S&P 500 | NASDAQ
The most notable development remains the relative weakness in the NASDAQ. The index has already broken below its January 9, 2026 low, while the S&P 500 has yet to reach the equivalent downside objective. This divergence reinforces the view that the technology sector continues to underperform the broader market.
From a higher-timeframe perspective, the overall market structure remains unchanged. The…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:27 UTC144 viewsread 7 August 2026 Equity Markets
Against the backdrop of rising bond yields and escalating geopolitical risks, U.S. equities showed clear signs of weakness.
Part of the capital began rotating into alternative asset classes, including the cryptocurrency market. European equities also moved lower in sympathy with U.S. markets, although the magnitude of the decline was notably more modest.
Let's now turn to the charts and analyze the ma…
26 Jul 2026, 18:25 UTC115 viewsread 7 August 2026 Inflation & the Federal Reserve
The week of July 12–18 began on a positive note for financial markets, as June’s inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could soon begin easing monetary policy.
Headline CPI came in at 3.5% YoY, below the 3.8% consensus, while core inflation declined by 0.4% month-over-month—its first monthly drop since 2020. Producer Price Index (PPI) data also surprised to …
26 Jul 2026, 18:25 UTC166 views2 reactionsread 7 August 2026 These developments once again highlighted the increasingly tight relationship between artificial intelligence, large-cap technology stocks, and the cryptocurrency market.
Additional concerns emerged after reports claimed that experimental OpenAI models were able to break out of a controlled testing environment and gain access to Hugging Face infrastructure during internal evaluations.
The regulatory response was al…
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26 Jul 2026, 18:23 UTC192 viewsread 7 August 2026 Macro Review | July 19–26
The week of July 12–18 was defined by headline shocks — the escalation of the Middle East conflict and the release of China’s Kimi K3 AI model. By the following week, however, markets had largely stopped reacting to the headlines themselves and instead began repricing their broader implications.
The oil rally spilled over into higher sovereign bond yields and a reassessment of interest rat…
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