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股海小水手的航海投資日誌

@curarpiktchu

On this record: Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

3,275subscribers

+9 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001769036682
TypeChannel
Username@curarpiktchu
CreatedBetween 1 December 2021 and 30 April 2023— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live17 August 2026
Measurements held6
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 17 August 2026
On Telegramt.me/curarpiktchu

Growth

3,2663,2753,270.57 August 2026 — 3,266 subscribers7 August 2026 — 3,266 subscribers8 August 2026 — 3,268 subscribers11 August 2026 — 3,273 subscribers14 August 2026 — 3,270 subscribers17 August 2026 — 3,275 subscribers7 August 202617 August 2026
6 measurements spanning 10 days, net +9. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 3,265–3,276 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
17 Aug 2026, 13:393,275+5
14 Aug 2026, 00:143,270-3
11 Aug 2026, 04:173,273+5
8 Aug 2026, 11:413,268+2
7 Aug 2026, 13:303,266no change
7 Aug 2026, 13:143,266first reading

Engagement

14 posts held, back to 23 April 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 2 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
29.9%
avg views ÷ 3,275 subscribers
Avg views / post
980
6 posts measured
Reaction rate
2.84%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
6
of 14 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 4 August 2026
Posts held14 (23 April 20264 August 2026)
Views total5,878
Reactions total167
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken7 Aug 2026, 23:31 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

Reaction mix

394 reactions across 14 posts, in 11 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 24.1% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
😭9524.1%
👍8922.6%
8521.6%
🔥5614.2%
5112.9%
🥰71.78%
🍌51.27%
😍30.761%
🌚10.254%
👎10.254%
🤩10.254%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 14 of the 14 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 394reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 14 most recent posts we hold, published 23 April 2026 to 4 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

4 Aug 2026, 05:22 UTC715 views26 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

📢【賠掉不如吃掉!在海上被浪打,回家吃蟹補血才是真理】🦀 最近這個盤勢真的心心相印(心跳停止那種)😭,看著手上未實現損益在那邊震盪,一下瘋狂下墜一下又突然急拉,與其看著獲利蒸發或虧損流淚,不如拿去換成真正能進肚子裡的頂級美味!「賠掉不如吃掉」,這才是航海人的終極回血機制啊!感謝 微咸水產 提供的【生凍鱈場蟹】(3L大規格,一副半身約1公斤) 🛒 甲板專屬補血連結🔗:https://saltyshop.best/product/3lscl/ 說真的,以前只有在燒烤店或是 buffet 吃到飽才有機會吃到帝王蟹,但每次用餐時間都像在搞高壓高槓桿交易。在用餐限時下,除了要分心去夾別的菜,還要花時間從蟹殼上挖蟹肉,根本沒辦法靜下來單純品嘗蟹肉的鮮美。 從沒想過,可以直接買回家在家裡享用,爽度天差地遠! 這次聽從廠商專業的建議,第一次食用採用最純粹的「清蒸」方式處理。沒想到蒸好一端上桌、敲開蟹殼咬第一口——直接震撼!💥蟹肉爆漿飽

🔥242

28 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC≈1,180 views44 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

友善提醒一下,明後兩天科技巨頭們即將公布財報,沒意外都會是繼續上修資本支出,但現在市場對於擴大資本支出的反應⋯大家應該都感受得到⋯🥶

😭44

28 Jul 2026, 02:46 UTC≈1,080 views35 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

📢 5台DUV是打算拿來做大學專題484?看到市場在反應這個故事是在哭? =以下為轉貼= 市場傳聞:ASML股價下跌,此前有報道稱中國開始生產芯片製造設備。消息人士向《The Information》透露,這家中國公司正在製造浸沒式深紫外(DUV)光刻機。該新聞媒體稱,該設備一旦實現量產,可能會取代阿斯麥的同類產品。據該報道,初步目標是今年生產5台DUV光刻機,到2027年達到20台。 =小作文分隔線= 說真的,5台 DUV 不要笑死人了!ASML 單年浸沒式 DUV(ArFi)出貨量可是高達 130+ 台。中國自研設備預估 2026 年產出 5 台、2027 年 20 台,這點數量在半導體工業上只能稱為「試播集驗證(Pilot Line Validation)」,連一座 12 吋晶圓廠單一產線的胃口都填不滿,到底何談「取代 ASML」?🤡 再者,幫大家白話科普一下。浸沒式 DUV 採用 193nm 氬氟雷射,極限僅能透

😭237🥰5

23 Jul 2026, 02:04 UTC≈1,160 views42 reactionsread 7 August 2026

Google財報後股價下跌 科技巨頭AI擴張壓垮現金流? 目前資本支出(CapEx)上調已不像過去能引發市場上漲動能,反而是變成擔憂開支能否帶來相應回報的敘事,尤其是自由現金流(FCF) 轉負,導致盤後股價下跌📉 我的看法: Alphabet Q2 財報本質上是一次「雲端本業超預期爆發」與「資本支出拉升壓迫短線自由現金流」之間的結構性預期錯配。 盤後股價一度回檔超 4%,非關開支能否帶來相應回報基本面走壞,而是短線資金在將「AI 基礎建設主動擴產」解讀為「資本效率惡化」。實質衝擊屬於典型的情緒性預期修正與技術性洗盤,不具備系統性流動性危機的擴散條件。 市場目前表現不太買單,只能看看投資人最後會不會越想越不對勁⋯ 我公園卡位先⋯

😭28112🌚1

14 Jul 2026, 05:56 UTC≈1,280 views31 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Forwarded from @Conchstreet120Photo

