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Channel

2025跑路-担保预言

@DanBaoYuYan

On this record: Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

849subscribers

-1 since we began measuring on 9 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of Under 1,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1002341079278
TypeChannel
Username@DanBaoYuYan
Created7 February 2025measured — dated from the channel’s first post
First recorded9 August 2026
Last confirmed live10 August 2026
Measurements held2
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 10 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/DanBaoYuYan

Growth

849850849.59 Aug 2026, 08:31 — 850 subscribers10 Aug 2026, 02:01 — 849 subscribers9 Aug 2026, 08:3110 Aug 2026, 02:01
2 measurements taken within a single day, net -1. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 849–850 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
10 Aug 2026, 02:01849-1
9 Aug 2026, 08:31850first reading

Engagement

10 posts held, back to 7 February 2025the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 1 pageof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 10 posts for this entry, the most recent from 1 March 2025. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.

What this channel posts

Video runtime
2s
Average length
2s

Measured directly from 1 video with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no mark.

Reaction mix

217 reactions across 7 posts, in 6 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 65.9% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
👍14365.9%
4420.3%
👎177.83%
🤡94.15%
💩20.922%
🖕20.922%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 9 of the 10 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 217reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 10 most recent posts we hold, published 7 February 2025 to 1 March 2025, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

1 Mar 2025, 12:24 UTC≈2,210 views26 reactionsread 9 August 2026
Photo

大家发现了吗?万能公式: 虎 牙 + 劳务 = 跑路 √ ↓ 聚宝盆 + 劳务 = 跑路 √ ↓ 灰姑娘 + 劳务 = 跑路 √ ↓ 达 利 + 劳务 = 跑路 ? 在万能公式下,几乎已成定局! 这是因果,无法逃避,也是大势所趋。 不是想不想跑,而是不想跑也没办法! 这条路,从一开始就是死局,无论包装得多么精美,无论用多少幌子掩盖本质,最终都会走向相同的结局。 自古以来的人蛇贩子,何曾有过好下场?都是同一个字——亡! 历史已给出答案,趋势已不可逆转。这是天道使然,也是宿命所归,多行不义必自毙的道理不用多说吧! 举头三尺有神明,多行善事,看到这种直接闭着眼睛退让,别沾染因果,任何人都无法承受! —— 天机阁

👍195🖕2

1 Mar 2025, 12:13 UTC≈2,130 views9 reactionsread 9 August 2026
Photo

怎么突然多了那么多人?是因为这个跑路新闻吗?

👍52💩2

7 Feb 2025, 18:01 UTC≈6,700 views21 reactionsread 9 August 2026

目前东南亚局势紧张,柬泰缅地区随时都有爆雷的可能,这些所谓的担保公司覆灭只在一瞬之间,建议大家谨慎一些,锁紧口袋别乱上。

👍165

7 Feb 2025, 17:48 UTC≈6,970 views119 reactionsread 9 August 2026

1,一个正常人怎么可能叫自己鸡吧 2,这是一个曾经明确会跑路和变卖的人 3,这个人说话毫无逻辑,听闻还教唆公群和下级跑路 4,一个好的担保绝对不会做劳务这种伤天害理的业务 5, 这个担保经常恶意不公扣罚公群老板的押金用来发红包博流量 6,免月租,为了圈押金而圈押金,意欲何为,用脚趾头都想得到,天上掉的不是馅饼 而是陷阱 综上所述,一个不注重自身清誉,且教唆他人跑路,又开劳务这种没有道德底线的业务,会恶意扣罚公群押金,而且做担保不赚租金为了圈押金的,你认为这会是只什么好鸟? 定然不会长久!早跑完跑,早晚要跑。 横批:一定会跑

👍80👎1713🤡9

7 Feb 2025, 17:30 UTC≈6,590 views17 reactionsread 9 August 2026
Photo

另外根据历史聚宝盆跑路事件可以得出一个结论:一旦一个担保只为了收押金,而不是为了赚钱的时候...... 那意味着什么,可想而知了! 所以2025,某在此预言,如有跑路担保,这家将会是其中的一个!

👍107

7 Feb 2025, 17:19 UTC≈5,170 views0 reactionsread 9 August 2026

jiba哥:跑路其实不是不好,对我来说不是不好,是我麻烦你知道吧,我要去接,给他们结账,结得很很很烦。

7 Feb 2025, 17:16 UTC≈4,890 views0 reactionsread 9 August 2026
Voice message

Voice message, posted without a caption

7 Feb 2025, 17:14 UTC≈4,840 views18 reactionsread 9 August 2026
Photo

Photo, posted without a caption

👍135

Showing the 10 most recent of 10 posts we hold for @DanBaoYuYan. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Citation-graph rank

Citation-graph rank — 1,302,269 of 1,481,217entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.

Mentions

Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

Named by

Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.

Names

Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 10 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“2025跑路-担保预言” (@DanBaoYuYan), 849 subscribers as measured 10 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/DanBaoYuYan.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.