Rate cuts are NOT bullish for the stock market

Channel
DeFI News & Alerts
@ICO_Drop
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry
2,487subscribers
-11 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001295151300 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @ICO_Drop |
| Created | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 July 2021 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 6 October 2026 |
| Measurements held | 10 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 6 October 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/ICO_Drop |
Topic
Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 15 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 81% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026, 13:15 | 2,487 | -3 |
| 29 Sept 2026, 09:18 | 2,490 | -2 |
| 14 Sept 2026, 03:56 | 2,492 | +1 |
| 10 Sept 2026, 14:59 | 2,491 | -2 |
| 5 Sept 2026, 19:20 | 2,493 | -1 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 05:15 | 2,494 | -2 |
| 20 Aug 2026, 01:05 | 2,496 | -1 |
| 13 Aug 2026, 06:35 | 2,497 | -1 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 05:34 | 2,498 | no change |
| 6 Aug 2026, 01:11 | 2,498 | first reading |
Engagement
20 posts held, back to 3 June 2022 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 2 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 20 posts for this entry, the most recent from 15 January 2024. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.
Recent posts
SP500 has been in a drawdown for 573 days. And at this rate, it will reach a new all-time high before we see the first signs of a recession. Given that it usually takes more than 3 years to recover from a bear market of a major recession, I don't know if this is good news or bad news.
Glassnode experts continue to study bitcoin moves by their owners. According to analysts, most cryptoinvestors are now moving their BTCs to exchanges in a state of loss. Accordingly, they are sending coins to trading platforms in anticipation of a further market collapse and voluntarily fixing the minus. Such is the case.
Over the past year, volatility has traded in a wide range -- Bloomberg
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A couple of hours ago #Maker made the largest whale move in 3 months. 24,331 $MKR ($17.4M) was transferred to the whale address, and then another move of identical size was made. In recessions, such large-scale moves often correlate with reversals.
Analyst: The reason why the heavy overvaluation line (red arrow) is higher than in previous cycles is because it includes illiquid supply - #Bitcoin has become more scarce. If we get an LTH rally like we did in 2019, we will likely still not reach ATH. Note that unlike 2018, we already had an LTH rally in November 2021
#ERC20 tokens by social signal
Small to medium #Bitcoin addresses (0.1 to 100 $BTC) are on one of the most aggressive accumulation cycles in history, having replenished their holdings by 9% in the last 6 months alone.
In nominal terms, US retail sales are still strong, up 5.4% over the past year. But after adjusting for inflation, the story changes. Real retail sales peaked in March 2021 and are down 1.6% over the past year.
The income of the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase in the third quarter amounted to 590.3 million dollars, while the forecast figure was 649.2 million. Accordingly, the results of this period turned out to be noticeably worse. The change in the COIN stock price over the past 24 hours as a result looks like this.
Top by open interest
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @ICO_Drop. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Mentions
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 6 October 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“DeFI News & Alerts” (@ICO_Drop), 2,487 subscribers as measured 6 October 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/ICO_Drop.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.