終究是韓國散戶盡力保護大家。

👍301

2 Jul 2026, 16:59 UTC≈2,220 views57 reactionsread 7 August 2026

費城半導體指數(SOX)兩日崩跌 10%,目前財經媒體粗暴地歸因為「Meta 出售算力引發 AI 供給過剩擔憂」,這是典型的將「商業模式進化」錯認為「產業基本面崩潰」的邏輯謬誤。看漲跌說故事是財經媒體的生存之道,卻是專業交易員的墳墓。身為風險管理者,我想試著從資金流、槓桿水位與邊際預期了解其真實傳導。 先說結論: 此次費半崩跌的本質我認為還是「極端擁擠交易的流動性拆倉與技術性去槓桿」,而非 AI 算力基本面見頂。Meta 推出「Meta Compute」出租算力,是將高達 1,450 億美元的資本支出(CAPEX)進行常規的「雲端商業化變現」,而非拋售二手 GPU。市場僅是借此消息作為觸發點,對估值過高、槓桿過載的半導體板塊進行獲利了結與流動性抽血。更何況又逢周末期權結算(週五放假美股休市)末日選擇權引起的震盪又更加劇烈! 【結構化拆解:底層交易邏輯】 資金與成本變動: 在高利率的宏觀環境下,四大 CSP 2026 年合計

4017

15 Jun 2026, 14:21 UTC≈1,750 views48 reactionsread 7 August 2026

📢 日本央行將於明日(6月16日)議息,市場普遍預期政策利率將由現時的0.75%上調至1%。這是日本三十年來最高的息口水平。 我知道台美股大漲之於須提防日本央行加息至1%的殺傷力,但是否有引發日圓套利交易(Yen Carry Trade)全面大拆倉、全球市場大閃崩之類的鬼故事? 先說我的結論:本質上,本次日本央行(BOJ)預期升息至 1% 屬於市場已高度定價的技術性預期修正,絕非毫無預警的黑天鵝。 以下先幫甲板上的夥伴們梳理週末至今的宏觀風向變動: =以下為轉貼= 美伊達成諒解備忘錄,雙方停火,美國將解除霍爾木茲海峽封鎖,WTI 原油期貨應聲跌近 5%,回落至每桶近 80 美元水平。外資預期通膨壓力將有所緩解,亞太區股市今早集體狂歡,韓國綜合指數一度升逾 5%,納指期貨升逾 1%。然而,市場普遍預期日本央行將於明日(6月16日)議息會議上,將政策利率由現時的 0.75% 上調至 1%,重返三十年來最高息口水平,這引發投資

🔥3213🍌3

4 Jun 2026, 02:47 UTC≈1,670 views15 reactionsread 7 August 2026
Photo

Photo, posted without a caption

👍10😍3🥰2

4 Jun 2026, 02:47 UTC≈1,540 views23 reactionsread 7 August 2026
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哭R! 最近盤勢洗到懷疑人生,還好有【餃當家Go Dumpling】的頂級水餃撫慰我的心靈,厚實爆汁的口感直接拯救本韭菜破防的心靈! 專屬補血連結:團購價6折起,再享100元折 https://godumpling.cc/1tVU7 最近市場消息多空交雜,搞得大家瑟瑟發抖&股市上沖下洗。我不只多單被洗出去,還不小心接刀吃筍,直接進入沈默循環,真的是我就爛 (X)。每天盯盤看著指數跟k線在那邊跳恰恰,盤中肚子餓了想說又要泡麵果腹,突然收到 @餃當家 送來的神裝補給包,根本是這波股災中的護國神山! 以前煮大份量水餃都要煮超久,皮還動不動就破,跟我的持倉一樣脆弱(X)。但餃當家的水餃皮因為有獨家配方,厚實Q彈非常有嚼勁!而且不用來回加好幾次水,浮起來就熟透了。它完美緊鎖肉汁,一口咬下爆汁的濃郁香氣直接在舌尖上嘎空! 重點是他們堅持用溯源肉品,絕對沒有瘦肉精,吃得到源頭才安心,這可不像外面那些假投資大師、詐騙粉專貼的來源不明對帳單

18🍌2👍2🤩1

3 Jun 2026, 13:56 UTC≈1,280 views24 reactionsread 7 August 2026

董事們也賣飛? $納微半導體 (NVTS.US)$ 宣佈與英偉達MGX生態系統合作,加速800伏直流人工智能基礎設施建設。目前股價已飆升20% 但根據美國證券交易委員會(SEC)5月29日披露的文件,納微半導體 (NVTS.US) S董事Singh Ranbir於5月27日、28日以每股均價29.19美元售出372.42萬股普通股股份,價值約為1.09億美元。 W董事Wunderlich Gary Kent JR於5月28日以每股均價28.12美元售出10.82萬股普通股股份,價值約為304.16萬美元。 H董事HENDRIX RICHARD J於5月27日、28日以每股均價29.12美元售出14.38萬股普通股股份,價值約為418.81萬美元。 嗯⋯感謝董事們親自示範什麼叫「大愛精神」,用幾億美金倒車載客。在車上的抓穩了各位! 以上為個人觀點分享,不構成任何投資建議。投資有風險,入市需謹慎。

22👍1👎1

Showing the 12 most recent of 14 posts we hold for @curarpiktchu. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Republishes

Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 17 August 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“股海小水手的航海投資日誌” (@curarpiktchu), 3,275 subscribers as measured 17 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/curarpiktchu.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.